Comparison of pruning regimes for Stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) using a Functional- Structural Plant Model Peter Surovy.

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Presentation transcript:

Comparison of pruning regimes for Stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) using a Functional- Structural Plant Model Peter Surovy

Presentation outline - 3d measurement of plant architecture with topology (data) - Forestry models and FSPM models : philosophy, advantages, disadvantages - Stone pine model – important modules and code parts (model) - Optimization possibilities using 3d model

3d measurement of plant architecture with topology Magnetic motion tracker + cheap (relatively) + offers directly relative coordinates + magnetic field passes “through” material - no metalic object - weather - small amount of works (communication+math)

3d measurement of plant architecture with topology

LAI = LA / CA = 2.33 Not destructive measurements of Leaf Area Index

3d measurement of plant architecture with topology Measurement of Above and bellow Plant architecture

Data dynamics

Results from measurements Number of shoots Total shoots length (m) Height (m)d 1.3 (cm) Number of competito rs Tree (16.3)8 Tree (16.0)5 +3d growth

Where is forestry? Plot +- Orientation towards north

Data for individual tree increment Correlation between diameter and length of shoots

Data for individual tree increment The dependence between branch order and length (left), and between branch distance from 0,0 point and length (right)

Message - There are data from 3d space (possibility to study, important is to understand the source of the data, as it can be also a source of variability) - This data may be interpreted as continuous or discrete (continuous increment of size, discrete steps in structure change) - We can model!!! But how??

Presentation outline - 3d measurement of plant architecture with topology (data) - Forestry models and FSPM models : philosophy, advantages, disadvantages - Stone pine model – important modules and code parts (model) - Optimization possibilities using 3d model

Modeling in forestry An abstract model (or conceptual model) is a theoretical construct that represents something, with a set of variables and a set of logical and quantitative relationships between them. What is a model?? Forestry models??

Models classification statistics structural models morphology process models physiology functional-structural models Dynamics (causality problem) Causality (scaling problem)

Optimization Modeling leads to decision support (impact of decision) The ultimate decision support is: to find the best solution (using model) very good to test model feasibility stochasticity and randomness are not acceptible extreme cases may become optimal solutions (incorrectly) PATH MS - PATH

Optimization Case Study 1 (101)No constraintConstraint 70%Constraint 50% Year tree ha -1 (kg ha -1 ) 100 ( ) ( )320 ( )200 ( ) ( )320 ( )180 ( ) ( ) 140 ( ) Case Study 2 (317)No constraintConstraint 70%Constraint 50% 100 ( ) ( )160 ( )0 ( ) ( )100 ( )0 ( ) ( )60 ( )0 ( ) Ribeiro, NA, Surovy, P, Yoshimoto, A (2012) Optimal regeneration regime under continuous crown cover requirements in cork oak woodlands, FORMATH 2011 Objective – maximize cork production, keep crown cover limits (what should I do?)

Presentation outline - 3d measurement of plant architecture with topology (data) - Forestry models and FSPM models : philosophy, advantages, disadvantages - Stone pine model – important modules and code parts (model) - Optimization possibilities using 3d model

Stone pine model – important modules Structure: stem cylinder : dynamic in time branch cylinder : time + order + dist leaves (after 1 year change to bud) bud First version of pine model:Functions: Bud mortality Structure: Branch cylinder (order) leaves (light measure needed) Bud Bending (rotation) Second version of pine model:Functions: Bud mortality Bending

Stone pine model – important modules and code parts Branch rotation (order, distance)

Presentation outline - 3d measurement of plant architecture with topology (data) - Forestry models and FSPM models : philosophy, advantages, disadvantages - Stone pine model – important modules and code parts (model) - Optimization possibilities using 3d model

Optimalization possibilities Find the best year to remove the most bottom branch 5 10

X axis shows the year of removal of branch (Y shows the total biomass)

Only green to brown branches ratio

Message : At this stage the most important is to continue the model development with simultaneous testing of it in optimization processes (Let there be light…) In this work optimization is focused on the branching – pruning planning The same model however can be used for initial stand density optimization as well as for thinning optimization (parallel optimization testing is important)

Very important part: Sensitivity analysis: (what to measure, where to focus) -The branch elongation makes important difference The total biomass of crown and the bottom branch is different -The mortality based on Cone’s angle makes important difference Again the total biomass is influenced and also the look -Though: the BranchRotation is the most decisive element Smaller change in branch bending makes the survival rates of buds far different

Conclusions : - 3d measurement and modeling may bring some new insight into our knowledge on tree growth and structure development. - The functional structural plant models (computer research) allows combination of various necessary components (rules, mathematical functions, external environment simulation) - It is possible with correct model construction the use these models also in optimization work. Thank you for your attention…