Corporate Financial Policy 2004-2005 WACC Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles.

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Presentation transcript:

Corporate Financial Policy WACC Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |2 How to value a levered company? Value of levered company: V = V U + VTS = E + D In general, WACC changes over time Rearrange: Solve: Expected payoff = Free cash flow unlevered + Interest Tax Shield + Expected value Expected return for debt and equity investors

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |3 Comments In general, the WACC changes over time. But to be useful, we should have a constant WACC to use as the discount rate. This can be obtained by restricting the financing policy. 2 possible financing rules: Rule 1: Debt fixed Borrow a fraction of initial project value »Interest tax shields are constant. They are discounted at the cost of debt. Rule 2: Debt rebalanced Adjust the debt in each future period to keep it at a constant fraction of future project value. »Interest tax shields vary. They are discounted at the opportunity cost of capital (except, possibly, for next tax shield –cf Miles and Ezzel)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |4 A general framework Value of all-equity firm Value of tax shield Value of equity Value of debt V = V U + VTS = E + D rErE rDrD rArA r TS

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |5 Cost of equity calculation If r TS = r D (MM) and VTS = T C D Similar formulas for beta equity (replace r by β)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |6 WACC If r TS = r D and VTS = T C D (MM)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |7 Rule 1: Debt fixed (Modigliani Miller) Assumption: constant perpetuities FCF t = EBIT(1-T C ) = r A V U D constant. Define: L = D/V

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |8 Rule 2a: Debt rebalanced (Miles Ezzel) Assumption: any cash flows Debt rebalanced D t /V t = L ( a constant)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |9 Miles-Ezzel: example Data Investment 300 Pre-tax CF Year 1 50 Year Year Year 4100 Year 5 50 r A 10% r D 5% T C 40% L 25% Base case NPV = = Using Miles-Ezzel formula WACC = 10% x 0.40 x 5% x 1.10/1.05 = 9.48% APV = = Initial debt: D 0 = 0.25 V 0 = (0.25)(344.55)=86.21 Debt rebalanced each year: Year V t D t Using MM formula: WACC = 10%( x 0.25) = 9% APV = = Debt: D = 0.25 V = (0.25)(349.21) = No rebalancing

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |10 Miles-Ezzel: example Table 1 Table 2

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |11 Rule 2b: Debt rebalanced (Harris & Pringle) Any free cash flows – debt rebalanced continously D t = L V t The risk of the tax shield is equal to the risk of the unlevered firm r TS = r A

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |12 Harris-Pringle: example

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |13 Summary of Formulas Modigliani MillerMiles EzzelHarris-Pringle Operating CFPerpetuityFinite or PerpetualFinite of Perpetual Debt levelCertainUncertain First tax shieldCertain Uncertain WACC L = D/V r E (E/V) + r D (1-T C )(D/V) r A (1 – T C L)r A – r D T C L Cost of equityr A +(r A –r D )(1-T C )(D/E)r A +(r A –r D ) (D/E) Beta equity β A +(β A – β D ) (1-T C ) (D/E)β A +( β A – β D ) (D/E) Source: Taggart – Consistent Valuation and Cost of Capital Expressions With Corporate and Personal Taxes Financial Management Autumn 1991

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |14 Constant perpetual growth Which formula to use if unlevered free cash flows growth at a constant rate?

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |15 Varying debt levels How to proceed if none of the financing rules applies? Two important instances: (i) debt policy defined as an amount of borrowing instead of as a target percentage of value (ii) the amount of debt changes over time Use the Capital Cash Flow method suggested by Ruback (Ruback, Richard A Note on Capital Cash Flow Valuation, Harvard Business School, , January 1995)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |16 Capital Cash Flow Valuation Assumptions: CAPM holds PV(Tax Shield) as risky as operating assets Capital cash flow =FCF unlevered +Tax shield

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |17 Capital Cash Flow Valuation: Example

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |18 Constant-Growth Model The most widely used valuation formula Solution of Assumptions: No inflation All equity firm How to use this formula with inflation and debt? Bradley and Jarrell (BJ), Inflation and the Constant-Growth Valuation Model: A Clarification, Working Paper, February 2003

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |19 Introducing inflation – no debt With no inflation, the real growth rate is g = roi × Plowback = roi × (1 – Payout) (roi is the real return on investment) With inflation, the nominal growth rate is: G = ROI × Plowback + (1 – Plowback) × inflation (ROI is the nominal return on investment)

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |20 Growth in nominal earnings - details BJ(16) BJ(17) BJ(20) BJ(23) BJ(27) EBIAT=EBIT(1 – T C ) K = total capital (book value) CAPEX = REX + NNI REX = replacement expenditures NNI = net new investments

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |21 Valuing the company Using nominal values Using real values Same result

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |22 Debt - which WACC formula to use? The Miles and Ezzell (M&E) holds in nominal term. With: The value of a levered firm is positively related to the rate of inflation

June 3, 2015 Cofipo WACC |23 Interest tax shield and inflation Repayment of real principal is tax deductible →higher tax shield