Lafayette Investment Club April 15 2011. Agenda  Club News  Portfolio  Financial News  Sell Recommendation: AMSC.

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Presentation transcript:

Lafayette Investment Club April

Agenda  Club News  Portfolio  Financial News  Sell Recommendation: AMSC

Club News  Hedge Fund Trip  NANETTE COOLEY Hosted by Alex Hyman P'14, Cofounder Thursday, April 21, 12:00pm - 5:00pm  Movie “Inside Job” – FREE FOOD! by the Econ Club Monday, April 18th, Hugel 100, 7:00pm - 9:00pm

OFFICER ELECTIONS  Next Friday, April 20 Analysts (2-3) PR (3) Webmaster Secretary Treasurer President and VP

Portfolio  January $368,  April $370,  YTD Portfolio Return.53% vs. S&P %  WHY?

Portfolio

Portfolio January to April  ENERGY and COMMODITIES5.07%  FINANCIAL SERVICES-0.35%  HEALTHCARE and BIOTECH2.61%  MISC7.54%  ETFs5.16%  TECHNOLOGY-7.36%

Financial News  DJIA: , up 0.03% , up 0.1%

Financial News  OIL: , up 0.86  GOLD: , up 2.00

Middle East Unrest

Budget Debates

Japan

Sell Recommendation: AMSC Miao and Greg

Overview  3 Areas of Focus:  Wind Energy (Turbine design, components, grid connections)  Power Systems (Grid components motors)  High Temperature Superconductor (HTS) wires

Some Numbers  Current  52 week range:  P/E  Beta 1.58  EPS: 0.86

Financials Only up to March 2010…Up to Dec 2010 Income Statement (Annually ) Income Statement (Quarterly)

More financials Balance SheetQuarterly Cash Flow

What was going on? Quarterly Cash Flow Balance Sheet (Quarterly)

Something good about AMSC  Overlap with other AMSC business  Government Support: $4.8M from the Department of Energy for further development of superconducting electrical cables.  Bright future of the business (long run): Energy Consumption

Recent Movement April 6th

Recent News  Chinese Industrial company Sinovel, which accounts for over 70% of AMSC’s revenues, declined to receive American Superconductors components due to inventory backup  “If Sinovel cancelled purchase orders or development contracts, or discontinued future purchases from us, we would likely be unable to replace the related revenues. This would have a serious negative impact on our operating results and financial position.” -10-k for 2009

Other Negative News  In March, AMSC said it would buy The Switch Engineering Oy for $266 million -- $79 million of which would be paid in stock.  With the recent drop in AMSC's stock value it would require more shares to complete the deal which makes this acquisition less likely

Should we sell it?  As a result of the recent withdrawal of Sinovels business, AMSC will likely be running in the red light for at least one year, possible more  We recommend to Sell AMSC