Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Ltd UK / Irish Financials Day London, Monday, 15 th September 2008 Alan Kelly General Manager, Group.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Improved core earnings and increased impairments - but sound loan book, strong balance sheet and inflow of deposits Presentation, Interim Report Q
Advertisements

Jennifer Marshall Senior Financial Analyst Property/Casualty Division February 12, 2009 Treatment of Investments in the A.M. Best Rating Process NYIA Educational.
Jarvis plc 2007 Half Year Results Presentation 27 November 2007.
1 Changing Profile of Household Sector Credit and Deposits in Indian Banking System -Deepak Mathur November 30, 2010.
The Baltic States: Recovery, Outlook, and Challenges Economic Crossroads: From Recovery to Sustainable Development in the Baltic States and the EU Riga,
Half Year Presentation 7 February This presentation relates to the Freightways Limited NZX announcement and media release of 7 February As.
Historical Perspective on British Columbias Credit Rating Presentation to Financial Management Institute June 18, 2008.
Research Department 1 Global Economic Crisis and the Israeli Economy Herzliya conference Dr. Karnit Flug Research Director, Bank of Israel February 2009.
Risk Management at Goldman Sachs Presentation to the Stanford Finance Forum David Viniar Chief Financial Officer June 3, 2011.
36 Offices in 17 Countries Beyond the Media Stories: What’s Happening in the USA? John Thomas Global Real Estate Practice Group Leader.
Full Year Results – 30 June 2003 Presentation to Media David Murray 20 August
FIBI FIRST INTERNATIONAL BANK OF ISRAEL O verview
FIBI FIRST INTERNATIONAL BANK OF ISRAEL O verview
FIBI FIRST INTERNATIONAL BANK OF ISRAEL O verview
1 FirstGroup plc Pre-close Trading Update for the 12 months to 31 March 2010 Wednesday 31 March 2010.
ALLIED IRISH BANKS, P.L.C. Interim Results 2005 for the half-year ended 30 June, 2005.
1. 2 WELCOME 3 Table of contents  Welcome  Salient features  Sustainability achievements  Financial review  Strategy ›Short-term challenges and.
AIB Group Interim Results A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not be based on historical.
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c., Annual General Meeting, Dublin, 22 April, 2008 Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c., Annual General Meeting, 22 April, 2008 Mr. Dermot.
SLIDE 1 British Columbia. SLIDE 2 Economy SLIDE 3 Real GDP annual per cent change BC growth outperforms Canada and the US Forecast Sources: Statistics.
Presentation of Half Year Results David Murray Stuart Grimshaw 12 February
Preliminary Results Preliminary Results 2005 for the year ended 31 December 2005 Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c.
Final Results Presentation 5 March 2003.
Presentation to Carillion The Equipment Rental Specialists 9 th June 2010 The Equipment Rental Specialists Vp plc Final Results for the year ended 31 March.
Half Year Results Presentation to Media David Murray 12 February
Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 Donal Forde Managing Director - AIB Bank Republic of Ireland.
AIB Capital Markets Colm Doherty, Managing Director London, 17 th May 2007.
Implementing new UK accounting standard FRS 19 Thursday 21st March 2002.
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO Conference London, Tuesday 2 nd October 2007 “Delivering Growth in a Riskier World” Eugene.
Shareholder Information Meeting Radisson Penn Harris Hotel & Convention Center, Camp Hill, Pennsylvania, Wednesday, May 30 th, 2007.
Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 Robbie Henneberry Managing Director – AIB Group (UK) p.l.c.
1. 2 A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not be based on historical fact, but will be “forward-
Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 Gerry Byrne Managing Director - AIB Poland Division.
30/06/2012 Overview. 2 Net Operating Earnings and ROE NIS Millions 281 NIS Millions 285 NIS Millions.
1 for the half-year ended 30 June 2007 Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c.
1 Fourth Quarter 2003 Review January 16, 2004 Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden.
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Goodbody Stockbrokers Private Clients Investment Seminar Dublin, Thursday, 23 rd October 2008 Eugene Sheehy Group Chief Executive.
Preliminary Results Preliminary Results 2004 for the year ended 31 December 2004 Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c.
Security Analysis (Fall 2009)Asif Ali Qureshi, CFA 1 Trends in Pakistani Banking Sector.
1 First Quarter 2003 Review April 17, 2003 Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden.
First quarter results April First quarter results Strong operating result... Revenues remain resilient (+0.4%) Operating expenses.
Third quarter results November  Revenues held up well despite weaker market conditions  Operating result excluding contribution EAB and.
The Irish Market - What Lies Ahead? Donal Forde 24 th October, 2007.
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Interim Results A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not.
Full Year Results th April 2002 Independent News & Media PLC.
Seattle Investor Meeting February 26, PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT DISCLOSURE These presentation materials.
FBD Holdings plc 2007 Interim Results August 2007 A.
Interim Results Interim Results 2004 for the half year ended 30 June 2004 Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c.
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. “Growth and risk management as the cycle turns” Morgan Stanley European Banks & Financials Conference London, Tuesday, 1 st.
Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.
1 FBD Holdings plc 2007 Preliminary Results. 2 2 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains certain forward- looking statements. Actual results.
Atlas Copco Group Q2 Results July 17, Contents  Q2 Business Highlights  Market Development  Business Areas  Financials  Outlook.
Third Quarter 2001 Financial Results October 17, 2001.
2015 YEAR END RESULTS 17 March 2016 Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC.
First Quarter 2013 Earnings Conference Call April 18, 2013.
Fourth Quarter / Full Year Earnings 2008 Kimberly Ross Chief Financial Officer March 2, 2009.
Briefing to the Legislative Council Panel on Financial Affairs 5 November 2001 HONG KONG MONETARY AUTHORITY.
O C T O B E R 2 2, T H I R D Q U A R T E R Financial results.
Macro-Financial Review H June 2016
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2001 Financial Results
S E C O N D Q U A R T E R Financial results
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2002 Financial Results
First Quarter 2003 Financial Results
FBD Holdings plc 2008 Interim Results August
First Quarter 2002 Financial Results
2018 FIRST Quarter Results NASDAQ: fult
2018 THIRd Quarter Results NASDAQ: fult
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods New York Field Trip May 9, 2006
Preliminary Results Preliminary Results 2004
Data as of September 30, 2019 unless otherwise noted
Presentation transcript:

Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Ltd UK / Irish Financials Day London, Monday, 15 th September 2008 Alan Kelly General Manager, Group Finance

2 A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not be based on historical fact, but will be forward- looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, global, national and regional economic conditions, levels of market interest rates, credit or other risks of lending and investment activities, competitive and regulatory factors and technology change. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Group speak only as of the date they are made. visit Forward looking statements The following commentary is on a continuing operations basis. The growth percentages (excl. EPS) are shown on an underlying basis, adjusted for the impact of exchange rate movements on the translation of foreign locations profit and excluding interest rate hedge volatility.

3 Intense focus on risk management Common, consistent and effective operating systems / platforms AIB today Resilient business model founded on customer revenues Diverse premium positions in chosen markets / niches Proactive, disciplined cost management Strong capital and funding positions

4 Financial highlights - H Basic earnings per share c - basic adjusted * c 4 % * Basic earnings per share less profit on disposal / development of properties, business and hedge volatility ** Relative to June 2007 base figure of 108.8c Positive income / cost gap5% Cost / income ratio 2% Impaired loans 1.1% Dividend 10% Return on equity21.9% Tier 1 capital ratio 7.7% **

5 Diverse business mix AIB Bank RoI591m 3%502m 5% Capital Markets313m 4%295m 7% AIB Bank UK£169m 10% £150m- PolandPln 635m 11%Pln 615m 3% M&T *US$ 704m 10%US$ 544m 7% Pre-provision operating profitOperating Profit Strong pre-provision operating performance; more difficult credit environment * 100% M&T, AIB owns Jun 08

6 Income 3% Loans 6%; deposits 9% (6 months to June 2008) Lower customer demand for loan products & services Growth fully funded by customer deposits Net interest margin 2.21%, 1 bp Exceptional growth in Global Treasury interest income Increased funding costs are persisting Continued market dislocation has affected trading income, asset valuations and asset management activities

7 Jun Underlying m2008 yoy change % Costs 2% Staff costs 761 (4) Other costs 3691 Depreciation & amortìsation744 Operating expenses 1,204(2) Moderating trend Transformation of operations including new core banking and common operating systems People redeployment to more productive roles More efficient product and service delivery channels Streamlined back office operations Material reduction in error & re-work rate Continuing to invest for growth in Poland Costs 6% excluding Poland Full year 2008 guidance: flat % H

8 Cost / income ratio %

9 Loan portfolios by sector % of Group loan portfolio 36% 37%

10 %ROIUK*CMPoland*Group Commercial Investment Residential Investment Commercial Development Residential Development Contractors27153 Total Balances m29,6639,8247,1302,25848,874 Property & construction – sub sector diversity * An element of management estimation has been applied in this sub-categorisation

11 Republic of Ireland property & construction Overview Trends are deteriorating in all sub-sectors and the book is being very closely managed Many borrowers are involved in more than one sub-sector Each sub-sector carries different risk characteristics and loss potential Structuring, recourse to sponsor / independent cash flows, cross collateralisation are all key to risk mitigation

12 Asset quality – deteriorating trends 0.8Impaired loans (ILs) Criticised loans / total loans Gross new ILs Total provisions / ILs57 9Bad debt charge bps21 Dec 2007 %June 2008 Guidance for bad debt charge c. 35 bps of average loans in 2008 Range 60 – 80 bps of average loans in 2009

13 Solid capital position Total capital ratio 10.6% No requirement for recourse to shareholders Continuing progressive dividend policy Tier 1 capital ratio 7.7% Core Tier 1 ratio 6.2%

14 Strong and diverse funding sources 9% % * Deposits by banks unsecured when netted against loans to banks is 8% in 2007 and 6% in H Steady improvement in key funding measurements 91% of customer loans funded by customer deposits & funding maturing beyond Dec 08 Incremental loan growth fully funded by 5.7bn increase in customer deposits Improved loan / deposit ratio 153% (157% Dec 07) Diversified debt programmes; multiple geographies, investor types & tenors Very robust liquidity position 37bn in qualifying liquid assets/contingent funding; significant surplus over regulatory requirement Ongoing successful refinancing of term funding maturities for 2008; 4bn completed in H1 Senior Debt Capital Deposits by banks – unsecured * Deposits by banks – secured Customer a/cs ACS CDs & CPs % 48% 5% 13% 4% 13% 8% 9% 50% 5% 14% 4% 11% 7% 9%

15 Maintaining a realistic assessment of economic conditions No economic growth expected in Ireland in 2008; UK and USA expected to grow by c. 1% Poland a strong outperformer; 2008 growth forecast c.5% Ireland Return to trend growth likely to be delayed until 2010 Low level of housing activity is continuing Public finances enable essential investment programme Long term growth and stability remains intact

16 Lower volume growth reflects economic downturn Loans 4%, deposits flat Maintaining market shares Broadly stable product margins Strong focus on productivity Income flat, costs 2% AIB Bank Republic of Ireland Intensive management of asset quality Impaired loans 1% (0.7% Dec 07) Control framework and actions in place to mitigate bad debts as credit trends deteriorate Jun 07Jun 08Dec 07 Jaws Trends Revenue Growth Cost Growth

17 Capital Markets Jaws Trends Revenue Growth Cost Growth Jun 07Jun 08Dec 07 Profit analysis Corporate Banking Investment Banking Treasury 34m income write downs absorbed in dislocated markets Corporate Banking 13% Pre-provision operating profit 4%; increased provisions following exceptionally benign 2007 Loans 8%; lower customer demand, improving margins Deposits 25%; well spread domestic & international growth Global Treasury 31% Strong customer activity, well positioned in interest rate markets, difficult trading conditions Low activity levels in Investment Banking 49% Strong focus on productivity Income flat, costs 6% Solid asset quality underpinned by focus on carefully chosen markets and niches; impaired loans 0.5% (0.3% Dec 07)

18 High quality performance underpinned by a clear focus Mid corporate sectors and niches in Great Britain; profit 3% Improving efficiency in Northern Ireland franchise; profit 2% Productivity continuing to improve Income 3%, costs 5% AIB Bank United Kingdom Solid asset quality; impaired loans 1.4% (1.1% Dec 07) Minimal direct exposure to GB consumer market Northern Ireland private sector income underpinned by high level of state employment Jaws Trends Revenue Growth Cost Growth Jun 07Jun 08Dec 07 LoansDeposits Great Britain 8% 13% Northern Ireland 1% 4%

19 Buoyant volume growth driven by customer demand Loans 20%, deposits 15% Market conditions adversely affecting asset management and brokerage income Banking fees, commissions and dividend income all buoyant Substantial investment continues People, branches, corporate centres Enhanced wealth management proposition – Private Banking Teams; Aviva JV Income 15%, costs 18% Poland Asset quality remains strong Impaired loans 2.4% (2.8% Dec 2007) Jaws Trends Revenue Growth Cost Growth Jun 07Jun 08Dec 07

20 M&T Contribution 11% Satisfactory performance in a highly challenging environment Net income $362m ($390m H1 2007) 7% 3 rd best performer amongst top 21 US banks* Loans / leases 12%, deposits 6% Net interest margin stable (Q2 v Q1 2008) Efficiency ratio 52.4% (50.2% Q2 2007) Increase in non-performing loans and credit costs 4 th lowest net charge off ratio amongst top 21 US banks* Principally driven by weak housing market Prudent and vigilant management; allowance for credit losses 1.58% High rate of internal capital generation * excludes trust banks

21 Summary & outlook H1 performance underlines quality & diversity of our business Active cost control aligned to slowing revenue growth Intense focus on credit portfolios in a deteriorating environment Strong and resilient capital and funding bases Targeting 2008 EPS in a 185c – 190c range (relative to 205.9c in 2007)

23 Contacts Alan Rose Pat Maura Our Group Investor Relations Department will be happy to facilitate your requests for any further information Visit our website