Predicting HAB Strength (Western Basin) Pete Richards NCWQR-HU.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Lake Erie Update Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter

Advertisements

Understanding Lake Erie: Its History, Current State, and Its Future PA/NY Sea Grant HABs workshop Erie, PA 8/14/13 Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter Director, Ohio.

Lake Erie Update and Outlook for 2014 Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter Director, Ohio Sea Grant College Program.

Lake Erie Ecosystem Priority (LEEP): Scientific Findings and Policy Recommendations to Reduce Nutrient Loadings and Harmful Algal Blooms - Report Overview.

Dynamics of cyanobacterial bloom formation Justin Chaffin Ph.D. F.T. Stone Laboratory Ohio Sea Grant The Ohio State University HABs.

Optical characteristics of harmful algal blooms in western Lake Erie: impacts on bio-optical algorithms and ocean color remote sensing Background Harmful.

Evaluating Phosphorus Limitation from the Maumee and Sandusky Rivers into Lake Erie Heather R. Kirkpatrick, Curtis C. Clevinger, Moumita M. Moitra, Darren.

Great Lakes Offshore Biological Desert and the Nearshore Slime Around the Tub David Rockwell Monitoring Indicators and Reporting Branch US EPA, Great Lakes.

Summary of soil P levels and stratification GLPF Grant- Team meeting #5 July 23-24, 2013.

Perspectives on the Phosphorus Problem in Lake Champlain Eric Smeltzer

Critical Issues Affecting Lake Erie and OSU Sea Grant/Stone Lab Efforts to Address Them Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter Director, Ohio Sea Grant College Program.

Lake Erie Algal Source Tracking (LEAST) homas B. Bridgeman, University of Toledo Thomas B. Bridgeman, University of Toledo Cyndee L. Gruden University.

Great Lakes Observing System GLRI Tributary Monitoring Project

A NEW LAND-LAKE SENSOR NETWORK FOR MEASURING GREENHOUSE GAS, WATER, AND ENERGY EXCHANGES: USE IN EDUCATION AND OUTREACH 1. Introduction Stepien, Carol.

Nuisance Cladophora Blooms in Lake Michigan: Possible Causes and Management Options Harvey Bootsma Erica Young John Berges.

Harmful Algal Blooms in Western Lake Erie homas Bridgeman, University of Toledo Thomas Bridgeman, University of Toledo March 16, 2012.

Presentation to Council of Great Lakes Industries August 7, 2014 Binational Efforts to manage nutrient inputs to the Great Lakes Tinka Hyde and Susan Humphrey.

Water Quality Concerns in Ohio Waters What has been Happening in Lake Erie? Greg LaBarge, Field Specialist, Agronomic Systems.

Peter Sigmann Little Sturgeon Area Property Owners Association Tracking Phosphate in Little Sturgeon Bay Location The Bay of Little Sturgeon is located.

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Phosphorus reductions from POINT sources (29,000 metric tons to 11,000) ‐Somewhat aided by agriculture practices Late.

Water Pollution and Eutrophication Pathogens Organic wastes Sediment Chemical pollutants Nutrients.

The Framework Quantifies gas exchange rate as a covariance of vertical wind velocity and CO 2 concentration Relies on a large homogenous area (footprint)

California and Nevada Drought is extreme to exceptional.

An Investigation on the Effects of Climate Change On Algal Blooms in Lake Champlain Patricia Brousseau, Lauren Chicote, John Keyes, Jenna Mandelbaum, Christopher.

The Survival of Lake Erie Tony Bolton Brendan Carson.

Harmful Algal Blooms and Microcystin in the Tidal Fresh James River, Joe Wood, Ph.D. - Chesapeake Bay Foundation *Research performed while at VCU.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Beach Science for the New Millennium Richard Whitman U.S. Geological Survey Great Lakes Science.

Pomme de Terre Lake Water Quality Summary Pomme de Terre Lake Water Quality Summary US Army Corps of Engineers Environmental Resources Section.

Ecology’s Freshwater Algae Program Lake Steilacoom.

Ecosystem Forecasting Testbed David J. Schwab NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory.

Lake Erie Overview Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter, Director Ohio Sea Grant and Stone Laboratory The Ohio State University Office of Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur.

OHIO SEA GRANT AND STONE LABORATORY Understanding the Current State of Lake Erie and How to Fix It Dr. Jeffrey M. Reutter Special Advisor, Ohio Sea Grant.

Ohio Sea Grant College Program Jeffrey M. Reutter, Director Lake Erie Overview: Physical Characteristics, Economic Importance, and Recreational Value Dr.

Department of the Environment Utilizing a Rapid Laboratory Technique to Assist Public Health Needs Associated with HABs.

Development of a Linked Hydrodynamic – Sediment Transport – Water Quality Model for the Lower Maumee River and Western Lake Erie Basin Joseph DePinto,

PH DO DIP TDP Bethany Remeniuk, Department of Biology, York College of Pennsylvania Is Microcystis aeruginosa an Initiator in a Positive Feedback Cycle.

An Analysis of Farmer Preferences Regarding Filter Strip Programs

Update on Lake Erie Nutrient and Algal Issues Gail Hesse Ohio Lake Erie Commission March 30, 2012.

Presentation compiled with unvalidated data.. Began in 1991 as a non-profit organization. Purpose: increasing Albertans’ awareness and understanding of.

