Slide Slide 1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia Section 4-3.

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Slide Slide 1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia Section 4-3 Addition Rule

Slide Slide 2 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Key Concept The main objective of this section is to present the addition rule as a device for finding probabilities that can be expressed as P(A or B), the probability that either event A occurs or event B occurs (or they both occur) as the single outcome of the procedure.

Slide Slide 3 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Compound Event any event combining 2 or more simple events Definition Notation P(A or B) = P (in a single trial, event A occurs or event B occurs or they both occur)

Slide Slide 4 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Compound Event Intuitive Addition Rule To find P(A or B), find the sum of the number of ways event A can occur and the number of ways event B can occur, adding in such a way that every outcome is counted only once. P(A or B) is equal to that sum, divided by the total number of outcomes in the sample space. Formal Addition Rule P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) where P(A and B) denotes the probability that A and B both occur at the same time as an outcome in a trial or procedure.

Slide Slide 5 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Definition Events A and B are disjoint (or mutually exclusive) if they cannot occur at the same time. (That is, disjoint events do not overlap.) Venn Diagram for Events That Are Not Disjoint Venn Diagram for Disjoint Events

Slide Slide 6 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Complementary Events P(A) and P(A) are disjoint It is impossible for an event and its complement to occur at the same time.

Slide Slide 7 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Rules of Complementary Events P(A) + P(A) = 1 = 1 – P(A) P(A) = 1 – P(A) P(A)

Slide Slide 8 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Venn Diagram for the Complement of Event A

Slide Slide 9 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Recap In this section we have discussed:  Compound events.  Formal addition rule.  Intuitive addition rule.  Disjoint events.  Complementary events.