A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: Answers Event: a tax cut 1. affects C, AD curve 2. shifts AD right 3. SR eq’m at point B. P and Y higher, unemp lower 4. Over time, PE rises, SRAS shifts left, until LR eq’m at C. Y and unemp back at initial levels. P Y LRAS YN SRAS2 AD2 P3 C SRAS1 AD1 P2 Y2 B P1 A The boom in Canada increases the incomes of Canadian consumers. In turn, their spending rises. Some of their spending is on products from the U.S., so their spending increase causes U.S. exports to rise. This shifts the U.S. AD curve to the right. The new short-run equilibrium is at point B, where P and Y are higher, and hence unemployment is lower. At B, P > PE. Over time, PE rises, wages rise, and sticky prices become flexible and rise. The SRAS curve moves leftward. This process continues until the economy arrives at point C, where GDP and unemployment are back at their natural rates, and expectations about P have caught up to reality. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

John Maynard Keynes, 1883-1946 The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, 1936 Argued recessions and depressions can result from inadequate demand; policymakers should shift AD. Famous critique of classical theory: The long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run, we are all dead. Much of the theory in this chapter and the one that follows originates in the work of Keynes. This slide reproduces his famous critique of the long-run focus of classical macroeconomics. In one way, this slide is a good candidate for cutting, if you think this PowerPoint file is too long. Students can easily read about Keynes on their own, in the FYI box that appears in the textbook at the end of this chapter. On the other hand, showing this in class gives students a nice break from all the theory they have sat through. And students may not read the FYI box on their own. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us when the storm is long past, the ocean will be flat. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CONCLUSION This chapter has introduced the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, which helps explain economic fluctuations. Keep in mind: these fluctuations are deviations from the long-run trends explained by the models we learned in previous chapters. In the next chapter, we will learn how policymakers can affect aggregate demand with fiscal and monetary policy. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY Short-run fluctuations in GDP and other macroeconomic quantities are irregular and unpredictable. Recessions are periods of falling real GDP and rising unemployment. Economists analyze fluctuations using the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply. The aggregate demand curve slopes downward because a change in the price level has a wealth effect on consumption, an interest-rate effect on investment, and an exchange-rate effect on net exports. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY Anything that changes C, I, G, or NX – except a change in the price level – will shift the aggregate demand curve. The long-run aggregate supply curve is vertical, because changes in the price level do not affect output in the long run. In the long run, output is determined by labor, capital, natural resources, and technology; changes in any of these will shift the long-run aggregate supply curve. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY In the short run, output deviates from its natural rate when the price level is different than expected, leading to an upward-sloping short-run aggregate supply curve. The three theories proposed to explain this upward slope are the sticky wage theory, the sticky price theory, and the misperceptions theory. The short-run aggregate-supply curve shifts in response to changes in the expected price level and to anything that shifts the long-run aggregate supply curve. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY Economic fluctuations are caused by shifts in aggregate demand and aggregate supply. When aggregate demand falls, output and the price level fall in the short run. Over time, a change in expectations causes wages, prices, and perceptions to adjust, and the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts rightward. In the long run, the economy returns to the natural rates of output and unemployment, but with a lower price level. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY A fall in aggregate supply results in stagflation – falling output and rising prices. Wages, prices, and perceptions adjust over time, and the economy recovers. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

34 The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand 34 P R I N C I P L E S O F F O U R T H E D I T I O N In the previous chapter, we saw that shifts in aggregate demand or aggregate supply cause fluctuations in real GDP, employment, and the price level. Such fluctuations are destabilizing to businesses and workers. Policymakers can use fiscal or monetary policy to try to stabilize the economy. This chapter focuses on how these policy tools work, emphasizing the short-run effects of these policies. (Students learned about the long-run effects of fiscal and monetary policy in previous chapters.) Most students find this chapter less difficult than the preceding one. But, they will still benefit from reading the chapter carefully, as the textbook contains very helpful discussions & explanations of this material.

