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Presentation transcript:

Please choose the opening slide specific to your PSL. Go to Home in the menu tab above, then click on Layout, then pick your PSL opening slide from the first line of the Layout options. KBR Olefins Technology – Technology options to meet uncertain market conditions Shaping Growth of Petrochemicals in India Delhi, 16th February 2015 Sourabh Mukherjee

Agenda World Olefins market trends Olefins technology combinations targeting improved flexibility and economics The Indian perspective

Change We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don't let yourself be lulled into inaction. - Bill Gates

Underestimating 10 Year Change = UNCERTAINTY 2004 View USA Petrochemicals Early 2014 View USA Petrochemicals High Cost of Ethylene: USA vs Asia: 150% Feedstock Disadvantaged & Least Competitive in the World Gas/Oil Price Ratio: 109% Bad Place to Invest Rapidly Declining Exports; Expected to Import Europe is 2nd Most Competitive Low Cost of Ethylene: USA vs Asia: 70% Cheap & Abundant Feedstock & 2nd Most Competitive in the World Gas/Oil Price Ratio: 29% $120 Billion Invested in Chemicals (IHS Estimate 2014) Rapidly Growing Export Europe is Least Competitive

Underestimating Sudden Change = UNCERTAINTY 2014 View USA Petrochemicals Late 2014 View Petrochemicals Low Cost of Ethylene: USA vs Asia: 70% Cheap & Abundant Feedstock & 2nd Most Competitive in the World Gas/Oil Price Ratio: 29% $120 Billion Invested in Chemicals (IHS Estimate 2014) Rapidly Growing Export Europe is Least Competitive Crude prices drop from $100/bbl range to $50/bbl range – within four- six month span Consequential reduction in naphtha price means the cost of Ethylene from liquid becomes more competitive (almost on par with ethane) Investment plans for ethane crackers being reconsidered Europe and Asia competitiveness improves

Uncertainty in the market cannot be avoided To overcome market uncertainty producers need to Produce the right products from their assets & Be flexible towards feed

Producing the right products from an Ethylene Complex

Operations & Maintenance Ethylene Complex Utilities Waste Steam Cracker Ethylene Traditional focus Hydrocarbon Feed Co-Products Hydrogen Methane Propylene C4’s PFO Etc.. Potential to drive Technology Selection Operations & Maintenance

Ethylene Complex Economics (Ethane) Steam Cracker Ethane Feed Ethylene Co-Products Utilities Waste Operations & Maintenance Hydrogen Methane Propylene C4’s PFO Etc.. Cost Ethane Feed 380 $/MT Utilities 98 $/MT Ethylene Operations & Maintenance 53 Depreciation + ROC 250 Revenue Ethylene 1000 $/MT Co-Products Note 1 Note 1: Dependent upon co-product recovery

Example 1: US Gulf Coast Cracker Grassroots Cracker Location: US Gulf Coast Feedstock: Ethane (US Shale Gas) Products: 1000 KTA Ethylene C3+ Stream (Sell) Fuel Oil Fuel Gas Overall Material Balance Feed / Product 77% Yield (KTA) 80% Yield Ethane 1287 1250 Ethylene 1000 Fuel Gas 180 163 Mix C3+ 102 85 Fuel Oil 5 2 C3+ Ethane Feed Tail Gas Ethylene Fuel Oil

Example 1: US Gulf Coast Economics Revenue ($MM USD) Products 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethylene 1,000 Fuel Gas 27 24 Mix C3+ 103 87 Fuel Oil 1 0.4 Sub-Total 1,131 1,111.4 Cost ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethane Feed 489 475 Utilities 98 O&M 53 Depreciation + ROC 250 Sub-Total 890 876 Margin ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Revenue 1,131 1,111.4 Cost 890 876 Total Margin 241 235.4 Lower selectivity = ~$5.6 MM USD/yr Advantage

Example 2: CIS Region Cracker Grassroots Cracker Location: CIS Region Feedstock: Ethane (Gas Plant) Products: 1000 KTA Ethylene C3+ Stream (Fuel) Fuel Oil Fuel Gas Overall Material Balance Feed / Product 77% Yield (KTA) 80% Yield Ethane 1287 1250 Ethylene 1000 Fuel Gas 180 163 Mix C3+ 102 85 Fuel Oil 5 2 C3+ Ethane Feed Tail Gas Ethylene Fuel Oil

