Introduction to Harmony funds

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Investor implications for global deleveraging
Advertisements

Investment Strategy Perspective The Post Election Outlook Hope and Change or More of the Same? November 2012.
FP London Meeting Glyn Owen, CEO Tom Joy, CIO Martyn Simpson, Head of Advisory Stefan Jordaan, Business Development Mgr James Klempster, Assistant PM 14.
Veritas Financial Group Introduction to the Financial Universe Week 4– Hedge Funds.
Hedge fund flows on pace to nearly double 2012
1 The Global Financial Crisis: What’s Next? Bank Guarantee Fund Conference Warsaw, May 21, 2010 Mark Allen Senior IMF Resident Representative for Central.
Climate change Tom Zambon Introduction June 2009.
Jersey Investment Briefings - November 2010 Tom Zambon November 2010 Performance update.
Jersey Investment Briefings - November 2010 Re-emerging Asia Jonathan Schiessl November 2010.
January 2013 Going global in fixed income. Agenda Going global in fixed income China – another debt bubble in the making? M&G Global Macro Bond Fund The.
The Debt Crisis and the World Economy Nick Kounis Head Macro Research Athens, 17 October 2012 Marine Money Greek Forum.
Keith Forslund, Senior Portfolio Manager
Track Record Weyland Capital Management employs a tax-sensitive, globally-diversified investment approach.  The firm’s “all-weather” investment approach.
3 March 2004 Hong Kong Baptist University 1998 Superannuation Fund.
What’s on an investor’s mind? Stephen Blackman, RBS Group Economics.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen June 24, 2015.
UK Economy: Where do we go from here? Robert Gardner, Head of Macroeconomics.
This document is issued by Miton Asset Management Ltd who are authorised & regulated by The Financial Services Authority.
5 September 2003 Hong Kong Baptist University 1998 Superannuation Fund.
Asset Allocation and the Efficient Frontier: Optimizing a portfolio’s risk/return profile J.P. Morgan Investment Academy SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY.
Agenda Why is the Pension Investor different? The journey, the destination or both? Saver or Investor? Tailored Solutions Managing the journey to the destination.
Investing in a low yield world David Irwin. 2 CTRL+ALT+DELETE.
Better insight + Better process = Better results The income fund that goes further The JPM Global Equity Income Fund For professional advisers only – not.
Japanese Yen Will the yen appreciate or depreciate in the near future?? Source: Bank of Japan.
Rescuing the eurozone: the right prescription? March 8,
Asset allocation: optimising returns in a low return environment Glyn Owen October 2010 RMB Asset Management International Limited (Company Registration.
Institute of Directors Strategic Planning for Company Exit Wealth Management Paul Cannons Mike Lenhoff 28 May 2012.
Corporate Overview September Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (the "Company") makes forward-looking statements in this.
For professional use only - Not to be relied upon by retail clients Investment Update - Outlook for 2009 SWIP Multi-Manager March 2009.
1 global investment management Market update & Harmony funds review Glyn Owen June 2012.
Harmony Portfolios Advisor Workshop November 2009.
1 global investment management Harmony funds update James Klempster, CFA February 2012.
Outlook For Financial Markets And Investment Strategy
2Q | 2011 Guide to the Markets As of March 31, 2011.
Harmony portfolios review & market update
Baring Asset Management Limited 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3XY Tel+44 (0) Fax+44 (0) Authorised and regulated.
Robertson, Griege & Thoele Investment Market Analysis January st Quarter Market Review Global Markets Rebound st Quarter Market Review.
Rebuilding confidence Han de Jong Group Economics March 2012.
For institutional investors and professional advisers only. This information has not been approved for use with customers. THE CASE FOR EUROPEAN COMMERICAL.
G:\CS\UK\2007\!P\Gen07\HottestofthehotOct07 – James Henderson V4.ppt Can UK Equity Income funds keep providing good capital and income growth? Wednesday.
Equity income: a niche asset class Neil Margolis, Portfolio Manager May 2007.
Economic Update Mark Rider, Head of Investment Strategy.
The Capital Preservation Challenge May %-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35% Market returns Wealth Utility Utility.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen October 14, 2015.
Page 1 I For Broker/Dealer Use Only and Not to be Distributed to the Public Pioneer Funds - U.S. Dollar Aggregate Bond Active Historical Sector Allocations.
Neptune Investment Management. Delivering High Performance John Husselbee Chief Executive, North Fund Manager.
1 global investment management Harmony update James Klempster, CFA May 2012.
Bill Evans Managing Director Economics & Research ABARE CONFERENCE March 2010.
January 2014 Rebecca H. Patterson Chief Investment Officer Bessemer Trust The Year Ahead: Looking for Surprises.
City of Hallandale Beach DB Plan Update November 17, 2014.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Slide 0 Ingenious Asset Managementwww.ingeniousmedia.co.uk Economic Overview & Portfolio Positioning Philip Todd 9th September 2014.
The recovery and your business Mark Smyth, RBS Group Economics.
The Euro Area Crisis: Origins, Prospects and Implications for the World Economy and Global Governance Domenico Lombardi UNLV, April 3, 2013.
Introduction to the UK Economy. What are the key objectives of macroeconomic policy? Price Stability (CPI Inflation of 2%) Growth of Real GDP (National.
February 2016 Outlook for Financial Markets Jack Ablin, CFA Chief Investment Officer (312) What to do Now? – Navigating Wall Street Volatility.
1 JANA’s Quarterly Capital Markets & Asset Allocation Update – September 2014.
1 global investment management Navigating a diverging world October 2015 Glyn Owen.
BMO Guardian Global High Yield Bond Fund Advisor Series Tactical appeal of high yield Global range of opportunities Active Management by PIMCO Canada Corp.
2016 Market Update and Outlook April 27, 2016 J.P. King Advisors, Inc. is an SEC registered investment advisor. Past performance is no guarantee of future.
AS Economics PowerPoint Briefings Introduction to Macroeconomics AS Economics.
Baring Asset Management Limited 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3XY Tel+44 (0) Fax+44 (0) Authorised and regulated.
The Big Picture David Irwin, Equity PM EAMG. Agenda Investment philosophy/style Market update Par fund 2.
Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates. The Balance of Payments Account Meaning of the balance of payments The current account Meaning of the balance.
23 JULY 2009 OCTOPUS INVESTMENTS Paul Chedzey Manager, Strategic Partnerships October 2010.
Aberdeen’s Stewardship Capabilities
amaranth DMS UCITS PLATFORM ICAV P/E FX Strategy Fund
CISI – Financial Products, Markets & Services
How Do ETFs Fit into investment portfolios?
IASA Northeastern Annual Regional Conference Economic and Capital Markets Overview November 2018 The material contained in this presentation has been.
Presentation transcript:

