Perspectives on Redemption Patterns Across Intermediary-Sold Distribution Platforms September 15, 2011 Dennis Bowden, Senior Research Analyst

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Presentation transcript:

Perspectives on Redemption Patterns Across Intermediary-Sold Distribution Platforms September 15, 2011 Dennis Bowden, Senior Research Analyst

2 Evolving Considerations in Intermediary-Sold Space – Growth vs. Stability  Continued expansion of fee-based advisory programs  Within this, recent growth of Rep-as-PM programs, as well as increasing influence of RIAs  Increasing consideration around asset stability features across platforms  Evolving economics of intermediary-sold fund distribution  Asset velocity differences across platform and FA types  Platform and FA characteristics  Demand trends  Portfolio construction methodology  Assessing holistic, long-term opportunity sets across different intermediary-sold distribution avenues

3 Assessing the Fee-Based Platform Landscape – Rep-as-PM Programs Growing Rapidly Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis

4 FA Demand Differences: US Style Box Equity Sales – Post- Crisis Decline in Share within FA & Investor Controlled Wrap Platforms; Continued Significance via Home Office Models Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis

5 Alternative Strategies (Market-Neutral / Long-Short, Commodity, Natural Resources, Bear Market): Most Favored by Rep-as-PM Advisors Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis

6 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / ICI / SI Analysis Platform Redemption Patterns – Balancing Growth Potential with Asset Stability Considerations

7 Asset Stability Characteristics Across Fee- Based Platform Types  Rep-as-PM  Overall more tactical management of client assets  Full discretion to quickly adjust clients’ portfolio exposure  Tech advances increasingly allowing easier trading across a number of client accounts with a single action  Non-Discretionary Rep-as-Advisor  Relatively stable rate of asset velocity within largest asset base among Nat’l BD wrap platforms  Client approval needed before trades can be executed  Home Office Model-Based  Display sustained periods of strong asset stability  But mixed with significant redemption spikes due to systematic portfolio rebalances

8 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / ICI / SI Analysis Gauging Redemption Rate Experiences and Expectations; Avoiding the Potential Misleading Nature of Averages

9 Rep-as-PM vs. Rep-as-Advisor Programs – Equity Fund Asset Velocity Significantly Higher and More Volatile within Rep as PM Platforms Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis

10 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis A Closer Look at FA Behavior: Differences in Rep-as-PM vs. Rep-as-Advisor Redemption Rates

11 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis Home Office Model Platforms – Periods of Stability Very Similar Across Styles; Scale of Spikes Varying

12 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis Platform Opportunity Sets: Rep-as-PM’s High Asset Velocity (but High Growth) vs. Rep-as-Advisor & Home Office Model’s Relative Stability

13 Source: Coates Analytics Distribution Management System / SI Analysis Assessing the Characteristics of Equity Fund Opportunity Sets  US Style Box Equity  Led by Rep-as-Advisor, but lowest spread among styles within each platform  Non-US Equity  Lower redemptions via Rep-as-PM advisors leads to greater opportunity  Alternative Equity  Rep-as-PM: asset velocity – high sales outweigh high redemptions  Rep-as-Advisor: asset stability – lower redemptions compensate for lower sales

14 Implications Moving Forward  Expansion of fee-based advisory programs continues to bring higher asset velocity features to growing segments of fund business  Increasingly converse relationship between growth and asset stability within expanding segments of the FA-sold marketplace  Implications around product focus and development, sales force compensation, and other aspects of overall distribution strategy  Growing importance in analyzing holistic combination of new business and asset stability considerations

15 How Can Fund Firms Respond?  Aggregate redemption stats alarming, but Rep-as-PM advisors (and RIAs) can still represent valuable relationship opportunities  Influence of such advisors growing rapidly as trend toward greater FA discretion continues   High-net-worth client base  Increased importance of FA segmentation and targeting around both growth and asset stability considerations  Particularly within high-velocity segments such as Rep-as-PM and RIA  Segments of these advisor bases with strong asset stability characteristics in your firm’s core strategies?  Ability to rethink / retool certain aspects of revenue sharing arrangements with key distribution partners?  Potential to tie payment levels more directly to redemption/holding period metrics?  Revenue sharing grid based on FA holding period?

16 © Copyright 2011 Strategic Insight, an Asset International company, and when referenced or sourced Coates Analytics, Morningstar Inc. and Lipper Inc. All rights reserved. The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (a) include confidential and proprietary information of the aforementioned companies, (b) are provided solely for information purposes, and (c) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate, or timely. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The aforementioned companies are not affiliated with each other. This report has been prepared using information and sources we believe to be reliable; however, we make no representation as to its accuracy, adequacy or completeness, nor do we assume responsibility for any errors or omissions or for any results obtained from the use of this report, including any action taken with respect to securities referred to in this report. Our employees may from time to time acquire, hold or sell a position in securities mentioned herein. We may from time to time perform services for any company mentioned in this report. This report is not a prospectus or representation intended to use in the purchase or sale of any securities mentioned in this report. Strategic Insight is available by subscription and by single copy upon request to the publisher.

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