Mike Awadis Senior Vice President FirstSouthwest Company

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Introduction To Credit Derivatives Stephen P. D Arcy and Xinyan Zhao.
Advertisements

Commercial Bank Operations
227 North Bronough Street, Suite 5000 Tallahassee, Florida Fax Florida Housing Finance Corporation.
Financing Residential Real Estate Lesson 1: Finance and Investment.
Ansel Caine THE CHANGING LANDSCAPE FOR MORTGAGE SERVICING SERVICING ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED FOR BEST EXECUTION AND TBA Friday, April 5, 2013.
Page 1 International Housing Finance Services © 2000 Fannie Mae – All Rights Reserved Possibilities for Capital Market Transactions Mortgage-Backed Securities.
Characteristics of Taxable Securities Money Market Investments Highly liquid instruments which mature within one year that are issued by governments and.
1 Bond Valuation Global Financial Management Campbell R. Harvey Fuqua School of Business Duke University
Investing 101. Types of Savings tools Savings Account: An interest-bearing account (passbook or statement) at a financial institution. Certificates of.
Market Rate TBA Program
©2011 Cengage Learning.
0 Mortgages, Ginnie Mae & the TBA Market Ted Tozer Real Estate Broker Conference August 8, 2013.
CHAPTER 9 MORTGAGE MARKETS. Copyright© 2003 John Wiley and Sons, Inc. The Unique Nature of Mortgage Markets Mortgage loans are secured by the pledge of.
McGraw-Hill /Irwin Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-1 Chapter Seven Mortgage Markets.
McGraw-Hill /Irwin Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-1 Chapter Seven Mortgage Markets.
 Information about the investment products contained in this presentation is solely for informational purposes and does not constitute a specific recommendation.
MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES
0 Presentation prepared for Public Finance Headquarters 1400 Wewatta Street, Suite 800 Denver, CO (800) Single-Family Financing Essentials,
FrontPage: Turn in Savings Calculator worksheet from yesterday if you didn’t finish. The Last Word: Ch 11 Review/Unit 4 Test Tuesday.
Daniel Hough BA 543 May 14, Definition: The market for the sale of securities or bonds collateralized by the value of mortgage loans.
Secondary Mortgage Market Resources Do You Need to Sell Some Loans??? North Carolina Affordable Housing Conference Durham, NC October 16 & 17, 2008 Presented.
CHAPTER A mortgage is a form of debt to finance a real estate investment 2.The mortgage contract specifies: a.Mortgage rate b.Maturity c.Collateral.
Copyright ©2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 18 Asset Allocation.
Learning Objectives  Types of mortgages  Credit Guarantees  Mortgage Amortization  Mortgage Origination and Underwriting Standards  Mortgage refinancing.
Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds
1 Chapter 3 The Secondary Mortgage Market. 2 Learning Objectives Explain why the secondary mortgage market exists and how it developed Describe how the.
1 Chapter 6 Financial Markets, Instruments, and Participants ©2000 South-Western College Publishing.
0 Presentation prepared for Public Finance Headquarters 1400 Wewatta Street, Suite 800 Denver, CO (800) Annual Conference Structuring.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Business in Action 7e Bovée/Thill. Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Chapter 19.
Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds Video Clip Chapter 15 Bonds 15-1.
© 2012 Rockwell Publishing Financing Residential Real Estate Lesson 1: Finance and Investment.