Introduction to Harmony funds James Klempster, CFA October 2012

1. Introduction to Harmony funds 2 1. Introduction to Harmony funds 2. Momentum Global Investment Management 3. Fund focus 4. Market update

1. Introduction to Harmony funds

Introduction Risk profiled core solutions: Balanced and Growth Multi-asset, multi-manager, multi-currency Diversified between local and global investments, asset class, currency, manager and style Dynamic tactical asset allocation Available in five currency / regional bases: USD, GBP, EUR, AUD and Asian The Harmony range does not invest in derivatives, structured products or CDOs Managed by Momentum Global Investment Management in London

The Harmony fund range Harmony Asian Balanced Harmony Asian Growth Harmony US Dollar Balanced Harmony US Dollar Growth Harmony Euro Balanced Harmony AUD Growth Harmony Sterling Balanced Harmony Sterling Growth

Harmony funds structure Momentum Global Funds SICAV (Luxembourg) Harmony fund range Asian Balanced Fund Asian Growth Fund Euro Balanced Fund GBP Balanced Fund GBP Growth Fund USD Balanced Fund USD Growth Fund AUD Growth Fund Promoter Momentum Global Investment Management Investment manager & global distributor Momentum Global Investment Management Management company RBS Luxembourg Depositary & administrator JP Morgan Luxembourg Auditors PricewaterhouseCoopers Sub-distributor Armytage Asset Management Regulator CSSF Luxembourg

Investment manager feedback House view Weekly review Monthly factsheets Monthly viewpoint Detailed quarterly reports Harmony AUD Growth Website: www.harmonyportfolios.com

2. Momentum Global Investment Management

Who we are and why we are different Business & heritage Boutique focus and mindset Strong corporate backing: top 40 JSE listed company Group AuM: USD41 billion, London AuM: USD4.3 billion* Investment process Highly experienced and stable team Disciplined valuation driven investment process Capital preservation mindset Investment manager partnerships Genuinely bespoke solutions – highly attuned to client needs True dynamic asset allocation Use of external specialists Diversification across a wide range of asset classes Deal exclusively with institutions and intermediaries January 2012. * Includes post consolidation assets.

