Adapted from Walch Education The conditional probability of B given A is the probability that event B occurs, given that event A has already occurred.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Slide Slide 1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia Section 4-4.
Advertisements

Chapter 4 Probability and Probability Distributions
Conditional Probability and Independence. Learning Targets 1. I can calculate conditional probability using a 2-way table. 2. I can determine whether.
Probability Sample Space Diagrams.
1 1 PRESENTED BY E. G. GASCON Introduction to Probability Section 7.3, 7.4, 7.5.
Union… The union of two events is denoted if the event that occurs when either or both event occurs. It is denoted as: A or B We can use this concept to.
Basic probability Sample Space (S): set of all outcomes of an experiment Event (E): any collection of outcomes Probability of an event E, written as P(E)
Introduction Let’s say you and your friends draw straws to see who has to do some unpleasant activity, like cleaning out the class pet’s cage. If everyone.
3.2 Conditional Probability & the Multiplication Rule Statistics Mrs. Spitz Fall 2008.
UNDERSTANDING INDEPENDENT EVENTS Adapted from Walch Education.
Probability Rules l Rule 1. The probability of any event (A) is a number between zero and one. 0 < P(A) < 1.
AP STATISTICS.   Theoretical: true mathematical probability  Empirical: the relative frequency with which an event occurs in a given experiment  Subjective:
ADAPTED FROM WALCH EDUCATION Using Two-Way Frequency Tables.
Probability.
IB Math Studies – Topic 3. IB Course Guide Description.
Arithmetic Sequences ~adapted from Walch Education.
Chapter 8 Probability Section R Review. 2 Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen Finite Mathematics 12e Review for Chapter 8 Important Terms, Symbols, Concepts  8.1.
Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 4 Probability.
Samuel Chukwuemeka (Samdom For Peace) Bayes’ Theorem.
Copyright 2013, 2010, 2007, Pearson, Education, Inc. Section 12.6 OR and AND Problems.
Some Probability Rules Compound Events
BONUS/REVIEW POWERPOINTS PROVIDED BY MS. MERRELL.
Section 10.1 Introduction to Probability. Probability Probability is the overall likelihood that an event can occur. A trial is a systematic opportunity.
Daniel Meissner Nick Lauber Kaitlyn Stangl Lauren Desordi.
Probability. Basic Concepts of Probability and Counting.
Chapter 12 Probability. Chapter 12 The probability of an occurrence is written as P(A) and is equal to.
Independence and Tree Diagrams Slideshow 56, Mathematics Mr Richard Sasaki, Room 307.
Chapter 12 Probability © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
SECTION 11-3 Conditional Probability; Events Involving “And” Slide
Section 3.2 Notes Conditional Probability. Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring, given that another event has already occurred.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Elementary Probability Theory 5.
PROBABILITY, PROBABILITY RULES, AND CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY
Probability Rules. We start with four basic rules of probability. They are simple, but you must know them. Rule 1: All probabilities are numbers between.
13.3 Conditional Probability and Intersections of Events Understand how to compute conditional probability. Calculate the probability of the intersection.
Probability Formulas The probability of more than one outcome. This is a union of the probabilities. If events are disjoint: If events are not disjoint:
Lesson 8.7 Page #1-29 (ODD), 33, 35, 41, 43, 47, 49, (ODD) Pick up the handout on the table.
Probability: Terminology  Sample Space  Set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment.  Random Experiment  Any activity resulting in uncertain.
Conditional Probability and Intersection of Events Section 13.3.
Section 3.2 Conditional Probability and the Multiplication Rule.
Conditional Probability and the Multiplication Rule.
Conditional Probability and Independence. Learning Targets 1. I can use the multiplication rule for independent events to compute probabilities. 2. I.
Conditional Probability and Independent Events
11.7 Continued Probability. Independent Events ► Two events are independent if the occurrence of one has no effect on the occurrence of the other ► Probability.
Independent Events The occurrence (or non- occurrence) of one event does not change the probability that the other event will occur.
Conditional Probability and the Multiplication Rule NOTES Coach Bridges.
10.5 Independent Events Objective: Find the probability of 2 or more independent events.
Probability Experiments Problem Solving Sample Spaces Theoretical vs Experimental Compound Events Independent and Dependent Events.
Introduction Remember that probability is a number from 0 to 1 inclusive or a percent from 0% to 100% inclusive that indicates how likely an event is to.
Starter P(A) = ½, P(B) = ⅓ and P(A B) = p Find p if:
4-3 Addition Rule This section presents the addition rule as a device for finding probabilities that can be expressed as P(A or B), the probability that.
I can find probabilities of compound events.. Compound Events  Involves two or more things happening at once.  Uses the words “and” & “or”
STATISTICS 6.0 Conditional Probabilities “Conditional Probabilities”
Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 4 Probability.
Probability What is the probability of rolling “snake eyes” in one roll? What is the probability of rolling “yahtzee” in one roll?
Conditional Probability & the Multiplication Rule
Chapter 3 Probability.
Probability and Statistics Chapter 3 Notes
Probability.
Introduction Let’s say you and your friends draw straws to see who has to do some unpleasant activity, like cleaning out the class pet’s cage. If everyone.
Probability Models Section 6.2.
Introduction Remember that probability is a number from 0 to 1 inclusive or a percent from 0% to 100% inclusive that indicates how likely an event is to.
Chapter 4 Section 1 Probability Theory.
Section 11.7 Probability.
Wed + nes + day! Warm-Up… Quickwrite…
General Probability Rules
Section 12.6 OR and AND Problems
Probability Rules Rule 1.
Adapted from Walch Education
Investigation Write down the sample space for throwing a die and tossing a coin. 1T 2T 3T 4T 5T 6T 1H 2H 3H 4H 5H 6H   From the sample space calculate:
Warm Up Multiply. Write each fraction in simplest form.  
Presentation transcript:

Adapted from Walch Education

The conditional probability of B given A is the probability that event B occurs, given that event A has already occurred. If A and B are two events from a sample space with P(A) ≠ 0, then the conditional probability of B given A, denoted : 7.2.1: Introducing Conditional Probability2

Using set notation, conditional probability is written like this: 7.2.1: Introducing Conditional Probability3

The “conditional probability of B given A” only has meaning if event A has occurred. That is why the formula for has the requirement that P(A) ≠ 0. The conditional probability formula can be solved to obtain a formula for P(A and B) : Introducing Conditional Probability4

Independent events are two events such that the probability of both events occurring is equal to the product of the individual probabilities. Two events A and B are independent if and only if P(A and B) = P(A) P(B). The occurrence or non-occurrence of one event has no effect on the probability of the other event : Introducing Conditional Probability5

The following statements are equivalent. In other words, if any one of them is true, then the others are all true. Events A and B are independent. The occurrence of A has no effect on the probability of B; that is, The occurrence of B has no effect on the probability of A; that is, P(A and B) = P(A) P(B) : Introducing Conditional Probability6

Ms. Dambreville