In this chapter, look for the answers to these questions: In this chapter, look for the answers to these questions: How does the interest-rate effect help explain the slope of the aggregate-demand curve? How can the central bank use monetary policy to shift the AD curve? In what two ways does fiscal policy affect aggregate demand? What are the arguments for and against using policy to try to stabilize the economy? CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Introduction Earlier chapters covered: Earlier chapters covered: the long-run effects of fiscal policy on interest rates, investment, economic growth the long-run effects of monetary policy on the price level and inflation rate This chapter focuses on the short-run effects of fiscal and monetary policy, which work through aggregate demand. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

the most important of these effects for the U.S. economy Aggregate Demand Recall, the AD curve slopes downward for three reasons: the wealth effect the interest-rate effect the exchange-rate effect Next: a supply-demand model that helps explain the interest-rate effect and how monetary policy affects aggregate demand. the most important of these effects for the U.S. economy The wealth effect is less important because money holdings are only a small part of household wealth. The exchange rate effect is less important because imports and exports are a relatively small percentage of GDP. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Theory of Liquidity Preference A simple theory of the interest rate (denoted r) r adjusts to balance supply and demand for money Money supply: assume fixed by central bank, does not depend on interest rate CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Theory of Liquidity Preference Money demand reflects how much wealth people want to hold in liquid form. For simplicity, suppose household wealth includes only two assets: Money – liquid but pays no interest Bonds – pay interest but not as liquid A household’s “money demand” reflects its preference for liquidity. The variables that influence money demand: Y, r, and P. To understand the interest-rate effect and how monetary policy shifts AD, students will need to know how money demand depends on r and P. The dependence of money demand on Y is not directly needed here (though it becomes important in the discussion of the crowding-out effect, later in this chapter). But if you omit Y from the discussion, students will have trouble understanding why an increase in P causes an increase in money demand. They will think that an increase in P reduces demand for g&s, so people will need less money, not more. In that line of reasoning, students are not holding real income constant. But this is easily corrected: Once students realize that real income is what determines the quantity of g&s households want to buy, then they can more easily accept that P only determines the number of dollars needed to buy that quantity of g&s. (Notes continued on next slide.) CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Money Demand Suppose real income (Y) rises. Other things equal, what happens to money demand? If Y rises: Households want to buy more g&s, so they need more money. I.e., an increase in Y causes an increase in money demand, other things equal. Here is the plan: This slide asks “how does money demand depend on Y?” and provides the answer. The following slides ask how money demand depends on r and P and does not provide the answers, but asks students to figure out the answers themselves. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1: The determinants of money demand A. Suppose r rises, but Y and P are unchanged. What happens to money demand? B. Suppose P rises, but Y and r are unchanged. What happens to money demand? You may be reluctant to allocate class time to this activity, when you could much more quickly just give them the answers. But students will learn these concepts better if they have to figure them out. If you give students a few minutes to try to figure out the answers, consider having them work in pairs: each student can “test” his or her answer on the other student, and students can “pick apart” each other’s answers until they are comfortable that they have the correct reasoning. This is a very effective learning experience. I suggest allowing 4 minutes of class time for students to formulate their answers. (To motivate students to actually work on the questions during these 4 minutes, you might tell them these questions appeared on exams you have given in this course in the past.) During these four minutes, circulate around the room, not only to make yourself available in case any students need help getting started, but also to get a sense of how well students are “getting it.” 15

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1: Answers A. Suppose r rises, but Y and P are unchanged. What happens to money demand? r is the opportunity cost of holding money. An increase in r reduces money demand: Households attempt to buy bonds to take advantage of the higher interest rate. Hence, an increase in r causes a decrease in money demand, other things equal. 16

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1: Answers B. Suppose P rises, but Y and r are unchanged. What happens to money demand? If Y is unchanged, people will want to buy the same amount of g&s. Since P is higher, they will need more money to do so. Hence, an increase in P causes an increase in money demand, other things equal. 17

Quantity fixed by the Fed How r Is Determined M Interest rate MS curve is vertical: Changes in r do not affect MS, which is fixed by the Fed. MD curve is downward sloping: a fall in r increases money demand. MS MD1 r1 Eq’m interest rate As in previous chapters, MS = Money Supply and MD = Money Demand. Quantity fixed by the Fed CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

How the Interest-Rate Effect Works A fall in P reduces money demand, which lowers r. M Interest rate Y P MS MD1 AD r1 MD2 P1 Y1 r2 P2 Y2 This graph replicates Figure 2 in the textbook, with one difference. Figure 2 shows the effects of an increase in P on interest rates and on the quantity of real GDP demanded. For the sake of variety, this slide shows the effects of a decrease in P. In the preceding exercise, students figured out that an increase in P causes an increase in money demand. Of course, the converse is true: a decrease in P causes a decrease in money demand, which shifts the money demand curve left as shown in the graph on the left. As the book explains, the fall in the interest rate reduces the cost of borrowing, so it stimulates investment – firms borrow more money (or sell more bonds, or issue more stock) to finance investment projects, and households borrow more money to buy new houses. One thing the book does not emphasize that also might be relevant is that a portion of consumption responds to the interest rate, particularly spending on autos and other big-ticket purchases that people usually finance. A fall in r increases I and the quantity of g&s demanded. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Monetary Policy and Aggregate Demand To achieve macroeconomic goals, the Fed can use monetary policy to shift the AD curve. The Fed’s policy instrument is the money supply. The news often reports that the Fed targets the interest rate. more precisely, the federal funds rate – which banks charge each other on short-term loans To change the interest rate and shift the AD curve, the Fed conducts open market operations to change the money supply. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Effects of Reducing the Money Supply The Fed can raise r by reducing the money supply. M Interest rate Y P MS2 MS1 AD1 MD r2 AD2 P1 Y1 Y2 r1 This graph replicates Figure 3 in the textbook, with one difference. Figure 3 shows the effects an increase in the money supply. This slide shows the effects of a decrease in the money supply, for the sake of variety, and because this is what the Fed has recently been doing. It’s important for students to note that the contraction of the money supply and subsequent interest rate hike reduces the quantity of g&s demanded at each price level. Hence, the AD curve shifts left. An increase in r reduces the quantity of g&s demanded. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: Exercise For each of the events below, - determine the short-run effects on output - determine how the Fed should adjust the money supply and interest rates to stabilize output A. Congress tries to balance the budget by cutting govt spending. B. A stock market boom increases household wealth. C. War breaks out in the Middle East, causing oil prices to soar. This exercise gets students to apply the preceding material on monetary policy and the aggregate demand curve. Determining the correct answers requires students to integrate this material with what they learned in the preceding chapter on the effects of events that shift aggregate demand or aggregate supply. Most students will not find this exercise difficult. For each event, assume the economy was initially in a long-run equilibrium before the event occurs. 22

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: Answers A. Congress tries to balance the budget by cutting govt spending. This event would reduce agg demand and output. To offset this event, the Fed should increase MS and reduce r to increase agg demand. 23

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: Answers B. A stock market boom increases household wealth. This event would increase agg demand, raising output above its natural rate. To offset this event, the Fed should reduce MS and increase r to reduce agg demand. After displaying the answer, you might ask students “Why would the Fed want to counteract an event that raises output and employment?” Indeed, some students may be wondering exactly this question. If so, you can explain that the model they learned in the preceding chapter shows that output and employment cannot remain above their natural rates for long, because prices start rising and SRAS shifts up. In the end, output and employment are back at their natural rates, but prices are permanently higher. Better yet, don’t explain it. See if you can get another student to provide the correct explanation. 24

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: Answers C. War breaks out in the Middle East, causing oil prices to soar. This event would reduce agg supply, causing output to fall. To offset this event, the Fed should increase MS and reduce r to increase agg demand. Of course, this monetary policy would result in permanently higher prices. But the exercise asked for the policy that stabilizes output, not prices. 25

Fiscal Policy and Aggregate Demand Fiscal policy: the setting of the level of govt spending and taxation by govt policymakers Expansionary fiscal policy an increase in G and/or decrease in T shifts AD right Contractionary fiscal policy a decrease in G and/or increase in T shifts AD left Fiscal policy has two effects on AD. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Multiplier Effect If the govt buys $20b of planes from Boeing, Boeing’s revenue increases by $20b. This is distributed to Boeing’s workers (as wages) and owners (as profits or stock dividends). These people are also consumers, and will spend a portion of the extra income. This extra consumption causes further increases in aggregate demand. $20b = $20 billion Multiplier effect: the additional shifts in AD that result when fiscal policy increases income and thereby increases consumer spending CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Multiplier Effect A $20b increase in G initially shifts AD to the right by $20b. The increase in Y causes C to rise, which shifts AD further to the right. Y P AD3 AD2 AD1 P1 Y1 Y2 Y3 $20 billion CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Marginal Propensity to Consume How big is the multiplier effect? It depends on how much consumers respond to increases in income. Marginal propensity to consume (MPC): the fraction of extra income that households consume rather than save E.g., if MPC = 0.8 and income rises $100, C rises $80. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

