Correlation Patterns. Correlation Coefficient A statistical measure of the covariation or association between two variables. Are dollar sales.

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Presentation transcript:

Correlation Patterns

Correlation Coefficient A statistical measure of the covariation or association between two variables. Are dollar sales associated with advertising dollar expenditures?

The Correlation coefficient for two variables, X and Y is.

Correlation Coefficient r r ranges from +1 to -1 r = +1 a perfect positive linear relationship r = -1 a perfect negative linear relationship r = 0 indicates no correlation

Simple Correlation Coefficient

= Variance of X = Variance of Y = Covariance of X and Y Simple Correlation Coefficient Alternative Method

Coefficient of Determination

Correlation Does Not Mean Causation High correlation Rooster’s crow and the rising of the sun –Rooster does not cause the sun to rise. Teachers’ salaries and the consumption of liquor –Covary because they are both influenced by a third variable

Correlation Matrix The standard form for reporting correlational results.

Correlation Matrix

Type of Measurement Differences between two independent groups Differences among three or more independent groups Interval and ratio Independent groups: t-test or Z-test One-way ANOVA Common Bivariate Tests

Type of Measurement Differences between two independent groups Differences among three or more independent groups Ordinal Mann-Whitney U-test Wilcoxon test Kruskal-Wallis test Common Bivariate Tests

Type of Measurement Differences between two independent groups Differences among three or more independent groups Nominal Z-test (two proportions) Chi-square test Common Bivariate Tests

Differences Between Groups Contingency Tables Cross-Tabulation Chi-Square allows testing for significant differences between groups “Goodness of Fit”

Type of Measurement Differences between two independent groups Interval and ratio t-test or Z-test

Differences Between Groups when Comparing Means Ratio scaled dependent variables t-test –When groups are small –When population standard deviation is unknown z-test –When groups are large

Null Hypothesis About Mean Differences Between Groups

t-Test for Difference of Means

X 1 = mean for Group 1 X 2 = mean for Group 2 S X 1 -X 2 = the pooled or combined standard error of difference between means. t-Test for Difference of Means

X 1 = mean for Group 1 X 2 = mean for Group 2 S X 1 -X 2 = the pooled or combined standard error of difference between means. t-Test for Difference of Means

Pooled Estimate of the Standard Error

S 1 2 = the variance of Group 1 S 2 2 = the variance of Group 2 n 1 = the sample size of Group 1 n 2 = the sample size of Group 2 Pooled Estimate of the Standard Error

Pooled Estimate of the Standard Error t-test for the Difference of Means S 1 2 = the variance of Group 1 S 2 2 = the variance of Group 2 n 1 = the sample size of Group 1 n 2 = the sample size of Group 2

Degrees of Freedom d.f. = n - k where: –n = n 1 + n 2 –k = number of groups

t-Test for Difference of Means Example

Type of Measurement Differences between two independent groups Nominal Z-test (two proportions)

Comparing Two Groups when Comparing Proportions Percentage Comparisons Sample Proportion - P Population Proportion -

Differences Between Two Groups when Comparing Proportions The hypothesis is: H o :  1   may be restated as: H o :  1   

or Z-Test for Differences of Proportions

p 1 = sample portion of successes in Group 1 p 2 = sample portion of successes in Group 2  1  1 )  = hypothesized population proportion 1 minus hypothesized population proportion 1 minus S p1-p2 = pooled estimate of the standard errors of difference of proportions Z-Test for Differences of Proportions

p = pooled estimate of proportion of success in a sample of both groups p = (1- p) or a pooled estimate of proportion of failures in a sample of both groups n  = sample size for group 1 n  = sample size for group 2 Z-Test for Differences of Proportions

A Z-Test for Differences of Proportions

Hypothesis Test of a Proportion  is the population proportion p is the sample proportion  is estimated with p

5. :H 5. :H 1 0   Hypothesis Test of a Proportion

0115.S p  S p  S p  1200 )8)(.2(. S p  n pq S p  20.p  200,1n  Hypothesis Test of a Proportion: Another Example

Indeed.001 the beyond t significant is it level..05 the at rejected be should hypothesis null the so 1.96, exceeds value Z The 348.4Z Z Z S p Z p       Hypothesis Test of a Proportion: Another Example