Great Lakes Observing System Regional Association in IOOS Participating Org. in GEO Bi-national 501c3 Focus Areas Ecosystem Health Public Health/ Water.

Maumee Bay “It’s very resistant to freezing and cold weather. It’s tough stuff. Once it’s established, it’s hard to get rid of it,” said Tom Bridgeman,

Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory Review – Ann Arbor, MI November 15-18, Click to edit Master text styles –Second level Third level.

SCREENING FOR ALGAL TOXINS IN VOLUNTEER-MONITORED LAKES

LAKE ERIE SOURCE TRACKING OF HARMFUL ALGAL BLOOMS Douglas D. Kane 1, Joseph D. Conroy 2,3,

Variability of molecular assays Quality-control samples were collected and analyzed for cyanobacterial genes. Fourteen field concurrent replicates were.

Effects of Bay Shore power plant on ecosystem function in Maumee Bay, western Lake Erie Feb 23, 2009 Toledo Blade.

Team Meeting #5, Great Lakes Protection Fund Grant A Phosphorus Soil Test Metric To Reduce Dissolved Phosphorus Loading to Lake Erie Heidelberg University.

Research and Other Activities Related To Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs)

Freshwater Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in California and SWAMP's Statewide Strategy California’s Surface Water Ambient Monitoring Program (SWAMP) Freshwater.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Water Data Sharing Using OGC Standards and the Internet David Blodgett USGS Center for Integrated.

KDHE’s 2016 HAB Stakeholder Meeting Rex Cox. Past Program Mainly for Recreational Purposes Samples were taken in public access lakes Lake discharge samples.

Harmful Algal Blooms satellites to genomes Timothy Davis Ecosystem Dynamics Place Photo Here.

1/13 Process Studies: Invasive Mussel (Dreissena) example Hank Vanderploeg Ecosystem Dynamics Mussel feeding & nutrient excretion: Team approach Lab Field.

National Aeronautics and Space Administration Utilizing NASA Satellite Data to Detect Harmful Algal Blooms in the Western Basin of Lake Erie L AKE E RIE.

Inter-annual Simulation with the South Florida HYCOM Nested Model Roland Balotro, Villy Kourafalou and Alan Wallcraft 2005 Layered Ocean Model User’s Workshop.

Algal Bloom Awareness.

Project Description Nutrient loading to the western basin of Lake Erie has been recognized as a pivotal component in the re-occurrence of harmful and nuisance.

Presented by, Chris Overcash, PE, BCEE, ENV SP For

Maximizing stormwater BMPs for Phosphorus Removal

Bahram Khazaei, Hector Bravo, and Harvey Bootsma

Update on Lake Erie Nutrient and Algal Issues

Understanding Lake Erie and Its History

Phosphorus in the Great Lakes:

Surface Water Ambient Monitoring Program

HABs and Planning for the Future

Awareness of the Season

Workshop on using Water Quality Forecasting in Decision Making

Connecting GLOBE to Local Citizen Science Projects

Please fill in the questions on your entrance slip.

Watershed Assessment of Detroit River Loads to Lake Erie

Presentation transcript:

Predicting HAB Strength (Western Basin) Pete Richards NCWQR-HU

Western Basin Algae Problems Tom Bridgeman, U. Toledo Cladophora and noxious “ blue- green algae ” are back with a vengeance! City of Toledo - $3000/day to treat drinking water for microcystin. Microcystin 1000 ppb in Western Basin, 2000 ppb in Grand Lake St. Marys. WHO recommendations 1 ppb for drinking water (20 ppb for swimming)

Microcystis in Lake Erie The Microcystis-Anabaena bloom of 2009 was the largest in recent years in our sampling region 2011 …until 2011

Predicting: Concept P loading drives algal growth HABs occur in late summer Perhaps P loads in some seasons are more important than loads in others.

Relate “cyanobacteria index” (CI) to discharge and P loading CI best predicted by March-June discharge March-June TP and DRP also predictive Initial work done late in 2011 – can we predict 2012? NOAA work

2011 and 2012 are the extremes is 20% of 2011! Spring Discharge (March-June) NOAA Ecofore/Maumee Loads.xls

2011 and 2012 are extreme is 17% of 2011! Spring TP Load NOAA Ecofore/Maumee Loads.xls

2011 and 2012 are extreme is 15% of 2011! Spring DRP Load NOAA Ecofore/Maumee Loads.xls

2012 Forecast (mild bloom) and Observed Bloom 2012 Forecast Measured

08/30/2012 (DOY=243) 09/03/2011 (DOY=246)

Learnings 2012 does not mean we’ve solved the problem! It does show that the lake is responsive to P loadings in a short timeframe. It shows that internal resuspension is not a major factor It shows that the Detroit River inputs are not a major factor.

What about 2013? Spring totals just completed at end of June Predictions given July 2 at a webinar at OSU’s Stone Lab

March-June Maumee Discharge 2.77

March-June Maumee Total P 1,099

March-June Maumee DRP 238

2013 Forecast: Significant bloom, similar to 2003, much milder than

2013 prediction for western Lake Erie similar in intensity to 2003, <1/5 of 2011 lowmedium high concentration 2013 may resemble for comparison

NOAA Lake Erie Harmful Algal Bloom Bulletin, 2013, 5 th year Sign up to receive the weekly bulletin Search for NOAA Lake Erie Bloom Bulletin

October 7, 2011