TOURISM IS THE BIGGEST INDUSTRY IN THE WORLD! BIGGER THAN AUTOMOBILES, DEFENCE, AGRO AND MANUFACTURING
Presentation Overview * WTTC * Global Travel & Tourism *A Changing World *Summary
WTTC Purpose ‘To raise awareness of the importance of Travel & Tourism and to work with governments to realise the full potential of the industry in creating sustainable wealth and jobs’
In Economic Terms... Visitor arrivals vs. Economic impact
Raising Awareness WTTC introduction of Travel & Tourism Economy Concept
Global Travel & Tourism: Where We Stand
World Economy* GDP * Travel & Tourism GDP associated with T&T Demand (Direct and Indirect) * US$ 5.4 Trillion in 2007 (up 9.4% in current terms) * 10.4% of Total Gross Domestic Product in 2007 (vs. 10.3% in 2006) 2007
Travel & Tourism Economy by Region North America European Union Northeast Asia Latin America Central and Eastern Europe Oceania Southeast Asia Middle East South Asia North Africa Caribbean Sub-Saharan Africa T&T Economy GDP Growth (Percent Annualized) 2006 T&T Economy GDP (Percent of Total) Other Western Europe World Average
2007 saw continued broad-based strength in the tourism economy, though generally below 2006 growth rates. In 2008, growth is expected to remain healthy despite economic conditions.
Results in 2007 better than forecast
Revision of 2008 Forecast Real T&T GDP Economy Last Year’s 2008 Forecast (annual % growth) 2008 likely forecast Revision (Direction) Africa 5.0Up Asia/Pacific 5.6Constant Europe 3.1Down Middle East 5.0Up North America 3.3Down Latin America 4.3Up World 4.2Down Source: WTTC/Oxford Economics
International air travel rose at a record 9.3% y-y in November
Encouraging tourism growth - particularly in developing countries
Most developed economies have also seen a sustained rise in inbound flows
Total Pipeline: Global Regions Under Const. Start Next 12 Mos. Early Planning Total Projects Total Rooms United States223,977315,995178,4155,438718,387 Americas-Other69,66644,22830, ,106 Europe74,06338,24833, ,636 Middle East63,82246,19235, ,507 Africa15,1648,0095, ,249 Asia Pacific272,75480,73672,5341,833426,024 Source: Lodging Econometrics
A Relative Picture Of total rooms constructed, 45% will be built in the United States
A Changing World: Macro Drivers
* Credit crunch continues to be a worry on outlook * High oil prices may become a major constraint on global growth * Fear of US Recession dragging down the world * Increasing Deficit * Housing market in trouble * Weaker dollar
Stock Markets Feel the Pressure...
* Rapidly expanding economic growth in Emerging Markets, create a new and dynamic source of visitors China India Russia Middle East * Responsive monetary policy – Quick and decisive response by central banks to economic situations * Strong corporate profitability outside of the financial sector 2008 will see further slowdown but not as sharp as period between 2001 and 2003
Summary
* WTTC forecasts that the United States is and will remain the largest Travel & Tourism industry in the world * A changing world, requires a new mind frame. A global slowdown is anticipated, sparked by a US recession. However this will be partially offset by today's changing world * The lodging Industry is still showing great strength and is growing at an impressive pace, despite the anticipated economic slowdown.
It appears that this saying no longer holds: “When America sneezes, Europe catches a cold and the rest of the world dies of pneumonia”
“Today, the United States sneezes and the rest of the world goes shopping”
BUT YOUR FUTURE IS ASSURED JUST STEP UP TO CLAIM YOUR PART OF IT!