Investment Approach ROCKBRIDGE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC.

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Presentation transcript:

Investment Approach ROCKBRIDGE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC

Efficient Market Hypothesis The Hypothesis States: Current prices incorporate all available information and expectations. Current prices are the best approximation of intrinsic value. Price changes are due to unforeseen events. “Mispricings” do occur but not in predictable patterns that can lead to consistent outperformance. Implications: Active management strategies cannot consistently add value through security selection and market timing. Passive investment strategies reward investors with capital market returns.

Principles Markets work. Capital markets do a good job of fairly pricing all available information and investor expectations about publicly traded securities. Diversification is key. Comprehensive, global asset allocation can neutralize the risks specific to individual securities. Risk and return are related. The compensation for taking on increased levels of risk is the potential to earn greater returns. Portfolio structure explains performance. The asset classes that comprise a portfolio and the risk levels of those asset classes are responsible for most of the variability of portfolio returns.

Our Investment Philosophy Rockbridge Investment Management- “building wealth with simple disciplines” Simple Disciplines: Believe markets work Understanding Risk Rebalance Control Costs

Applying the Science of Capital Markets to the Investment Process Structure the Portfolio – Achieve Desired Risk Exposure SECURITY SELECTION DECISION Reevaluate and Rebalance Determine Appropriate Investment Risk for the Client ASSET ALLOCATION DECISION Measure Results and Compare to Appropriate Benchmarks Investment Philosophy Capital Markets Work

What Sets Us Apart A Trusted Advisor  We take pride in helping people achieve their long-term investment goals and provide our clients with the ongoing investment support they need. A Focus on Asset Allocation  Most of the variation in a portfolio’s return is explained by its allocation among several broad asset classes.  The strategic asset allocation defines risk. A Conviction that Costs Matter  By keeping investment costs at an absolute minimum, plan participants realize substantial benefits in their accounts over time.

Risk and Return Are Related Equity Market (complete value-weighted universe of stocks) Stocks tend to have higher expected returns than fixed income over time. Company Size (measured by market capitalization) Small company stocks tend to have higher expected returns than large company stocks over time. Company Price (measured by ratio of company book value to market equity) Lower-priced “value” stocks tend to have higher expected returns than higher-priced “growth” stocks over time. Value Large Small Growth Increased Risk Exposure and Expected Return Total Stock Market Decreased Risk Exposure and Expected Return

Value Stocks vs. Large Stocks Monthly: July 1926-December 2008 Rolling Time Periods1 Year3 Years5 Years10 Years15 Years20 Years30 Years40 Years Total Number of Periods Number of Periods US Large Value Index Outperformed S&P 500 Index Percentage of All Rolling Periods Where US Large Value Index Outperformed S&P 500 Index

Small Stocks vs. Large Stocks Monthly: July 1926-December 2008 Rolling Time Periods1 Year3 Years5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 30 Years 40 Years Total Number of Periods Number of Periods US Small Cap Index Outperformed S&P 500 Index Percentage of All Rolling Periods Where US Small Cap Index Outperformed S&P 500 Index

Optimal Portfolio Asset ClassMarket Benchmark Current Optimal Weighting Domestic Large-cap stocksS&P 50036% Domestic Small-cap stocksRussell % International equitiesMSCI EAFE40% Domestic Large Cap MarketDomestic Small Cap Market International Equity Market Total large cap36%Total small cap28%Large cap23% High book-to-market34%High book-to-market33%High book-to-market26% REIT market30%Micro cap39%Small cap18% Emerging markets33%

How it Works Rockbridge Model/AlternativeQuarter One Year Three Years Five Years Ten Years Expected ReturnRisk Sharpe Ratio Capital Preservation*0.4%-1.3%3.2% 3.8%6.20%2.6%0.719 Additional markets**-0.3%-1.2%3.1%3.4%4.3%6.24%2.5%0.748 Conservative*-3.5%-9.4%1.3%2.8%3.8%7.52%5.1%0.615 Additional markets**-5.1%-9.6%0.9%3.4%5.3%8.10%5.1%0.729 Moderate*-8.0%-17.5%-0.8%2.2%3.4%8.51%8.1%0.516 Additional markets**-10.6%-17.9%-1.5%3.0%5.9%9.65%8.2%0.648 Aggressive*-13.8%-25.8%-3.5%1.1%2.3%8.85%11.1%0.405 Additional markets**-17.4%-26.6%-4.6%2.2%5.8%10.54%11.4%0.545 All Equity*-21.3%-36.0%-7.0%-0.2%0.9%8.89%15.4%0.294 Additional markets**-25.7%-37.4%-8.5%1.2%5.6%11.87%16.3%0.461

Mutual Fund Expenses “After costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will be less than the return on the average passively managed dollar for any time period.” —William F. Sharpe, 1990 Nobel Laureate Domestic Mutual Fund Expense RatiosInternational Mutual Fund Expense Ratios Average of All Funds Weighted Average, Based on Fund Assets Average of All Funds Active Passive Weighted Average, Based on Fund Assets Weighted Average, Based on Fund Assets Average of All Funds Weighted Average, Based on Fund Assets Average of All Funds

Fees Matter Fees matter. Over long time periods, high management fees and related expenses can be a significant drag on wealth creation. Passive investments generally maintain lower fees than the average actively managed investment by minimizing trading costs and eliminating the costs of researching stocks. Assumed 6.5% Annualized Return over 30 Years $4,983,951 $3,745,318 $2,806,794 1% Fee 2% Fee 3% Fee $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 1 Year3 Years5 Years10 Years20 Years30 Years Time Dollars

Why Hire a Financial Manager? 1. The importance of the fiduciary relationship We work for you – in your best interest as Acting as your agent 2. The importance of discipline Most individual investor act on both knowledge and emotion, tempting them to invest in sub-optimal ways. Serving as your agent, we employ only knowledge and scientific principle – purely rational decision making. We use time tested, scientifically based, well defined process to achieve superior results. 3. The importance of costs Because our services are fee based, we never take commissions Commissions significantly degrade your portfolio over time