VOCAL VAMOS Ocean – Cloud – Atmosphere - Land study.

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Presentation transcript:

VOCAL VAMOS Ocean – Cloud – Atmosphere - Land study

VOCAL THEME The theme of VOCAL is to better understand and simulate how marine boundary layer cloud systems surrounding the Americas interact with the coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system on diurnal to interannual timescales.

VOCAL Scientific Issues On what time and space scales does continental heating/mechanical forcing impact boundary layer cloud/radiative forcing? How sensitive is the overall tropical circulation and ENSO to variations of Eastern Pacific cloud topped boundary layer properties and why? What are dominant S/I feedbacks among Sc clouds, surface winds, upwelling, coastal currents and SST in E Pacific? Does natural and anthropogenic aerosol variability significantly modulate the Sc?

VOCAL STRATEGIES Global and mesoscale model evaluation and improvement (e.g parameterization development) using multiscale data sets. Model sensitivity studies to refine hypotheses and target observations. Science by synthesis/use of existing data sets, enhancement through targeted instrument procurement, algorithm evaluation and development, and enhanced observation periods. Co-ordination with oceanographic, aerosol, cloud process communities, including CLIVAR CPT, CLOUDSAT, etc.

Progress/hypothesis generation Cloud microphysics/drizzle (polynyas) Diurnal cycle (role of Andes, Sc dynamics) Role of Andes/flow blocking in influencing Sc. WHOI buoy/ocean energy budget Interest in coastal oceanography of region, including O-A interactions thru trapped coastal (e.g. Kelvin) waves. Implementation of some VPM5 plans

Arica Lima San Felix I. WHOI buoy Galapagos I.

Recommendations Major continuing efforts in diagnostic, sensitivity, parameterization studies of SE Pac stratocumulus and variability based on past field studies, satellite/model products, and observational enhancements. Add an ocean diagnostic study component based on ARGO/ODA, cruises, WHOI buoy aimed at better understanding of ocean upwelling/lateral heat transport processes and their reln. to atmospheric variability. Global atm./coupled, mesoscale atm., and regional ocean modeling. VOCAL ‘radiator fin’ coupled O-A-L expt. (Oct 06)

Augment San Felix Island instrumentation with wind profiler, radiation, microwave LWP, and aerosol sampler. NOAA/ETL sfc/remote sensing instrumentation on Pacific and Atlantic buoy maintenance cruises, as well as in RICO. Develop a VOCAL data set through a distributed satellite/model/in situ data archive maintained by JOSS. Archive ECMWF and NCEP hi-res column data at WHOI buoy, SFI in co-ordination with CEOP. Coordinate with proposed US CLIVAR cloud-climate sensitivity “climate process team” to feed into coupled model development.

VEPIC Timeline Modeling, empirical, and satellite studies diagnostic/modeling work 2003 ETL-enhanced cruises SFI profiler VEPIC data archive 2004/11 Cloudsat 2005/01 RICO 2006/10 Radiator expt.

Diurnal subsidence wave Cld microphys. gradient Ocn heat transport Coastal jet

Cloud/drizzle/aerosol interactions Further offshore, usually larger cloud drop radius Why? More aerosol near the coast? Pollution? Ocean productivity, DNS? Salt/wind? How does this feedback on mean Sc albedo? Vertical PBL structure? Science Issues

OCEAN (1) Ekman.vs. eddy heat transport to the west.vs. air- sea interaction Vertical mixing at buoy: role of “sagging trades”, comparison with ocean GCMs Horizontal extent of nutrients and relation to offshore transport mechanisms

OCEAN (2) Space/time nature of eddy heat transport offshore Vertical ocean (and atmosphere) cross-section along a latitude line Regional ocean modeling of 1500 km nearest South American coast Coastal wind jet and relation with coastal upwelling and clouds

CLOUD-PBL DYNAMICS Space/time nature of eddy heat transport offshore Vertical ocean (and atmosphere) cross-section along a latitude line Regional ocean modeling of 1500 km nearest South American coast Coastal wind jet and relation with coastal upwelling and clouds

COUPLED ISSUES Seasonal cycle of SST Continental influence on long timescales Cloud feedbacks on ENSO

IMPLEMENTATION (1) San Felix (Rene, Bruce, Bob): Now: Met., ceilometer (funded 1,5y), SST Plan: Drizzle detection, sonic Need: Profile ($20K+), radiation, aerosols Cloud radar (?) RH Brown (or other US ship, Chris Fairall) Covered already by PACS/other NOAA (250K/y) Student for analysis (Bretherton/Student, 100k/y)

IMPLEMENTATION (2) RICO/trade Cu: (Graciela Raga, aerosol) Satellite observations –JOSS: Coordinate sat. obs. for RICO site –Diagnostic studies, analysis, post-processing SCM/LES of diurnal cycle/drizzle in Scu

IMPLEMENTATION (3) Mesoscale modeling: UCH (Rene et al.), synoptic scale/diurnal variability, parameterization, connection to Andes heating. Global modeling: UCLA/UR-Uruguay: mean circulation, ENSO feedbacks, interaction with orography on seasonal timescale. CAM-UW: PBL

IMPLEMENTATION (4) Ocean diagnostic studies: –Ken T., Bob W., Ted Strub, Pilar C. –O. Pizarro, A. Miller –Ocean data assimilation, ECCO.vs. buoy –Horizontal heat transport via eddies

IMPLEMENTATION (5) Ocean regional modeling –Patrick M. (France), coastal E.P, Bibliography –Oscar Pizarro’s Concepcion –Pablo Lagos (Princeton ocean model) –Art Miller (Scripps) CPT Field Experiment “SE Pacific Radiator” (Oct. 06)

Physical processes that contribute to the circulation whose predictability we are trying to assess.