DISTRICT PILOT PROJECT PRESENTATION MAY 2, Highway Safety Manual Implementation
Overview of the Highway Safety Manual Implementation Plan Update of the Development of SPF Calibration Factors Available SPFs and CMFs Sample Pilot Project Description and Analysis Request for Pilot Project Descriptions 2 Highway Safety Manual Implementation Presentation Outline
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CO & DISTRICT CHAMPIONS Assign Top-Level District Champions Participate in Top-down management presentations with the Central Office champions (Bob Romig, Brian Blanchard and Marianne Trussell) Actively promote, support and advocate the benefits of implementing the Highway Safety Manual Monitor pilot projects and implementation progress Conduct recognition ceremonies for pilot project participants 7 Submit District Champion counterparts from Transportation Development and Operations to Marianne Trussell, Chief Safety Officer by April 29, 2011.
CALIBRATION OF THE HIGHWAY SAFETY MANUAL TO FLORIDA CONDITIONS
9 OVERVIEW Calibration factors for fatal and injury models only KAB and KABC
10 IDENTIFY FACILITY TYPES FDOT Prioritized Segments Rural two-lane roads Rural multilane divided roads Urban multilane divided arterials Additional segments Urban two-lane undivided arterials Urban two-lane with TWLTL Urban four-lane undivided arterials Urban four-lane with TWLTL
11 FDOT PRIORITY FACILITY TYPES
12 COMPUTE CALIBRATION FACTOR
13 RURAL TWO-LANE ROADS N = AADT × L × 365 × × e (-0.312) CMFs with available data Lane width, shoulder width, shoulder type, TWLTL, lighting CMFs values assumed Grade, driveway density, roadside hazard rating HSM default values used
14 RURAL TWO-LANE ROADS Rural 2 Lane Calibration Factor KAB KABC
15 RURAL MULTILANE DIVIDED ROADS N = exp[ a + b × ln(AADT) + ln(L) ] CMFs with available data Lane width, right shoulder width, median width, lighting CMFs with values assumed None Crash Severity Levelab 4-lane fatal and injury (KAB) lane fatal and injury (KABC)
16 RURAL MULTILANE DIVIDED ROADS Rural 4 Lane Divided Calibration Factor KAB KABC
17 URBAN ARTERIALS CMFs with available data Median width, on-street parking, lighting CMFs with values assumed Roadside fixed objects CMF assumed to be 1.0 Driveway density CMF assumed to be 1.0
18 URBAN 2 LANE UNDIVIDED Urban 2 Lane Undivided Calibration Factor KABC
19 URBAN 2 LANE WITH TWLTL Urban 2 Lane with TWLTL Calibration Factor KABC
20 URBAN 4 LANE DIVIDED ARTERIALS Urban 4 Lane Divided Calibration Factor KABC
21 URBAN 4 LANE UNDIVIDED Urban 4 Lane Undivided Calibration Factor KABC
22 URBAN 4 LANE WITH TWLTL Urban 4 Lane with TWLTL Calibration Factor KABC
23 BIKE LANES – URBAN 4 LANE DIVIDED Without bike lane separation With bike lanes Without bike lanes
CALIBRATION SUMMARY
25 INTERSECTION DATA Data Needs Rural and Urban AADT, Crashes, skew, left-turn lanes, right-turn lanes, lighting, Urban only pedestrian activity, left-turn signal phasing, right-turn-on- red, red-light cameras, bus stops, schools, alcohol sales establishments
26 INTERSECTION DATA Crash Analysis Reporting System Geometric characteristics? Lat, long coordinates? FDOT Intersection Study Signalized: no geometry, no 2 nd AADT Un-signalized: no AADT
27 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT SR 44 from Hill Avenue to West of CR 4139 is a rural 2-lane undivided roadway with curved roadway segments. Five curves exist within the project limits and one curve would require a design exception for super-elevation. Equation 10-6 (HSM-Part C) and the applicable CMFs (HSM-Part D) will be used to predict crashes for the roadway segment that includes Curve 1 and determine if a design exception is justified.