Investment philosophy – core beliefs Markets are inefficient Inefficiencies create valuation extremes and offer opportunities Dynamic asset allocation will add value over time Increasing the investable universe will increase the opportunity set Effective use of broad range of asset classes generates better risk:return profile Blending uncorrelated assets enables true diversification Valuation is paramount Reversion to the mean works in the long run Wait for the ‘fat pitch’ No single manager / investment house is good at everything Dynamic manager selection is essential Focus on employing specialists to maximise opportunities

Risk management Asset class selection True risk is the possibility of permanent loss of capital Best defence is buying a diverse portfolio of undervalued a sets Valuation is key: Scenario testing used to stress test our valuations Manager selection Extensive operational due diligence process Onsite visits by our DD team as necessary Transparency required to guard against style drift Position sizing Target benchmark volatility Risk analysed at individual contribution and total portfolio level Position sizes adjusted to keep within target and ensure a prudent level of diversification Liquidity stress testing

Investment process

Investment process: roles and responsibilities Asset Allocation Glyn Owen, Investment Director James Klempster, Multi-Asset PM Peter van der Ross, Head of Strategy Lynn van Coller, Head of Core Strategies Mike Allen, Chief Investment Officer Alex Harvey, Head of Fixed Income Andries Kotzee, Multi-Asset PM Global asset allocation committee Capital markets forecast group Multi-asset committee Portfolio implementation Harmony fund range Manager Research Mike Allen, Chief Investment Officer John Caulfield, Head of Alternative Strategies Andrew Smith, Head of Equities Andries Kotzee, Multi-Asset PM Andrew Hardy, Senior Analyst Jernej Bukovec, Senior Analyst Alex Harvey, Head of Fixed Income Operations Robert Rhodes, Chief Operating Officer Risk Management Rishi Patel, Head of Risk and Due Diligence 13 13

Asset class research Where active management works Percentage of fund managers who underperform various performance hurdles Index +1% +2% +4% 84 Efficient Domestic Bonds* 66 77 Global Bonds 67 77 UK Equities 65 71 75 US Equities Semi-efficient 69 75 81 Global Equities European Equities 53 66 75 59 67 73 EM Equity 48 57 65 Japanese Equity 75 Inefficient 49 54 59 Small Cap* 67 January 2012. (Illustrative purposes only)

Manager research process Buy discipline Sell discipline Appoint Manager Sell Manager What we’re looking for: Sound philosophy Disciplined process Proven team/implementation Robust capacity management Alignment of interests Business stability Sell indicators Upgrade decision Key individual/ team leaves Poor capacity management Inconsistent behaviour Negative corporate change Operational issues Manager Re-evaluation Manager Evaluation Continuous monitoring Idea Generation Re-evaluate Universe

Using the best talent from around the world Polar Morgan Stanley iShares Old Mutual Henderson M&G RWC Schroders Threadneedle Jupiter London Chicago: Driehaus Timpani Paris: Comgest Tokyo: Tiburon Connecticut: Lapides AXA IM BlackRock San Francisco: Artisan Wilmington: Marvin & Palmer New York: American Century Pzena Muzinich Cohen & Steers Arizona: ING Austin Yacktman Singapore: Firth Pictet Sydney: Aberdeen UBS

3. Fund focus

Harmony Balanced fund strategic allocation October 2012

Harmony Growth fund strategic allocation October 2012

Harmony US Dollar Balanced asset allocation October 2012.

Harmony US Dollar Balanced currency allocation October 2012.

Harmony US Dollar Balanced performance Source: Lipper Hindsight, Momentum Global Investment Management, October 2012.. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. *30/06/2005 to 30/12/2005. †Harmony fund average percentage rank over discrete years shown.

Harmony US Dollar Balanced manager performance Source: Returns to 28/09/2012, Bloomberg October 2012

Harmony US Dollar Growth asset allocation October 2012.

Harmony US Dollar Growth currency allocation October 2012.

Harmony US Dollar Growth performance Source: Lipper Hindsight, Momentum Global Investment Management, October 2012.. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. *30/06/2005 to 30/12/2005. †Harmony fund average percentage rank over discrete years shown.

Harmony US Dollar Growth manager performance Source: Returns to 28/09/2012, Bloomberg October 2012

Harmony Asian Growth asset allocation October 2012.

