1 Budget Committee Budget 05 March 2009
Budget Projection In $Millions
3
Preliminary Grant and Non Grant Revenue In $Millions
5 Cause of $8.0 million Shortfall
Teacher Grids
7 Salary Grid Comparison
8 Salary Grids for Non Teaching Staff Majority of salary grids for non teaching staff are 7 steps Select grids are 4 steps Ministry does not provide any funding for progression on grid Estimated cost of progression for is $1.1 million
9 Staffing Based on Revised Budget
10 Spending Based on Revised Estimates
11 RESTRICTIONS ON BUDGET DECISIONS Information based on Approved Budget In $Millions
12 Uncommitted costs for include the following: In $Millions
13 Risk Factors Average Daily Enrolment projection contingent on construction of new schools Retirement gratuities and salary differential Cost of benefits and type of coverage Expected utility savings Expected increase in refuse and recycling costs Insurance premiums and claims Funding in addition to Grants for Students Needs Expected revenue from Qualifications and Experience grant Expected revenue from Declining Enrolment grant
14 EMERGING BUDGET PRESSURES Benchmark for salaries and benefits Special education funding model Incremental grants for high risk students New school construction, renovations and building maintenance Schools in high growth areas Transportation Research and analysis Client services, communications and consultation Amount of reporting Changing student demographics Changing expectations Class size: grades 4 – 8 Full day kindergarten implementation Cost of running new schools without closing existing space
15 Fixed versus Variable
16 Scenario 1 In $Millions
17 Scenario 1 The in year projected deficit of $8.0 million is a permanent annual problem. Costs go up by this amount each year. Solving does not solve This permanent ongoing shortfall will reappear in (and each following year) and has been increased by 3.0% to reflect contractual obligations for a total of $8.3 million One time available reserves of $5.0 million could be used to balance the budget As reserves are a one time source of funding, expenditures will have to be reduced by $5.0 million to stay within available funding unless new revenue is found for Projected shortfall for includes: cost increase of $8.3 million for plus $5.0 million of spending that no longer has a funding source for a total of $13.3 million – if there is no funding source, expenditures must be reduced to stay within available funding
18 Reserves In $Millions
19 Scenario 2 In $Millions
20 Scenario 2 This scenario assumes the same $8.0 million shortfall and use of reserves for “Phantom cuts” means ignoring the funding problem and approving reductions to balance the budget that would likely not actually be able to happen Doing this would likely result in a $3.0 million deficit in which have to be repaid in the budget year Projected shortfall for includes: cost increase of $8.3 million for plus $5.0 million of spending that no longer has a funding source plus $3.0 million for the deficit recovery for a total of $16.3 million
21 Scenario 3 In $Millions
22 Scenario 3 This scenario assumes the projected shortfall for is revised to $5.0 million Projected shortfall for includes: cost increase of $5.2 million for plus $5.0 million of spending that no longer has a funding source for a total of $10.2 million
BUDGET PROCESS Budget Projection Students, staffing, programs and projections Consultation Grant Announcement Budget Proposal Consultation Budget Debate Consultation Final Budget
24 BUDGET SCHEDULE Assuming Ministry grant package is received by mid March BUDGET SCHEDULE Assuming Ministry grant package is received by mid March