Long-Term Financing. Basics of Long-Term Financing.
The Changing Landscape of Mortgage Servicing
McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Chapter Nine Risk Management Using Asset-Backed Securities, Loan Sales, Credit Standbys,
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 1 CHAPTER NINETEEN THE SECONDARY MORTGAGE MARKET: PASS THROUGH SECURITIES.
Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. A Closer Look at Financial Institutions and Financial Markets Chapter 27.
Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
What is a stock? Presented by: Sean Sturges, CFP® Senior Vice President, Director of Financial Planning D.A. Davidson & Co.
Overview of the Financial System
CHAPTER 11 MORTGAGE MARKETS.
Financial Markets Investing: Chapter 11.
FIN 4140 Financial Markets & Institutions Lecture 1-2.
RECAP LAST LECTURE 5. FINANCIAL SECURITIES & MARKETS DEBENTURE A DEBENTURE ALSO CALLED A NOTE IS AN UNSECURED CORPORATE BOND OR A CORPORATE BOND THAT.
Securities Firms, Mutual Funds, and Financial Conglomerates Chapter 20 © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning.
© 2009 Fannie Mae Do You Need to Sell Some Loans? Secondary Mortgage Market Resources North Carolina Affordable Housing Conference Raleigh, NC November.
Professor XXX Course Name & Number Date Risk Management and Financial Engineering Chapter 21.
© 2012 Cengage Learning. Residential Mortgage Lending: Principles and Practices, 6e Chapter 5 SECONDARY MORTGAGE MARKET.
1 課程 5: Secondary Mortgage Market. 2 Definition of Secondary Mortgage Market (SMM) A collection of institutions and individuals involved in the trading.
National Conference of State Housing Boards Educational and Development Workshop.
NCSHB 2015 Educational & Development Workshop The Latest Single-Family Lending Executions Richard Godfrey cfX Incorporated 55 Broadway, Suite 2608 New.
2015 ANNUAL CONFERENCE: SINGLE-FAMILY FINANCING DIALOGUE September 28, 2015 Managing Unprecedented Diversity and Opportunities for HFA Single Family Programs.
Mike Awadis Senior Vice President th Street, Suite 230 South Santa Monica, CA Phone: Single-Family.
Investing in Bonds McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved
NCSHA 2015 Annual Conference September 28, 2015 Mortgage Financing Executions to Fit the Time Danny Gardner, VP Affordable Lending & Access to Credit.
Mike Awadis Senior Vice President FirstSouthwest Company th Street, Suite 230 South Santa Monica, CA Phone:
ACHIEVING TBA BEST EXECUTION SINGLE FAMILY FINANCING ESSENTIALS: MBS & TBA January 14, 2016.
 Savings – income not used for consumption  Investment – the use of income today that allows for a future benefit  Financial System – all the institutions.
Ahleeya Vang Brooke Maxwell. Agenda  Creating the Mortgage Market 1900: Who and Loan Characteristics 1930: Great Depression  Federal National Mortgage.
Chapter Ten The Investment Function in Financial- Services Management Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
S Housing Finance Model Comparing the Current Market Structure with Alternatives Available Under Corker-Warner S. 1217: “The Housing Finance Reform.
Financial Planning Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Bonds.
Mike Awadis Managing Director HilltopSecurities Ventura Blvd, Suite 1100 Encino, CA Phone: July.
Chapter 15 Investing in Bonds 15-1
SWAPS.
NCSHA 2016 MRB’s – Now and In the Future
Mortgage Securitization and the “TBA” Market
Commercial Bank Operations
1.22 Explain the nature of Bonds
Presentation transcript:

