Where to Look for Buying Opportunities if a Big Drop Occurs Daryl Montgomery June 29, 2011 Copyright 2011, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Background Material for Charts Moving Averages – 50-day, 200-day Bollinger Bands – plus or minus 2 standard deviations from a ~20-unit moving average. RSI – relative strength index, 80-overbought, 20 oversold, 50 divides bearish and bullish MACD – moving average convergence divergence, zero divide bullish bearish, peak and bottom numbers variable DMI – Directional Movement Index, +DI (blue), -DI (red) and trend line (black).
What to Buy in a Big Drop In general, whatever goes down the most or is most off of its previous high. Things which have been depressed for a while: natural gas, interest rates, solar, uranium, and silver. If oil has a drop to around $80, grab it. Consider gold miners, particularly junior miners. Look at lithium, rare earth metals and base metals. Emerging market ETFs including small countries. On any drop, you can always buy the Swiss franc, Australian and New Zealand dollars, and gold.
State of the Market
Volatility Index VIX: Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Volatility Index VIX: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
DJIA Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
DJIA One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
DJIA Three-Years Weekly with Volume
S&P 500 Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
S&P 500 One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
Nasdaq Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Nasdaq One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Russell 2000 Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Russell 2000 One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
DXY Dollar Index: Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
DXY Dollar Index: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Things that Have Been Going Down for a While
Natural Gas ETF GAZ Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Natural Gas ETF GAZ One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
Solar ETF KWT Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Solar ETF KWT One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
Uranium Miner DNN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Uranium Miner DNN One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
10-Year Bond Interest Rate Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
10-Year Bond Interest Rate One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
30-Year Bond Interest Rate Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
30-Year Bond Interest Rate One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Silver ETF SLV Three-Year Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Silver ETF SLV One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
Oil ETF DBO Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Oil ETF DBO One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Oil 200% ETF UCO Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Oil 200% ETF UCO One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Uranium ETF URA One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Gold Miners and Metals
Gold ETF GLD Three-Years Weekly Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Gold ETF GLD One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Mining ETF GDX Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Mining ETF GDX One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Mining ETF GDXJ One-Year Daily 50-Day Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Gold Mining 200% ETF NUGT One-Year Daily 50-Day Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Nova Gold (NG) Five-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Nova Gold (NG) One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Copper ETF JJC Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Copper ETF JJC One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Nickel ETF JJN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Nickel ETF JJN One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Tin ETF JJT Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Tin ETF JJT One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Lithium ETF LIT One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Rare Earth ETF REMX One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Emerging Markets
EMERGING MARKET ETF EEM Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
EMERGING MARKET ETF EEM One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
BRAZIL ETF EWZ Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
BRAZIL ETF EWZ One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
INDIA ETF IFN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
INDIA ETF IFN One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
CHINA ETF FXI Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
CHINA ETF FXI One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
RUSSIA ETF RSX Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
RUSSIA ETF RSX One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD