Part A: UK Housing Market

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Presentation transcript:

Part A: UK Housing Market

Chart A.22 Household debt to income is high compared with other developed economies Household debt to disposable income(a) Sources: ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, Federal Reserve, ONS and Bank calculations. (a) Households’ and non-profit institutions’ total financial liabilities as a percentage of a four-quarter moving sum of their disposable income. (b) Includes all liabilities of the household sector except for the unfunded pension liabilities and financial derivatives of the non-profit sector. The household disposable income series is adjusted for financial intermediation services indirectly measured. (c) US debt to income measure not directly comparable with other countries due to inconsistent definitions of household sector as discussed in www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/13 605-x/2012005/ article/11748-eng.htm.

Table A.2 The share of new mortgages with high loan to income ratios has fallen Mortgage lending by loan to income ratio(a) Sources: FCA Product Sales Database and Bank calculations. Data include regulated mortgages for first-time buyers and homemovers for which borrower income is available. Unregulated mortgages, lifetime mortgages, remortgages, and loans extended for unknown reasons are excluded.

Table A.3 June 2014 FPC housing market Recommendations

Chart A.23 The distribution of debt to income has improved marginally Total debt to income ratios for UK households(a) Sources: NMG Consulting and Bank calculations. (a) Calculations exclude households with no debt.

Table A.24 Forward-looking indicators suggest momentum in the housing market is building Forward-looking indicators of house prices(a) Sources: Halifax, Nationwide, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) and Bank calculations. (a) RICS series adjusted to have the same mean and variance as the house prices series. (b) June 2014 Financial Stability Report.

Table A.4 Lenders have imposed their own loan to income restrictions Lenders’ loan to income restrictions(a) Sources: Financial Times, HM Treasury and Mortgage Strategy.

Chart A.25 Quoted rates on mortgages have fallen Average quoted mortgages rates and swap rates(a) Sources: Bank of England, Bloomberg and Bank calculations. Sterling-only month-end average quoted rates on mortgages. Quoted rates series are weighted averages of rates from a sample of up to 22 banks and building societies with products meeting specific criteria (see www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/Pages/iadb/notesiadb/household_int.aspx). Quoted mortgages rate data are to May 2015 correct as at 29 June 2015. Swap rate data are to 22 June 2015. Data are non seasonally adjusted

Chart A.26 Buy-to-let lending has accounted for most of the growth in mortgage stock since 2008 Composition of outstanding mortgage stock(a) Sources: Bank of England, Council of Mortgage Lenders and Bank calculations. (a) Data are non seasonally adjusted. (b) Lending to owner-occupiers is calculated as outstanding lending to individuals secured on dwellings less outstanding lending secured on buy-to-let properties.

Chart A.27 The private rental sector has been expanding recently Housing tenure(a) Sources: Department for Communities and Local Government and Bank calculations.