RESEARCH 1Q14 JAcksonville Retail Market As deliveries occur on new development projects, the overall vacancy rate has increased slightly. This, however,

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Presentation transcript:

RESEARCH 1Q14 JAcksonville Retail Market As deliveries occur on new development projects, the overall vacancy rate has increased slightly. This, however, will not affect growth. The Southside and Butler / Baymeadows sectors continue to provide many of the opportunities while the Beaches, Downtown South Bank and San Marco sectors are experiencing new growth. The Southside and St Johns County sectors are poised for tremendous retail advancement with the extension of the 9B expressway in The Westside and Northside submarkets have also received a boost through big box expansion. Although two key indicators regressed slightly, the other three moved in a positive direction. Vacancy rates pushed up to 7.4% after hitting a 3 year low of 7.2% in the previous quarter. Net absorption for this quarter declined to a negative 133,145 square feet. The average quoted rental rates have ticked up to $12.50 per square foot, from $12.45 the previous quarter. The employment rate Increased by 3 percentage points to 6.1%. The capitalization rate for sales transactions remained constant at 7.49%. As the new grocery stores begin to open within the market, the big boxes have moved back into the forefront, specifically Walmart Stores. With a new 186,000 sf Supercenter at Collins Road and a 39,000 sf re-development of a Food Lion Despite rising vacancy rates, we see new development. Total Inventory (SF)89,554,373 4Q133Q131Q14 Asking Rent (Price/SF)$12.48$12.67$12.58 Vacancy Rate (%)7.4%7.9%7.4% Under Construction (SF)28,85463,017158,000 4Q133Q131Q14 Net Absorption (SF)485,35670,166133,145 Deliveries (SF)28,92159,93440,000 Key Indicators

1Q14 JAcksonville Retail market 2 into a Neighborhood Market at Wilson Square shopping center, Walmart Stores has been most active in the Westside submarket. The Parkway Shops, adjacent to the River City Marketplace on the Northside has announced the construction of Phase Two. This will consist of 214,000 sf of retail space that will include two large boxes of 135,000 sf and 42,000 sf plus 37,000 sf of small shop space. LA Fitness took over a 44,000 sf portion of the old Walmart at Bolton Plaza in Orange Park. Petsmart finished off the vacancy left by Kmart at the Seabridge Square shopping center, occupying the 14,000 sf adjacent to Ulta, Staples, Ross and Aldi. Other large lease signings came from Youfit Gym for 17,676 sf at the Gateway shopping center on the north side and Happy Hounds for 15,260 sf at the Riverside Village shopping center in the Riverside submarket. In addition to the big box and inline signings, there have been several single tenant, free- standing developments. These have included such tenants as Dunkin Donuts, Krispy Kreme and Dollar General. They have occurred across several sectors. There were a few large investment sales transactions during this period. Namdar Realty Group and JV Mason Asset Management purchased the 1,000,000 sf Regency Square Mall for $13,000,000. The purchasers specialize in repositioning distressed assets and, given that the mall was 40% occupied, it is assumed, they will convert some of the retail into other uses. Asbury Commons, a 55,273 sf Winn Dixie anchored shopping center located in Green Cove Springs, sold for $8,300,000. Jacksonville Retail Submarket Map

3 N/AGateway Town CenterDowntown Northbank23,091 YouFit Gym5290 Norwood AveDowntown Northbank 17,676 N/AGateway Town CenterDowntown Northbank 15,613 Happy HoundsRiverside Village SCRiverside15,260 N/A120 Everest LaneSt Johns County7,004 TenantBuilding SubmarketSquare Feet Select Lease Transactions Select Sales Transactions Asbury CommonsGreen Cove Springs55,273$8,300,000$ Oak Hill VillageWestside78,492$7,350,000$93.64 Retail SouthSouthside14,984$4,330,000$ Golfair BlvdNorthside3,319$3,100,000$ SellerSubmarketSquare FeetSale PricePrice/SF

RESEARCH Lee Stine Director of Retail Matt Romero Retail Specialist Rick Sutton Retail Specialist Glossary of Terms Absorption A measure of the change in occupied space Availability Space marketed for lease regardless of when the space will be available or whether the space is vacant or occupied Deliveries The total RBA of properties added to the inventory once construction has been completed Direct Space Available space offered for lease by the building owner, landlord, or owner representative Leasing Activity The volume of leases signed including new leases, direct and sublet leases, extensions and renewals, and leases signed in proposed or under construction buildings Occupancy Any space physically occupied by a tenant, regardless of lease status of the space Rentable Building Area (RBA) A measurement of the total square feet in a building including the tenant and common areas such as the lobby and hallways Sublet Space Available space offered for lease by a building tenant seeking a subtenant to fulfill the remaining lease obligation Under Construction Buildings under construction are defined by the time the foundation is poured through the time the building is certified for occupancy Vacancy Space not physically occupied by a tenant, regardless of the lease status or availability of space Weighted Average Rent The asking dollar amount for the use of available space, weighted by size--the average does not include negotiable or unpublished rates and is reported as full service including operating costs. Jacksonville Deerwood Park Blvd Suite 310 Jacksonville, FL All information contained in this publication is derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable. However, Newmark Grubb Phoenix Realty Group (NGPRG) has not verified any such information, and the same constitutes the statements and representations only of the source thereof, and not of NGPRG. Any recipient of this publication should independently verify such information and all other information that may be material to any decision that recipient may make in response to this publication, and should consult with professionals of the recipient’s choice with regard to all aspects of that decision, including its legal, financial, and tax aspects and implications. Any recipient of this publication may not, without the prior written approval of NGPRG, distribute, disseminate, publish, transmit, copy, broadcast, upload, download, or in any other way reproduce this publication or any of the information it contains. Newmark Grubb Phoenix Realty Group Research Reports are also available at Independently owned and operated