Early messages from the evidence base research Brendan Nevin NLA 19 February 2010 NLA.

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Presentation transcript:

Early messages from the evidence base research Brendan Nevin NLA 19 February 2010 NLA

CONTEXT

Reduction in starts

Sales turnover

HOUSING DEMAND

Household growth

Population ageing

Local migration patterns

Spatial pattern of growth

Spatial pattern of ageing

HOUSING SUPPLY

Tenure

% of dwellings in Council Tax Band A by region, 2007 Source: ONS Neighbourhood Statistics, Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band, 2007

Non-decency rate by tenure, YH Source: English House Condition Survey, 2006

MARKET OUTCOMES

Indexed real prices, GDP and average GDP per household Sources: HM Land Registry, ONS, CLG

Average dwelling price mid 2009 Source: HM Land Registry, CLG.

Modelled average household income by MSOA, YH Source: ONS Modelled income estimates at

Vacancy rates by LSOA 2007/2008 Source: ONS, neighbourhood statistics at Note: some data is missing. Map shows vacancy rate in 2008, except where data is missing. In these areas, 2007 data has been substituted where available.

Vacancy rates by tenure Source: CLG Regional estimates from HSSA returns 2008

Vacancy rates by local authority, 2008 Source: CLG Regional estimates from HSSA returns 2008

Affordability

KEY ISSUES ARISING

Key Issues Arising Tenure change and the growth of private renting; Re-thinking affordability; The implications of ageing population; Links between housing and employment – Worklessness – Demographic and housing growth

Key Issues Arising Stock condition and choice; Facilitating supply; and Managing the existing stock