Mike Awadis Senior Vice President FirstSouthwest Company 1620 26th Street, Suite 230 South Santa Monica, CA 90404 Phone: 310.401.8060 Email: mike.awadis@firstsw.com Single-Family Financing Essentials, Part 2: Securing the Best Price NCSHA 2014 HFA Institute Washington, DC January 15, 2015

Disclaimer This presentation is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute legal or investment advice, nor is it an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment or other specific product. Information provided in this presentation was obtained from sources that are believed to be reliable; however, it is not guaranteed to be correct, complete, or current, and is not intended to imply or establish standards of care applicable to any attorney or advisor in any particular circumstances. The statements within constitute FirstSouthwest’s views as of the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. This presentation represents historical information only and is not an indication of future performance.

Contents Market Recap TBAs Underperform in the Rally Mortgage Activity on the Rise Specified pools HFA CRA Partnerships HFA TBA Production Trends

Market Recap Dollar up Stock Market Up – despite the recent correction Yields way down 10-year Treasury near term lows hitting below 1.80% 30-year Treasury at an all time low hit 2.40% Oil way down and pointing lower as a result of the economic slowdown in Asia, Europe and the stronger dollar US economy strong – despite the disappointing retail sales announced yesterday It’s all up to the US Consumer – the last bastion of economic growth

TBAs Underperforms Last week’s Administration announcement related to the FHA MIP reduction was not well received by MBS investors Fear of acceleration in prepayments Evidenced by the BU/BD grids published earlier this month by Fannie Analysts estimate 6-9 CPR impact at the 4% coupon (1% in price). The 4% coupon has been the worst performer TBAs have underperformed in virtually every session this month compared to the benchmark 10 year Treasury Liquidity only shows in the longer slower duration assets -- 3 and 3.5 coupon Ginnie/Fannie swaps sold off drastically on the news 4% coupon Ginnie MBS was the worst performer Given where rolls are trading 4% MBS is priced at 21 CPR (less than 4.5 year average life)

TBAs Underperform – Spread GN2 4s vs 10 Year

TBAs Underperform – Spread GN2/FN 4.0

TBAs Underperform – Spread GN2 4.0/3.5

Mortgage Activity On the Rise Last week mortgage applications spike – biggest gain in 6 years According to the Mortgage Bankers Association weekly survey Total volume increased 49.1% over previous week on seasonally adjusted basis Refinance applications up 66% Conventional applications up 71% Purchase activity up 24% National average 30 year mortgage rate is now 3.89% It’s a perfect storm -- 97% LTV announcement by Fannie, the reduction in MIP by FHA and the market rally is fueling the activity

Specified Pools – HFA Loan Pay-ups A smaller but significant portion of agency MBS trade outside of the TBA market Known as “Specified Pool” The identity of the securities to be traded is specified at the time of trading Some of these pools are typically not eligible for TBA trading Backed by loans with more favorable prepayment characteristics – allowing them to achieve higher prices Factors impacting pricing for specified pools today Supply demand technicals and the volume of available MBS – GN1/GN2 swap Interest rate environment – less demand in a rising rate market CRA buyers make up a significant portion of the “specified” pool market

Benefits of HFA/Bank CRA Partnerships HFA gets a forward dollar commitment at a specified spread to market Allows the HFA to price the pay-up into the daily rate setting process making programs more competitive Benefits buyer by allowing them to lock-in the cost of acquiring CRA investments Allows buyer to specify the type, location and characteristics of collateral to be purchased Potentially helps banks get a more favorable CRA rating in their periodic exams with regulators

HFA TBA Programs Continue to Grow – Despite Volatility Since July 2012 representing 10 state HFAs and over $3.7 billion in locks CY 2014 locks of $2.0 billion Average daily locks are up over 50% in the last 12 months

Best Practices – What Have We Learned Market Rate TBA Program Best Practices – What Have We Learned Expand your product menu include multiple DPA and rate options The primary driver of HFA volume is still the need for DPA Statistics show DPA does not have to be a grant to have a successful program Jr lien DPA can be a significant source of residual income for an HFA Manage your pull-thru rate by optimizing lock terms Don’t give lenders more time than they need to close and sell the loans This will keep your rate more competitive with market Make your program as lender friendly as possible – eliminate unnecessary forms and streamline the approval process Marketing, marketing, marketing – online, newsletters Develop a robust email marketing campaign with your lenders and realtors Make sure lenders understand the HFA Preferred 97 benefits compared to standard Rate does matter – keep interest spreads tight with market Maintain flexibility in your gain-on-sale margins. A “set it and forget it” approach is less effective than maintaining a tighter spread to market

Agency TBA MBS Market Appendix

TBA (Mortgage-Backed) Securities Market Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) -- debt obligations The most common form of MBS are pass-through certificates MBS are highly liquid -- particularly those backed by agency guarantees Most mortgages in the US are securitized through the agency MBS market This trading convention significantly improves agency MBS liquidity – leading to lower mortgage rates for households The key distinguishing feature of agency MBS is they carry a form of government guarantee – explicit (Ginnie Mae) or implied (Fannie and Freddie) Other distinguishing feature is the existence of liquid forward market for trading “TBAs” or “To Be Announced” are a form of future contracts