Harmony Asian Growth currency allocation October 2012.

Harmony Asian Growth performance Source: Lipper Hindsight, Momentum Global Investment Management, October 2012. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. *30/11/2006 to 29/12/2006. †Harmony fund average percentage rank over discrete years shown.

Harmony Asian Growth manager performance Source: Returns to 28/09/2012, Bloomberg October 2012

Harmony three year performance vs. peers Source: Lipper Hindsight, October 2012. Past performance is not indicative of future returns

4. Market update

This century has been bad for equity investing…… +18.5% Source: Returns to 05/10/2012. Bloomberg, October 2012

……but not for government bonds Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Asset class returns YTD 2012, Local currency terms Source: Bloomberg, Returns to 28/09/2012, October 2012

MSCI World since January 2008 Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

10 year government bond yield since January 2008 Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Map of the markets YTD Source: Bloomberg, Returns from 30/12/2011-05/10/2012, October 2012

Asset class returns 2012 YTD Source: Lipper, Returns to 05/10/2012, October 2012

Asset class returns 2012 YTD Source: Lipper, Returns to 05/10/2012, October 2012

Asset class returns 2012 YTD Source: Lipper, Returns to 05/10/2012, October 2012

10 year government bond spreads vs. Germany Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

German vs. Spanish 10 yr government bond yields January 2000 to date Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Performance of Chinese stock market vs. S&P500 Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Performance of Gold, Copper and Oil Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Currencies vs. USD Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Performance of currencies vs. USD YTD 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Returns to 05/10/2012, October 2012

2. Market outlook

Critical issues Sustainability of growth in the US Structural slowdown in China – or hard landing? European imbalances Central bank pump pricing vs. global deleveraging

Clear slowdown in global growth Source: JPMorgan, October 2012

Economy has slowed: US leading economic indicators Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

US consumer confidence Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

US economic momentum is reasonable – but unemployment remains high US labour market Source: Figures to 28/09/2012, Bloomberg, October 2012

US construction: the only way is up? Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

US housing starts over the last 12 months Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Fiscal cliff: will need to be tackled after November US budget deficits Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

US fiscal deficit as % of GDP 1791 -2011 Source : Deutsche bank, GFD. October 2012.

Budget deficits larger in the US than in peripheral Europe Budget deficit as a % of GDP % Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain: GDP- weighted fiscal balance US Source: Deutsche bank. October 2012.

China is landing GDP and industrial production Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Major macro indicators continue to disappoint Chinese PMI: new orders Chinese money supply (% yoy) Level Source: Bloomberg, October 2012.

Export sector flatlining Chinese global exports (Real $) Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Imports slowing Chinese global imports (Real $) Imports % YOY Source: SocGen October 2012

China’s slowing growth: structural or cyclical? China Real GDP y/y % change % Source: Factset. October 2012.

The European crisis is not simply debt 1.0% -8.5% -1.7% -8.0% Current account balance 5.2% -0.8% Budget deficit to GDP -1.9% -4.6% -7.4% -7.2% -4.2% -4.5% -2.1% -6.0% -2.2% -2.4% Source: IMF, 2012 estimates.

Unit labour costs since the launch of the euro Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Currencies vs. the Deutschemark Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

German Labour reform accelerated growth- can Italy? Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

The European stress / intervention cycle Don’t underestimate the political will to preserve the Eurozone Inflate, stagnate or default Austerity / growth European bail out of banks Issue of Eurobonds ECB – LTRO / OMT / rate cut Fiscal union

Central government debt burden 1900 to 2011 - advanced and emerging economies % Source: Reinhart (2010), Reinhart and Rogoff (2009 and 2011), sources cited therein and the authors

Total debt to GDP for developed economies 1990 - 2012 Source: Deutsche Bank, Haver. October 2012.

Debt composition varies widely Source: Bloomberg, October 2012.

Short term interest rates over past 10 years US, UK, Japan and Europe % Source: MGIM, Bloomberg. October 2012

The world is not normal: UK base rate 1694 to today Source: Deutsche Bank, GFD. October 2012.

The world is not normal: Swiss government bond yields Source: Bloomberg, MGIM. October 2012.

The world is not normal: 10 year government bond yields Source: Bloomberg, MGIM. October2012.

The world is not normal: US 10 year yield since 1790 Source: Deutsche Bank, GFD, Bloomberg Finance LLp. October 2012.

Quantitative easing: Bank of England balance sheet as a % of GDP Source: Deutsche bank. October 2012.,

The UK recovery is weaker than in the great depression % Source: Deutsche Bank. September 2012.

Tail risk of extreme events are not insignificant US fiscal cliff Chinese ‘recession’ Eurozone disintegration Journey into the unknown – monetary easing

Equity market valuations *current year estimate Source: Bloomberg, Statistics to 05/010/2012. October 2012

MSCI World P/E ratio since 1995 Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

MSCI World price to book since 1995 Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Tail wind of EM re-valuation now behind us MSCI World PB vs. MSCI GEM PB Source: Bloomberg, October 2012

Investment conclusion ‘New normal’ is now the consensus Deleveraging and rebalancing set to continue for years US – growth risk in 2013 China – structural slowdown underway Europe – stress / intervention cycle to continue Policy risks are high Further monetary loosening is certain Crisis presents an extraordinary valuation opportunity

Implications for portfolio construction Subdued growth low return expectations Continued deleveraging and tight credit financial strength is critical High tail risks high volatility Cyclical move down in commodities has further to run Deflation protection in safe haven bonds Income generating assets important safe dividend equities corporate bonds emerging market bonds Focus on: Diversification by asset class Quality defensive equities Inflation not today’s problem – but might be the end game Exploit tactical opportunities

Disclaimer Momentum Global Investment Management is the trading name for Momentum Global Investment Management Limited. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to any person in any jurisdiction in which it is not authorised or permitted, or to anyone who would be an unlawful recipient, and is only intended for use by original recipients and addressees. The original recipient is solely responsible for any actions in further distributing this document, and should be satisfied in doing so that there is no breach of local legislation or regulation. The information is intended solely for use by our clients or prospective clients, and should not be reproduced or distributed except via original recipients acting as professional intermediaries. This document is not for distribution in the United States. Prospective investors should inform themselves and if need be take appropriate advice regarding applicable legal, taxation and exchange control regulations in countries of their citizenship, residence or domicile which may be relevant to the acquisition, holding, transfer, redemption or disposal of any investments herein solicited. Any opinions expressed herein are those at the date this material is issued. Data, models and other statistics are sourced from our own records, unless otherwise stated herein. We believe that the information contained is from reliable sources, but we do not guarantee the relevance, accuracy or completeness thereof. Unless otherwise provided under UK law, Momentum Global Investment Management does not accept liability for irrelevant, inaccurate or incomplete information contained, or for the correctness of opinions expressed. We caution that the value of investments in discretionary accounts, and the income derived, may fluctuate and it is possible that an investor may incur losses, including a loss of the principal invested. Past performance is not generally indicative of future performance. Investors whose reference currency differs from that in which the underlying assets are invested may be subject to exchange rate movements that alter the value of their investments. Our investment mandates in alternative strategies and hedge funds permit us to invest in unregulated funds that may be highly volatile. Although alternative strategies funds will seek to follow a wide diversification policy, these funds may be subject to sudden and/or large falls in value. The illiquid nature of the underlying funds is such that alternative strategies funds deal infrequently and require longer notice periods for redemptions. These Investments are therefore not readily realisable. If an alternative strategies fund fails to perform, it may not be possible to realise the investment without further loss in value. These unregulated funds may engage in the short selling of securities or may use a greater degree of gearing than is permitted for regulated funds (including the ability to borrow for a leverage strategy). A relatively small price movement may result in a disproportionately large movement in the investment value. The purpose of gearing is to achieve higher returns associated with larger investment exposures, but has concomitant exposure to loss if positive performance is not achieved. Reliable information about the value of an investment in an alternative strategies fund may not be available (other than at the fund’s infrequent valuation points). Under our multi-management arrangements, we selectively appoint underlying sub-investment managers and funds to actively manage underlying asset holdings in the pursuit of achieving mandated performance objectives. Annual investment management fees are payable both to the multimanager and the manager of the underlying assets at rates contained in the offering documents of the relevant portfolios (and may involve performance fees where expressly indicated therein). Momentum Global Investment Management Limited (Company Registration No. 3733094) registered office at 20 Gracechurch Street, London EC3V 0BG. Momentum Global Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority in the United Kingdom, and is an authorised Financial Services Provider pursuant to the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002 in South Africa. © Momentum Global Investment Management Limited 2012

Contact: Lucy Richardson Marketing Manager Momentum Global Investment Management Lucy.richardson@momentumGIM.com T: +44 207 939 1725 www.momentumgim.com