Ch. 7: Valuation and Characteristics of  2002, Prentice Hall, Inc.

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Presentation transcript:

Ch. 7: Valuation and Characteristics of  2002, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Characteristics of Bonds  Bonds pay fixed coupon (interest) payments at fixed intervals (usually every 6 months) and pay the par value at maturity.

Characteristics of Bonds  Bonds pay fixed coupon (interest) payments at fixed intervals (usually every 6 months) and pay the par value at maturity n $I $I $I $I $I $I+$M

example: ATT 6 1 / 2 29 par value = $1000 coupon = 6.5% of par value per year. = $65 per year ($32.50 every 6 months). maturity = 28 years (matures in 2029). issued by AT&T.

example: ATT 6 1 / 2 29 par value = $1000 coupon = 6.5% of par value per year. = $65 per year ($32.50 every 6 months). maturity = 28 years (matures in 2029). issued by AT&T. 0 12… 28 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50+$1000

Types of Bonds Debentures - unsecured bonds. Subordinated debentures - unsecured “junior” debt. Mortgage bonds - secured bonds. Zeros - bonds that pay only par value at maturity; no coupons. Junk bonds - speculative or below- investment grade bonds; rated BB and below. High-yield bonds.

Types of Bonds Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas). example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this?

Types of Bonds Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas). example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this? –If borrowing rates are lower in France,

Types of Bonds Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas). example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this? –If borrowing rates are lower in France, –To avoid SEC regulations.

The Bond Indenture The bond contract between the firm and the trustee representing the bondholders. Lists all of the bond’s features: coupon, par value, maturity, etc. Lists restrictive provisions which are designed to protect bondholders. Describes repayment provisions.

Value Book Value: value of an asset as shown on a firm’s balance sheet; historical cost. Liquidation value: amount that could be received if an asset were sold individually. Market value: observed value of an asset in the marketplace; determined by supply and demand. Intrinsic value: economic or fair value of an asset; the present value of the asset’s expected future cash flows.

Security Valuation In general, the intrinsic value of an asset = the present value of the stream of expected cash flows discounted at an appropriate required rate of return. Can the intrinsic value of an asset differ from its market value?

Valuation C t = cash flow to be received at time t. k = the investor’s required rate of return. V = the intrinsic value of the asset. V = t = 1 n $C t (1 + k) t

Bond Valuation Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return.

Bond Valuation Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return. –the coupon payment stream (an annuity).

Bond Valuation Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return. –the coupon payment stream (an annuity). –the par value payment (a single sum).

Bond Valuation V b = $I t (PVIFA k b, n ) + $M (PVIF k b, n ) $I t $M (1 + k b ) t (1 + k b ) n V b = + n t = 1 

Bond Example Suppose our firm decides to issue 20-year bonds with a par value of $1,000 and annual coupon payments. The return on other corporate bonds of similar risk is currently 12%, so we decide to offer a 12% coupon interest rate. What would be a fair price for these bonds?

P/YR = 1 N = 20 I%YR = 12 FV = 1,000 PMT = 120 Solve PV = -$1,000 Note: If the coupon rate = discount rate, the bond will sell for par value.

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.12, 20 ) (PVIF.12, 20 )

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.12, 20 ) (PVIF.12, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.12, 20 ) (PVIF.12, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i 1 PV = (1.12 ) / (1.12) 20 = $

Suppose interest rates fall immediately after we issue the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk drops to 10%. What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic value?

P/YR = 1 Mode = end N = 20 I%YR = 10 PMT = 120 FV = 1000 Solve PV = -$1,170.27

P/YR = 1 Mode = end N = 20 I%YR = 10 PMT = 120 FV = 1000 Solve PV = -$1, Note: If the coupon rate > discount rate, the bond will sell for a premium.

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.10, 20 ) (PVIF.10, 20 )

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.10, 20 ) (PVIF.10, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.10, 20 ) (PVIF.10, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i 1 PV = (1.10 ) / (1.10) 20 = $1,

Suppose interest rates rise immediately after we issue the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk rises to 14%. What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic value?

P/YR = 1 Mode = end N = 20 I%YR = 14 PMT = 120 FV = 1000 Solve PV = -$867.54

P/YR = 1 Mode = end N = 20 I%YR = 14 PMT = 120 FV = 1000 Solve PV = -$ Note: If the coupon rate < discount rate, the bond will sell for a discount.

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 )

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i 1 PV = (1.14 ) / (1.14) 20 = $

Suppose coupons are semi-annual P/YR = 2 Mode = end N = 40 I%YR = 14 PMT = 60 FV = 1000 Solve PV = -$866.68

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 )

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA.14, 20 ) (PVIF.14, 20 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i 1 PV = (1.07 ) / (1.07) 40 = $

Yield To Maturity The expected rate of return on a bond. The rate of return investors earn on a bond if they hold it to maturity.

Yield To Maturity The expected rate of return on a bond. The rate of return investors earn on a bond if they hold it to maturity. $I t $M (1 + k b ) t (1 + k b ) n P 0 = + n t = 1 

YTM Example Suppose we paid $ for a $1,000 par 10% coupon bond with 8 years to maturity and semi-annual coupon payments. What is our yield to maturity?

P/YR = 2 Mode = end N = 16 PV = PMT = 50 FV = 1000 Solve I%YR = 12% YTM Example

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) (PVIF k, 16 )

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) (PVIF k, 16 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) (PVIF k, 16 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i = (1 + i ) / (1 + i) 16 i

Bond Example Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) (PVIF k, 16 ) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i) n + FV / (1 + i) n i = (1 + i ) / (1 + i) 16 i solve using trial and error

Zero Coupon Bonds No coupon interest payments. The bond holder’s return is determined entirely by the price discount.

Zero Example Suppose you pay $508 for a zero coupon bond that has 10 years left to maturity. What is your yield to maturity?

Zero Example Suppose you pay $508 for a zero coupon bond that has 10 years left to maturity. What is your yield to maturity? $508 $1000

Zero Example P/YR = 1 Mode = End N = 10 PV = -508 FV = 1000 Solve: I%YR = 7%

Mathematical Solution: PV = FV (PVIF i, n ) 508 = 1000 (PVIF i, 10 ).508 = (PVIF i, 10 ) [use PVIF table] PV = FV /(1 + i) = 1000 /(1 + i) = (1 + i) 10 i = 7% Zero Example 0 10 PV = -508 FV = 1000

The Financial Pages: Corporate Bonds Cur Net Yld Vol Close Chg Polaroid 11 1 / / 4... What is the yield to maturity for this bond? P/YR = 2, N = 10, FV = 1000, PV = $ , PMT = Solve: I/YR = 26.48%

The Financial Pages: Corporate Bonds Cur Net Yld Vol Close Chg HewlPkd zr / 2 +1 What is the yield to maturity for this bond? P/YR = 1, N = 16, FV = 1000, PV = $-515, PMT = 0 Solve: I/YR = 4.24%

The Financial Pages: Treasury Bonds Maturity Ask Rate Mo/Yr Bid Asked Chg Yld 9 Nov 18139:14 139: What is the yield to maturity for this Treasury bond? (assume 35 half years) P/YR = 2, N = 35, FV = 1000, PMT = 45, PV = - 1, ( % of par) Solve: I/YR = 5.457%