A Formula for the Multiplier Notation: G is the change in G, Y and C are the ultimate changes in Y and C Y = C + I + G + NX identity Y = C + G I and NX do not change Y = MPC Y + G because C = MPC Y solved for Y 1 1 – MPC Y = G The multiplier This slide uses simple algebra to derive a formula for the simple spending multiplier. If you do not wish to cover this derivation, you can skip to the next slide, which just shows the formula for the multiplier. However, you will need to explain the “delta” notation, as the formula on the next slide includes the terms G and Y. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

A Formula for the Multiplier The size of the multiplier depends on MPC. e.g., if MPC = 0.5 multiplier = 2 if MPC = 0.75 multiplier = 4 if MPC = 0.9 multiplier = 10 A bigger MPC means changes in Y cause bigger changes in C, which in turn cause more changes in Y. 1 1 – MPC Y = G The multiplier If you skipped the previous slide, which shows the algebraic derivation of the multiplier, then you may need to explain the delta notation to students. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Other Applications of the Multiplier Effect The multiplier effect: each $1 increase in G can generate more than a $1 increase in agg demand. Also true for the other components of GDP. Example: Suppose a recession overseas reduces demand for U.S. net exports by $10b. Initially, agg demand falls by $10b. The fall in Y causes C to fall, which further reduces agg demand and income. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Crowding-Out Effect Fiscal policy has another effect on AD that works in the opposite direction. A fiscal expansion shifts AD to the right, but also raises r, which reduces investment and, thus, reduces the net increase in agg demand. So, the size of the AD shift may be smaller than the initial fiscal expansion. This is called the crowding-out effect. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

How the Crowding-Out Effect Works A $20b increase in G initially shifts AD right by $20b M Interest rate Y P MS MD2 AD2 AD3 r2 MD1 AD1 P1 Y1 Y3 Y2 r1 $20 billion This graph replicates Figure 5 in the textbook. Note: This graph demonstrates the crowding-out effect in isolation, ignoring the multiplier effect. But higher Y increases MD and r, which reduces AD. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Changes in Taxes A tax cut increases households’ take-home pay. A tax cut increases households’ take-home pay. Households respond by spending a portion of this extra income, shifting AD to the right. The size of the shift is affected by the multiplier and crowding-out effects. Another factor: whether households perceive the tax cut to be temporary or permanent. A permanent tax cut causes a bigger increase in C – and a bigger shift in the AD curve – than a temporary tax cut. The textbook gives a nice example: the first President Bush reduced federal income tax withholding to stimulate consumer spending to combat the recession. However, this was just a temporary reallocation of tax liability and, consequently, had a very small affect on aggregate demand. See the textbook for more details. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 3: Exercise The economy is in recession. Shifting the AD curve rightward by $200b would end the recession. A. If MPC = .8 and there is no crowding out, how much should Congress increase G to end the recession? B. If there is crowding out, will Congress need to increase G more or less than this amount? This exercise gets students to apply the preceding material on the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate demand. Finding the answers requires students use the formula for the multiplier, but does not require that students understand the algebraic derivation of this formula. 36

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 3: Answers The economy is in recession. Shifting the AD curve rightward by $200b would end the recession. A. If MPC = .8 and there is no crowding out, how much should Congress increase G to end the recession? Multiplier = 1/(1 – .8) = 5 Increase G by $40b to shift agg demand by 5 x $40b = $200b. 37

A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 3: Answers The economy is in recession. Shifting the AD curve rightward by $200b would end the recession. B. If there is crowding out, will Congress need to increase G more or less than this amount? Crowding out reduces the impact of G on AD. To offset this, Congress should increase G by a larger amount. 38