Example 2: CIS Region Economics Revenue ($MM USD) Products 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethylene 1,000 Fuel Gas 27 24 Mix C3+ 23 19 Fuel Oil 1 0.4 Sub-Total 1,051 1,043.4 Cost ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethane Feed 489 475 Utilities 98 O&M 53 Depreciation + ROC 250 Sub-Total 890 876 Margin ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Revenue 1,051 1,043.3 Cost 890 876 Total Margin 161 167.3 Higher selectivity = ~$6.3 MM USD/yr Advantage

Example 3: CIS Region Cracker (Fixed Feed) Grassroots Cracker Location: CIS Region Feedstock: 1200 KTA Ethane (Gas Plant) Products: Ethylene C3+ Stream (Use for Fuel) Fuel Oil Fuel Gas Overall Material Balance Feed / Product 77% Yield (KTA) 80% Yield Ethane 1200 Ethylene 932 960 Fuel Gas 168 156 Mix C3+ 95 82 Fuel Oil 4 2 C3+ Ethane Feed Tail Gas Ethylene Fuel Oil

Example 3: CIS Region Economics (Fixed FEED) Revenue ($MM USD) Products 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethylene 932 960 Fuel Gas 25 23 Mix C3+ 21 18 Fuel Oil 1 0.3 Sub-Total 979 1,001.3 Cost ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Ethane Feed 456 Utilities 91 O&M 49 Depreciation + ROC 233 Sub-Total 829 Margin ($MM USD) Category 77% Yield 80% Yield Revenue 979 1,001.3 Cost 829 Total Margin 150 172.3 Higher selectivity = ~$22.3 MM USD/yr Advantage

How can Technology Impact Selectivity? 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 10 20 Residence Time (sec)) GAS OIL NAPHTHA BUTANE PROPANE ETHANE Yield Improvement Relative Percent Residence Time Effect on Ethylene Yields More Ethylene More Co-Products

How does KBR Address Residence Time? Furnace Coil Portfolio SC-1 SC-2 SC-4 20 NAPHTHA GAS OIL BUTANE Yield Improvement Relative Percent PROPANE 10 ETHANE 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Residence Time (sec))

KBR Furnace Portfolio & Experience SC-1 SC-2 SC-4 Single Pass Straight Tube (~ 0.08 - 0.12 sec) Two-Pass “U-Coil” (~ 0.20 - 0.25 sec) Serpentine-Type E.g., “W-Coil” (~ 0.35-1.0 sec) # of Furnaces 209 49 207

KBR has BROADEST Technology Portfolio KBR & Competitors Coil Type Residence Time (sec) KBR Competitors W type 0.4 SC-4 Yes U Type 0.2 SC-2 One pass 0.1 SC-1 No KBR has BROADEST Technology Portfolio

Steam Cracking Around the World The Heavier the Hydrocarbon Feed the more complicated the economics Russia/CIS: Ethane Refinery Integration Naphtha North America: Shale Gas Asia: Naphtha Heavy Liquids Middle East: Ethane Refinery Integration Liquids KBR Collaborates with client to determine best configuration

Flexibility towards feed

SCORE Feed Flexibility Multi-Feed (Hybrid) Cracking SCORE Furnaces Large Capacity Single Cabin Firebox 8 individually flow controlled passes Number of Feeds only limited by inlet piping arrangement Each Feed can be cracked at optimum conditions: Temperature S:HC Ratio 7 8 5 6 3 4 1 2 Flexibility of 8 mini furnaces within a single firebox

Hybrid Cracking Example 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 101-B Naphtha ----- Naphtha & HCR ----- ----------------- Naphtha, LPG/C3R & Ethane ------------------------ 102-B 103-B 104-B 105-B 106-B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Naphtha HCTO HCR 2 4 6 7 8 LPG/C3R 1 3 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Off Line 1 2 1 2 3 4 3 4 5 6 5 6 7 8 7 8 You would do the rest of your explanation regarding hybrid cracking with this slide on the screen. When you are done with the explanation you can show the following slide to briefly re-emphasize the points that you will have already made. This is typical of his recommendations. Avoid showing text slides any more than you have to and keep the text slides that you show simple. We can include additional text slides in the handout versions. Ethane LPG/C3R Naphtha LPG

