HUNGARY Potential of Hungary Population (2002) – 10 166 000 Square – 93 000 sq. km Main fossils minerals:  Coal  Bauxite  Copper ore  Zinc ore 

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Presentation transcript:

HUNGARY

Potential of Hungary Population (2002) – Square – sq. km Main fossils minerals:  Coal  Bauxite  Copper ore  Zinc ore  Manganese ore

RUSSIA

Potential of Russia Population (2002) – Square – sc km Main fossils minerals: Natural gasGold OilPlatinum BauxiteIron Ore CoalNickel DiamondsWoods

Initial conditions Hungary economy Structure was “normal” Strong state institutions Average education and scientific potential Institution of private property Postindustrial stage (the beginning) Relations with foreign countries Shortage Russian economy Structural disproportions Weak state institutions High education and scientific potential Absence institution of private property Industrial stage Release the resources from Defence sector Shortage

Reform policy Hungary The beginning of transformations in 1968 Gradual liberalization of prices since 1980s Realization stabilization program (1990) Russia Rebuilding (1980s) Reform of enterprises: economic accountability and self-repayment Cooperative movement Trying reformation of state institution

Reform policy Reform policy (continued) External privatization with foreign capital (since 1991) Active stimulation of investment Liberalization of prices and foreign trade (since 1992) Privatization (since 1992) Voucher and internal privatization (stage 1) Monetary privatization (stage 2) Stabilization ( )

Macroeconomic indicators (Hungry) Relative indicators (1989 – 100%) Growth rate GDP, %82,485,697,7104,5 Industry production, %82,3104,6111,1- Investment, %81,088,9103,6- Inflation rate, %23,028,318,39,2 Unemployment rate, %-10,4 5,8

Macroeconomic indicators (Russia) Indicator Growth rate GDP, %-14,5-4,10,83,4 Industry production, %82,096,7101,9- Investment, %-90,095,0108,0 Inflation rate, %897,0297,0114,7121,5 Unemployment rate, %-9,011,28,9

GDP structure

HumandevelopmentsIndicatorsHungaryRussia HDI (1999)0,8290,775 Gini index (1998)24,448,7 Richest 10% to poorest 10 % (1999) 5,023,3 Education index (1999)0,930,92 Life expectancy (1999)71,166,1 GDP per capita, $ (1999)

Dynamics of HDI

Monetary indicators IndicatorsHungaryRussia M2 / GDP, %53,069,09,716,0 M0 / M2, %36,022,036,035,0

Reform summary Reform summary (pluses) Hungary Ужесточение бюджетных ограничений на предприятиях Преодоление трансформационного спада Russia Формирование частного сектора Ликвидация дефицита Формирование рынка труда

Reform summary Reform summary (minuses) Hungary Бюджетный дефицит из-за крупных платежей по процентам МФО Трудности долгосрочного кредитования из-за преобладания иностранных банков Russia Бегство капитала Рост доли теневой экономики и коррупции Инфляционный налог на средства население Финансовый кризис 1998

Web-publications World Bank International Monetary Fund UN National Bank of Hungary Банк России Госкомстат Сайты правительств России и Венгрии Yandex Rambler Апорт Yahoo

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