Modeling the Vibrating Beam By: The Vibrations SAMSI/CRSC June 3, 2005 Nancy Rodriguez, Carl Slater, Troy Tingey, Genevieve-Yvonne Toutain.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Assumptions underlying regression analysis
Advertisements

11-1 Empirical Models Many problems in engineering and science involve exploring the relationships between two or more variables. Regression analysis.
Computational Statistics. Basic ideas  Predict values that are hard to measure irl, by using co-variables (other properties from the same measurement.
Distributions of sampling statistics Chapter 6 Sample mean & sample variance.
Kin 304 Regression Linear Regression Least Sum of Squares
Sampling: Final and Initial Sample Size Determination
Probability & Statistical Inference Lecture 9
6-1 Introduction To Empirical Models 6-1 Introduction To Empirical Models.
11 Simple Linear Regression and Correlation CHAPTER OUTLINE
Regression Analysis Simple Regression. y = mx + b y = a + bx.
Regression Analysis Once a linear relationship is defined, the independent variable can be used to forecast the dependent variable. Y ^ = bo + bX bo is.
The Primitive Roots Kelly Rae Murray Stephen Small Eamonn Tweedy Anastasia Wong.
Objectives (BPS chapter 24)
© 2010 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved Least Squares Regression Models.
BA 555 Practical Business Analysis
1 BA 275 Quantitative Business Methods Residual Analysis Multiple Linear Regression Adjusted R-squared Prediction Dummy Variables Agenda.
Chapter Topics Types of Regression Models
1 Validation and Verification of Simulation Models.
8-1 Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 Confidence Interval Estimation Statistics for Managers using Microsoft.
Copyright ©2011 Pearson Education 8-1 Chapter 8 Confidence Interval Estimation Statistics for Managers using Microsoft Excel 6 th Global Edition.
Quantitative Business Analysis for Decision Making Simple Linear Regression.
Lecture 17 Interaction Plots Simple Linear Regression (Chapter ) Homework 4 due Friday. JMP instructions for question are actually for.
11-1 Empirical Models Many problems in engineering and science involve exploring the relationships between two or more variables. Regression analysis.
Business Statistics - QBM117 Statistical inference for regression.
Chapter 12 Section 1 Inference for Linear Regression.
Simple Linear Regression Analysis
Standard error of estimate & Confidence interval.
Regression Analysis Regression analysis is a statistical technique that is very useful for exploring the relationships between two or more variables (one.
Inference for regression - Simple linear regression
1 Least squares procedure Inference for least squares lines Simple Linear Regression.
Confidence Interval Estimation
Modeling Vibrating Beam -using the harmonic Oscillator equation verses collected data.
1 1 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole.
The Examination of Residuals. Examination of Residuals The fitting of models to data is done using an iterative approach. The first step is to fit a simple.
Inference for Regression Simple Linear Regression IPS Chapter 10.1 © 2009 W.H. Freeman and Company.
Chapter 4 Linear Regression 1. Introduction Managerial decisions are often based on the relationship between two or more variables. For example, after.
1 11 Simple Linear Regression and Correlation 11-1 Empirical Models 11-2 Simple Linear Regression 11-3 Properties of the Least Squares Estimators 11-4.
Stat 112: Notes 2 Today’s class: Section 3.3. –Full description of simple linear regression model. –Checking the assumptions of the simple linear regression.
Our Week at Math Camp Abridged Group 2π = [Erin Groark, Sarah Lynn Joyner, Dario Varela, Sean Wilkoff]
Maths Study Centre CB Open 11am – 5pm Semester Weekdays
© Buddy Freeman, Independence of error assumption. In many business applications using regression, the independent variable is TIME. When the data.
1 Regression Analysis The contents in this chapter are from Chapters of the textbook. The cntry15.sav data will be used. The data collected 15 countries’
28. Multiple regression The Practice of Statistics in the Life Sciences Second Edition.
© Copyright McGraw-Hill 2004
Why the Spring Model Doesn’t Work The Abelian Group Edward Lee, Seonhee Kim, Adrian So.
Residual Analysis Purposes –Examine Functional Form (Linear vs. Non- Linear Model) –Evaluate Violations of Assumptions Graphical Analysis of Residuals.
Chapter 11: The ANalysis Of Variance (ANOVA)
Vibrating Beam Modeling Results Prime (Group 7) Abby, Jacob, TJ, Leo.
Stat 112 Notes 14 Assessing the assumptions of the multiple regression model and remedies when assumptions are not met (Chapter 6).
Maths Study Centre CB Open 11am – 5pm Semester Weekdays
Team 5 Binge Thinkers (formerly known as People doing Math) Statistical Analysis of Vibrating Beam Peter Gross Keri Rehm Regal Ferrulli Anson Chan.
Lesson Testing the Significance of the Least Squares Regression Model.
Lecturer: Ing. Martina Hanová, PhD.. Regression analysis Regression analysis is a tool for analyzing relationships between financial variables:  Identify.
Chapter 9 Introduction to the t Statistic
Stats Methods at IC Lecture 3: Regression.
11-1 Empirical Models Many problems in engineering and science involve exploring the relationships between two or more variables. Regression analysis.
Inference for Regression (Chapter 14) A.P. Stats Review Topic #3
Linear Regression.
Math 4030 – 10b Inferences Concerning Variances: Hypothesis Testing
Kin 304 Regression Linear Regression Least Sum of Squares
BPK 304W Regression Linear Regression Least Sum of Squares
Regression model Y represents a value of the response variable.
BA 275 Quantitative Business Methods
Statistical Analysis of the Vibrating Beam
When You See (This), You Think (That)
Sampling Distributions
The Examination of Residuals
Chapter 13 Additional Topics in Regression Analysis
Regression and Correlation of Data
Inference for Regression
Presentation transcript:

Modeling the Vibrating Beam By: The Vibrations SAMSI/CRSC June 3, 2005 Nancy Rodriguez, Carl Slater, Troy Tingey, Genevieve-Yvonne Toutain

Outline  Problem statement  Statistics of parameters  Fitted model  Verify assumptions for Least Squares  Spring-mass model vs. Beam mode  Applications  Future Work  Conclusion  Questions/Comments

Problem Statement Develop a model that explains the vibrations of a horizontal beam caused by the application of a small voltage. IDEA Use the spring- mass model! Collect data to find parameters. GOAL

Solving Mass-Spring-Dashpot Model The rod’s initial position is y 0 The rod’s initial velocity is y o

Statistics of Parameters  Optimal parameters: C= K=  Standard Errors: se(C)= se(K)= Standard Errors are small hence we expect good confidence intervals.  Confidence Intervals: ( ≤C≤-.7688) ( ≤K≤ )

Confidence Intervals  We are about 95% confident that the true value of C is between.8336 and  Also, we are 95% confident that the true value of K is between and 1523 and  The tighter the confidence intervals are the better fitted model.

Sources of Variability  Inadequacies of the Model Concept of mass Other parameters that must be taken into consideration.  Lab errors Human error Mechanical error Noise error

Fitted Model  The optimal parameters depend on the starting parameter values.  Even with our optimal values our model does not do a great job. The model does a fine job for the initial data. However, the model fails for the end of the data.  The model expects more dampening than the actual data exhibits.

C= e-001 K=.5226e+003 C= 1.5 K= 100 Through the optimizer module we were able determine the optimal parameters. Note that the optimal value depends on the initial C and K values.

Least-Square Assumptions  Residuals are normally distributed: e i ~N(0,σ 2 )  Residuals are independent.  Residuals have constant variance.

Checks for constant variance!

Residuals vs. Fitted Values  To validate our statistical model we need to verify our assumptions.  One of the assumptions was that the errors has a constant variance.  The residual vs. fitted values do not exhibit a random pattern.  Hence, we cannot conclude that the variances are constant.

Checks for independence of residuals!

Residuals vs. Time  We use the residuals vs. time plot to verify the independence of the residuals.  The plot exhibits a pattern with decreasing residuals until approximately t= 2.8 s and then an increase in residuals.  Independent data would exhibit no pattern; hence, we can conclude that our residuals are dependent.

Residuals are beginning to deviate from the standard normal! Checks for normality of residuals!

QQplot of sample data vs. std normal  The QQplot allows us to check the normality assumptions.  From the plot we can see that some of the initial data and final data actually deviate from the standard normal.  This means that our residuals are not normal.

The Beam Model This model actually accounts for the second mode!!!

Applications  Modeling in general is used to simulate real life situations. Gives insight Saves money and time Provides ability to isolating variables  Applications of this model Bridge Airplane Diving Boards

Conclusion  We were able to determine the parameters that produced a decent model (based on the spring mass model).  We did a statistical analysis and determined that the assumptions for the Least Squares were violated.  We determined that the beam model was more accurate.

Future Work  Redevelop the beam model.  Perform data transformation.  Enhance data recording techniques.  Apply model to other oscillators.

Questions/Comments