The Pipe Farms of DeKalb County "A lot of these areas, I'm telling people, will never come back. They'll turn into ghost towns. Ghost developments.“ -

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Presentation transcript:

The Pipe Farms of DeKalb County "A lot of these areas, I'm telling people, will never come back. They'll turn into ghost towns. Ghost developments.“ - Steve Palm of Smart Numbers, LLC on Atlanta’s Unfinished Subdivisions

 Neighborhood Revitalization  Stimulate development increasing tax base and county revenues  Attract community investment  Improve community aesthetics Objectives Strategy for DeKalb County Pipefarms

Strengths  Seller profile has shifted back to favorable proportions  2010: Foreclosures / Short Sales = 60%  2013: Foreclosures / Short Sales = 40%  Supply continues to shrink  Most markets supply down over 30% from last year  Values remain below the historical trend line  Peak in 2007; trough in 2012  Interest rates remain below historical averages  Rates currently around 4%; historical around 8%  Opportunity to partner with organizations that have a similar mission

Challenges  Initiating Change  Resources  Organization  Marketing and Packaging to Developers  Perseverance

Atlanta Market Trends  Case Schiller Index  Atlanta home prices since 2007 declined 29%, however 2013 began with 4 consecutive months of increases and posted a 13% YOY increase, biggest since 1991  Permits – up 115% since 2011  Metro Study/FMLS Data  Only 3 month supply of new unsold homes on market, the lowest amount of inventory on record for Atlanta  8,288 new homes started during 2012, a 53% increase compared to 2011  During 4Q12 there were 2,265 new home starts, an 85% increase compared to 4Q11

Atlanta Market Trends  Currently the cost of owning exceeds the cost of renting  Trulia – Data indicates that Atlanta is 57% cheaper to buy versus renting. However if rents continue to rise and the market/economy continues to improve, those that can get a mortgage will choose to buy versus rent  In South Dekalb County study area  Supply – there is a 6 to 9 month supply of homes listed for sale between $150K and $200K (a 36 month supply for homes priced above $200K. Supply is based on trailing 1 year adsorption)  Demand - prices need to be closer to $150K

 Public-Private Partnerships  Asset Management Program  Market Analysis  DeKalb County Redevelopment Roundtable  Other Incentives/disincentives (carrots/sticks) Recommendations