28 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT
29 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT The following information is available: 1.Length of segment: 0.10 miles 2.AADT: 17,300 in 2010 (opening year); 26,600 in 2030 (design year) 3.Grade: 0.0% 4.Radius of curve: 573’ 5.Driveways per mile: 2 6.Lane width: 12’ 7.Shoulder width: 4’ 8.Shoulder type: paved 9.Roadside hazard rating: 2 (based on 18’ CZ with 1:4 front slopes) 10.Curve length: 0.06 miles 11.Existing e: 3.5% (eastbound) and 0.0% (westbound) 12.Required e: 10.0% 13.Calibration factor: 1.01
Apply the appropriate SPF N = AADT × L × 365 × 10 –6 × e (–0.312) = 17,300 × × 365 × 10 –6 × e (–0.312) = crashes/year 30 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT
Adjust the estimated crash frequency to the site specific geometric conditions 1. CMF 1r = (CMF ra – 1.0) x p ra = = (1.0 – 1.0) x = 1.0 2. CMF 2r = (CMF wra x CMF tra – 1.0) x p ra = = (1.15 x 1.0 – 1.0) x = 1.11 3. CMF 3r = 31 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT (1.55 x L c ) + (80.2 / R) – (0.012 x S) (1.55 x L c ) = (1.55 x 0.06) + (80.2 / 573) – (0.012 x 0) (1.55 x 0.06) == Note: CMF 1r => lane width; CMF 2r => shoulder width and type; CMF 3r => horizontal curvature 2.51
4. CMF 4r = (SV ) = = ( ) = 1.30 5. CMF 5r = 1.0 (grade < 3%) 6. CMF 6r = 1.0 (less than 5 driveways / mile) 7. CMF 7r = 1.0 (no rumble strips) 8. CMF 8r = 1.0 (no passing lanes) 9. CMF 9r = 1.0 (no TWLTL) 32 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT Note: CMF 4r => super-elevation variance
10. CMF 10r = 33 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT e ( x RHR) e ( ) = e ( x 2) e ( ) = 0.94 11. CMF 11r = 1.00 (no roadway lighting) 12. CMF 12r = 1.00 (no automated speed enforcement) CMF comb = 1.11 x 2.51 x 1.30 x 0.94 = 3.41 Note: CMF 10r => roadside hazard rating = 2 (based on 18’CZ with 1:4 front slopes).
N predicted-rs = x 3.41 x 1.01 = 2.59 crashes/year Annual KABC Cost of Crashes (existing conditions) Fatal = x 2.59 x $6,380,000 = $214,815 Incap. = x 2.59 x $521,768 = $72,974 Nonincap. = x 2.59 x $104,052 = $29,375 Poss. Injury = x 2.59 x $63,510 = $23,851 ANNUAL CRASH COST (existing conditions)= $341, SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT Note: crash costs from STATE SAFETY OFFICE BULLETIN 0-01 or ROADWAY DESIGN BULLETIN 10-09
Adjust the estimated crash frequency to the site specific geometric conditions (build) 1. CMF 1r = (CMF ra – 1.0) x p ra = = (1.0 – 1.0) x = 1.0 2. CMF 2r = (CMF wra x CMF tra – 1.0) x p ra = = (1.15 x 1.0 – 1.0) x = 1.11 3. CMF 3r = 35 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT (1.55 x L c ) + (80.2 / R) – (0.012 x S) (1.55 x L c ) = (1.55 x 0.08) + (80.2 / 750) – (0.012 x 0) (1.55 x 0.08) == Note: CMF 1r => lane width; CMF 2r => shoulder width and type; CMF 3r => horizontal curvature 1.86
4. CMF 4r = (SV ) = = ( ) = 1.06 5. CMF 5r = 1.0 (grade < 3%) 6. CMF 6r = 1.0 (less than 5 driveways / mile) 7. CMF 7r = 1.0 (no rumble strips) 8. CMF 8r = 1.0 (no passing lanes) 9. CMF 9r = 1.0 (no TWLTL) 36 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT Note: CMF 4r => super-elevation variance
10. CMF 10r = 37 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT e ( x RHR) e ( ) = e ( x 2) e ( ) = 0.94 11. CMF 11r = 1.00 (no roadway lighting) 12. CMF 12r = 1.00 (no automated speed enforcement) CMF comb = 1.11 x 1.86 x 1.06 x 0.94 = 2.06 Note: CMF 10r => roadside hazard rating = 2 (based on 18’CZ with 1:4 front slopes).
N predicted-rs = x 2.06 x 1.01 = 1.57 crashes/year Annual KABC Cost of Crashes (build conditions) Fatal = x 1.57 x $6,380,000 = $130,216 Incap. = x 1.57 x $521,768 = $44,235 Nonincap. = x 1.57 x $104,052 = $17,806 Poss. Injury = x 1.57 x $63,510 = $14,458 ANNUAL CRASH COST (existing conditions)= $206, SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT Note: crash costs from STATE SAFETY OFFICE BULLETIN 0-01 or ROADWAY DESIGN BULLETIN 10-09
BENEFIT/COST RATIO B/C = 39 SAMPLE PILOT PROJECT Annual Reduction in Crash Costs Annual Increase in Construction Costs = 314,015 – 206,715 = Note: Construction costs were annualized at 4% over 15 years x 821,748 = 73, , : 1
DISTRICT ACTION Submit a description of a pilot project that can be analyzed using the current Highway Safety Manual. Submit: narrative that describes the project alternatives and the input values Central Office will review the proposed analysis and provide feedback that may include resource information, discussion of appropriate methodology, etc. Submit by Wednesday, May 11 th. Information will be shared with District Champions. 40
41 THE NEW HIGHWAY SAFETY MANUAL OF 2010 Questions?