KBR Olefins Technology Offering – Adding further feed flexibility What Feeds Features SCORE (Steam Cracking) Ethane thru Gas Oil Residence time ~0.08 – 1.0 sec Low CAPEX Superior Performance Offered via Agreement with ExxonMobil K-COTTM (Catalytic Olefins) Olefinic C4-C10 P/E ratio ~ 2/1 Gasoline by-product >50% aromatics Recycle C4-C6 NA to extinction without additional treating Paraffinic naphtha, light distillates P/E ratio ~ 1/1 Recycle C4s/C5s without additional treating Non-traditional High olefin yields from methanol, ethanol and other oxygenates and MTO/MTP and FT by-products

K-COTTM Overview Catalytic cracking of light olefinic and/or paraffinic feeds High propylene yields, with ethylene and aromatic-rich gasoline byproducts Typical P/E ratio = 2:1 for olefin-rich feed Typical P/E ratio = 1:1 for straight run naphtha Use of custom formulation of ZSM-5 catalysts Utilizes fluidized reactors (FCC) Over 60 years of KBR experience in FCC Product separation similar to ethylene plants with trace impurity removal to produce polymer grade products Over 60 years of KBR experience in Ethylene

Typical Refinery and Steam Cracker CDU FCC Isom Others Gasoline Distillate Jet / Kero Fuel Oil Crude Oil Hydrotreaters De- asphalting Coker Naphtha Hot Section Cold Section Ethylene Propylene Butadiene PyGas

Typical Refinery and Steam Cracker CDU FCC Isom Others Gasoline Distillate Jet / Kero Fuel Oil Crude Oil Hydrotreaters De- asphalting Coker Naphtha LPG Catalytic Olefins Recovery Hot Section Cold Section Ethylene  Propylene  Butadiene PyGas

Typical Refinery and Steam Cracker CDU FCC Isom Others Gasoline Distillate Jet / Kero Fuel Oil Crude Oil Hydrotreaters De- asphalting Coker Naphtha LPG Catalytic Olefins Recovery Non-traditional: Oxygenates (MeOH, EthOH) MTO/MTP by-products FT by-products Hot Section Cold Section Ethylene  Propylene  Butadiene PyGas

K-COT™ for Steam Cracker Retrofit Typical liquid crackers produce several low-value C4+ streams (about 20% of the fresh feed)

Recycle with K-COT™ K-COT allows recycle of mixed, low value streams without the need for pre-treatment. K-COT™ Based on historical prices, K-COT provides better margin than either traditional option

Naphtha Cracker: Recycle vs. Sell Based on historical worldwide price data

Combined Olefins Process Recycles K-COTTM Tail gas Ethylene Propylene Raw C4s BTX-gasoline Fuel oil RECOVERY Fresh Feeds Pyrolysis Recycles

Technology Flexibility Technology flexibility has become a necessity Feeds/products SCORE olefins technology range of furnace options and superior feed flexibility K-COTTM technology provides feed/product flexibility, especially for non-traditional feeds for olefins Combination allows operators to respond to an increasingly dynamic market Sasol Catalytic Olefins Unit, Secunda, South Africa 2006 Startup

The Indian Perspective Indian per capita polymer consumption @ 8kg/yr compared to global average consumption of >25kg/yr Double digit yearly growth in plastic demand 1 kg/yr increase corresponds to 1.2 MMTPA demand increase; size of a world class Ethylene complex Indian refining capacity @ 215 MMTPA (5th largest in the world); 2014 Ethylene production in India 4 MMTPA Enormous opportunity to integrate with Refineries Naphtha production in 2014 : 19MMTPA Naphtha demand in 2014 : 12 MMTPA 7MMTPA of excess Naphtha available. Regional imbalance Eastern India with 26% of national population takes 11% of demand Northern India 31% of national population takes 21% of demand Development of Northern and eastern India in line with Western India

Conclusions Impossible to predict feed/product prices Selectivity is important and should be a key decision criteria in investment decisions “Duplicate” /” Conventional” grassroots designs might miss economic opportunity Ability to be feed flexible keeps you on track in an uncertain market place. Latest technology offerings provide unprecedented opportunities to integrate and beat market uncertainties.

Thank you for your kind attention! Please choose the opening slide specific to your PSL. Go to Home in the menu tab above, then click on Layout, then pick your PSL opening slide from the first line of the Layout options. Thank you for your kind attention! Questions?