TBA (Mortgage-Backed) Securities Market – continued Vast majority of MBS trading (over 90%) occurs in the forward market – TBA Market Seller and buyer agree to a sale price without identifying the specific pool numbers Six basic characteristics -- issuer, maturity, coupon rate, price, par amount and settlement date are agreed upon Pools guaranteed by Ginnie Mae (a federal government agency), Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac (GSEs) can be allocated to TBA transactions The goal of the TBA market was to create liquidity A hedging tool – with settlement dates up to nine months out -- allows lenders to “lock in” sale prices for loans The use of dollar rolls allows the seller to extend hedges Drivers of market activity are broker dealers

TBA (Mortgage-Backed) Securities Market – continued TBA trading occurs electronically on an over-the-counter basis Two platforms, DealerWeb (interdealer trades) and TradeWeb (customer trades) Trades can take place via telephone, fax or e-mail – not common Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) has specific rules regarding what constitutes TBA eligible deliveries also knows as “good delivery” Only mortgages meeting certain size and credit quality criteria “conforming mortgages” are eligible for inclusion Sheer aggregate size and the homogenous nature of agency MBS contribute significantly to liquidity – compared to corporate bonds or munis TBA Market is the largest debt market in the world outside of US Treasuries Virtually every primary broker/dealer on the street and in the world makes a market in TBA MBS

TBA (Mortgage-Backed) Securities Market – continued TBA Market is made possible largely because agency MBS are exempt from the registration requirement of the Securities Act of 1933 Although not required, agencies do publicly disclose information about the composition of each pool Similar to Treasury futures, TBAs trade on a “cheapest-to-deliver” basis On a forty-eight-hour day, the seller selects which MBS in its inventory will be delivered to the buyer at settlement In practice, most TBA trades do not ultimately lead to a transfer of physical MBS In most cases the seller will either unwind or “roll” an outstanding trade

Liquidity

TBA Program Benefits When Compared to MRB Market Rate TBA Program TBA Program Benefits When Compared to MRB Provides a no risk forward commitment mortgage program with no costs of issuance, negative arbitrage and legal expenses (outsourced) Produces a significantly lower mortgage rate when compared with Pass-Thru and traditional MRB structures – including using zeros Fund down payment and closing cost assistance without using HFA funds Flexibility to adjust rates as the market moves -- no yield implications Affords HFAs the option to pay higher lender compensation Can be used to provide financing for non-first time homebuyers Program is more lender friendly -- less paperwork for the lender Can be combined with MCCs thus creating a lower effective mortgage rate Gives HFAs the option of offering refinances Significantly more profitable for HFAs than tradition MRBs and Pass-Thru structures both on present value and ongoing basis It can be used as a tool to accumulate MBS for future bond transactions Either “Pass-thru” or “Traditional MRB” structures HFA has the option to repurchase its MBS at prevailing TBA levels

Market Rate TBA Program Disadvantages Because it does not require explicit authority to issue bonds or relies on volume cap, other entities can offer competing programs Cal Rural Home Mortgage Finance Authority (CHF) operates a statewide program in California – in light of its power to only operate on 32 rural counties National Homebuyers Fund – a nonprofit subsidiary of CHF – operates statewide programs is 24 other states No ongoing issuer fee income, the HFA’s income is made up of gain-on-sale and residual income when the DPA or the second mortgage is repaid

Specified Pools – HFA Loan Pay-ups A smaller but significant portion of agency MBS trade outside of the TBA market Known as “Specified Pool” The identity of the securities to be traded is specified at the time of trading Some of these pools are typically not eligible for TBA trading Backed by loans with more favorable prepayment characteristics – allowing them to achieve higher prices Factors impacting pricing for specified pools today Supply demand technicals and the volume of available MBS – GN1/GN2 swap Interest rate environment – less demand in a rising rate market CRA buyers and FHLB make up a significant portion of the “specified” pool market

TBA Market Snapshot

Pricing Example