Using Policy to Stabilize the Economy Since the Employment Act of 1946, economic stabilization has been a goal of U.S. policy. Economists debate how active a role the govt should take to stabilize the economy. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Case for Active Stabilization Policy Keynes: “animal spirits” cause waves of pessimism and optimism among households and firms, leading to shifts in aggregate demand and fluctuations in output and employment. Also, other factors cause fluctuations, e.g., booms and recessions abroad stock market booms and crashes If policymakers do nothing, these fluctuations are destabilizing to businesses, workers, consumers. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Case for Active Stabilization Policy Proponents of active stabilization policy believe the govt should use policy to reduce these fluctuations: when GDP falls below its natural rate, should use expansionary monetary or fiscal policy to prevent or reduce a recession when GDP rises above its natural rate, should use contractionary policy to prevent or reduce an inflationary boom CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Keynesians in the White House 1961: John F Kennedy pushed for a tax cut to stimulate agg demand. Several of his economic advisors were followers of Keynes. 2001: George W Bush pushed for a tax cut that helped the economy recover from a recession that had just begun. This slide covers a Case Study in the chapter. Of course, there are lots of other examples of Keynesians in the White House. President Reagan (who believed himself a supply-sider!) pushed through large tax cuts and spending increases during his first term, which helped the economy out of a nasty recession. President Clinton inherited a very weak economy, and proposed investment tax credits and other initiatives to stimulate aggregate demand. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Case Against Active Stabilization Policy Monetary policy affects economy with a long lag: firms make investment plans in advance, so I takes time to respond to changes in r most economists believe it takes at least 6 months for mon policy to affect output and employment Fiscal policy also works with a long lag: Changes in G and T require Acts of Congress. The legislative process can take months or years. The legislative process can be quite lengthy. A bill is introduced in Congress, debated, amended, and voted on in each chamber of Congress. The House and the Senate must reconcile any differences, and the reconciled bill must pass a vote in both chambers. Then, the President must sign the bill into law. In addition to the time it takes for this process to occur, there are often compromises made along the way for political reasons. So, many people have trouble imagining that fiscal policy could be used in an active way to respond to shocks as they occur. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

The Case Against Active Stabilization Policy Due to these long lags, critics of active policy argue that such policies may destabilize the economy rather than help it: By the time the policies affect agg demand, the economy’s condition may have changed. These critics contend that policymakers should focus on long-run goals, like economic growth and low inflation. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Automatic Stabilizers Automatic stabilizers: changes in fiscal policy that stimulate agg demand when economy goes into recession, without policymakers having to take any deliberate action CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Automatic Stabilizers: Examples The tax system Taxes are tied to economic activity. When economy goes into recession, taxes fall automatically. This stimulates agg demand and reduces the magnitude of fluctuations. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

Automatic Stabilizers: Examples Govt spending In a recession, incomes fall and unemployment rises. More people apply for public assistance (e.g., unemployment insurance, welfare). Govt outlays on these programs automatically increase, which stimulates agg demand and reduces the magnitude of fluctuations. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CONCLUSION Policymakers need to consider all the effects of their actions. For example, When Congress cuts taxes, it needs to consider the short-run effects on agg demand and employment, and the long-run effects on saving and growth. When the Fed reduces the rate of money growth, it must take into account not only the long-run effects on inflation, but the short-run effects on output and employment. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY In the theory of liquidity preference, the interest rate adjusts to balance the demand for money with the supply of money. The interest-rate effect helps explain why the aggregate-demand curve slopes downward: An increase in the price level raises money demand, which raises the interest rate, which reduces investment, which reduces the aggregate quantity of goods & services demanded. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY An increase in the money supply causes the interest rate to fall, which stimulates investment and shifts the aggregate demand curve rightward. Expansionary fiscal policy – a spending increase or tax cut – shifts aggregate demand to the right. Contractionary fiscal policy shifts aggregate demand to the left. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY When the government alters spending or taxes, the resulting shift in aggregate demand can be larger or smaller than the fiscal change: The multiplier effect tends to amplify the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate demand. The crowding-out effect tends to dampen the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate demand. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER SUMMARY Economists disagree about how actively policymakers should try to stabilize the economy. Some argue that the government should use fiscal and monetary policy to combat destabilizing fluctuations in output and employment. Others argue that policy will end up destabilizing the economy, because policies work with long lags. CHAPTER 34 THE INFLUENCE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY