Quantitative Methods of Management

Quantitative Methods of Management Jan Fábry fabry@vse.cz http://nb.vse.cz/~fabry http://is.savs.cz ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Quantitative Methods of Management Literature Jan Fábry - Management Science. UEP, October 2003. Presentations: http://nb.vse.cz/~fabry Content Introduction Linear Programming Network Models Inventory Models Waiting Line Models Computer Simulation Multiple Criteria Decision Making ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Operations Research = Management Science Alternative Names operational research operations analysis quantitative analysis quantitative methods systems analysis decision analysis decision science History of OR/MS World War II End of the 20th Century ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Software Lingo (LINDO) MPL for Windows XPRESS (FICO) CPLEX (IBM ILOG) AIMMS AMPL Gurobi NEOS MS Excel (FRONTLINE SOLVERS) SIMPROCESS SIMUL 8 Matlab ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Definition 1. MS/OR is the application of scientific methods, techniques and tools to problems involving the operations of systems so as to provide those in control of the operations with optimum solutions to the problems. 2. MS/OR is the application of the scientific method to the study of the operations of large, complex organizations or activities. 3. MS/OR is the application of the scientific method to the analysis and solution of managerial decision problems. ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Definition - summary Application of SCIENTIFIC METHOD Study of LARGE & COMPLEX SYSTEMS Analysis of MANAGERIAL PROBLEMS Finding OPTIMAL SOLUTION Use of MATHEMATICAL MODELS Use of COMPUTERS & SPECIAL SW ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Modeling Process Real-World Problem Recognition and Definition of the Problem Formulation and Construction of the Mathematical Model Solution of the Model Implementation Interpretation Validation and Sensitivity Analysis of the Model ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Recognition & Definition of the Problem Processes Restrictions Goal Mathematical Model Variables Constraints (equations, inequalities) Objective function ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Mathematical Model Reality Model Finding a proper balance between the level of simplification of reality and good representation of reality. Model Deterministic Probabilistic ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Solution Feasible Optimal Infeasible Model Interpretation Model Validation Sensitivity Analysis Implementation ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Linear Programming linear objective function – min/max linear constraints Integer LP, Binary LP, Mixed Integer LP Nonlinear Programming nonlinear objective function and/or nonlinear constraints ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Distribution Models special type of LP problems (special structure of model) transportation problem assignment problem ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Multiple Criteria Decision Making multiple criteria compromise limited/unlimited number of alternatives goal programming ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Network Models network – nodes, arcs evaluated network minimal distance, maximal flow etc. Project Management planning, scheduling & controlling projects CPM, PERT ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Inventory Models how much to order? when to order? deterministic/probabilistic models Waiting Line Models (Queuing Models) servers, customers goal – optimal number of servers analytical approach, computer simulation ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry

Operations Research - Introduction Management Science Techniques Computer Simulation computer experiments with models complex systems Games Theory 2 or more decision makers possible strategies ___________________________________________________________________________ Quantitative Methods of Management  Jan Fábry