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About HawkTrade…

 When: Every Sunday, 6:30PM  Where: W207 in PBB  Who: Any UI Student, Faculty, or Staff  Attendance: Must attend half of meetings to claim prizes  Dues:$15 Annual Due

 Recap Previous Week  Break Down the Macro Situation  Discuss Government Decisions  Teach About Different Investment Tools  Analyze Individual Companies  Compare Sectors  Listen to Analysts

HawkTrade Stock Investment Competitions Semester Long Competitions Entrance Fee’s

Index1 MonthYTD1 Year DOW JONES -1.8%-3.3%8.3% S&P %-6.9%6.6% *As of market close 9/9/11

 The economy has created about 200,000 new private sector jobs per month this year, the strongest pace since before the financial crisis.  Corporate earnings continue to rise at a double-digit pace as they near all-time highs and analysts are upwardly revising estimates.  Businesses are now increasing their spending and driving growth after a decade of under-investing.  Business confidence is up; the Conference Board’s CEO Confidence Survey found the most bullish outlook by CEOs since  Financing conditions for the consumer and business are improving rapidly; banks have started making more loans and high-yield bond yields are the lowest in history.

 The declining US dollar is boosting earnings and making U.S. products more competitive globally.  Inflation is likely near its peak in China and in other nations, suggesting rates will soon rise.  U.S. businesses have plenty of cash to spend on hiring, capital, dividends, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A).  Stock market valuations remain below long-term averages, which is favorable.  Individual and institutional investors have plenty of cash on the sidelines.

 Central banks in both emerging and developed economies are raising interest rates to fight rising inflation.  Home prices are falling again; the price of existing homes in the United States declined 3% over the past year (ending May 2011).  Intensifying European debt problems and Japan’s recession are contributing to slower global growth.  Consumer confidence is well off the financial crisis and recession lows of 2009, but has only rebounded to levels in line with prior recession low points.

 Ever-present terror threats heightened by turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa is keeping oil prices elevated and has the potential to disrupt oil supplies — further boosting already high prices at the pump.  The battle over the U.S. debt ceiling combined with state budget challenges may result in less fiscal stimulus.  Consumer income growth adjusted for inflation has been falling in recent months as reflation has taken place.

Obama’s Job Plan Fri 09 Sep 11 | 11:11 AM ET

 QE1 … QE2… QE3???  Obama or Europe?

Europe Stop at min 3:45 Fri 09 Sep 11 | 12:30 PM ET

