Trends in Number of High School Graduates: National

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: United States By the year 2021-22 the number of high school graduates in the United States is projected at 41% above 1993-94’s total. The majority of the increase will occur by 2008; however, following a slight dip through 2015, new growth will become evident through the end of the projection. White graduates are the only group not to show an increase between 1994 and 2022. Representing 65% of all graduates (72% of public graduates) in 1994, they will constitute 46% (50% public) 28 years later. In contrast, there will be 3 times the number of Hispanic and nearly 1.5 times the number of Asian graduates within the same timeframe. After 2006 Hispanics form the largest non-White population of graduates, representing 27% of public graduates, or 25% of the total. Delaware is expected to experience the largest growth in Native American graduates (948.5%, to 73) of all the states. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Middle States

Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: Middle States The total number of high school graduates in the Middle States region is projected to have peaked in 2007-08, at 533,548. In 2022 the number of graduates is projected to be 17.5% higher than in 1993, but 8% lower than in 2008. Over the 29-year period shown in the graph, the number of Hispanic graduates is expected to increase by 267%, and the number of Asians by 194%. By 2022 the number of Black graduates will be 31% greater than in 1993, but is projected to have declined 20% after its high in 2010. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Delaware The population of high school graduates in Delaware is projected to grow by 63% between 1992 and 2022, the highest growth of any state in this region. The number of White graduates in Delaware changes very little over the 25-year period shown in the graph. Tremendous growth occurs among Hispanics (1611%), Native Americans (949%, to 98, the highest increase in this group in the country), and Asian graduates (474%), though these three groups together will still comprise only 24% of Delaware’s graduates in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: District of Columbia The composition of the high school graduates in the District of Columbia is unlike that of any other state, consisting as it does of a very small population of White graduates (2% in 1993 and 3% in 2022), and a relatively large percentage of graduates from non-public schools (25% in 1993 and 17% in 2022). The total number of high school graduates in the District of Columbia is expected to peak in 2011 at 5,222. The 4,204 graduates projected for 2022 will be 10% fewer than in 1993. Over the 29-year projection period the number of Black graduates will decrease by 15%, and the number of non-public graduates by 19%. Hispanic and Asian numbers will increase – by 79% and 28%, respectively. The number of White graduates will double, from 75 to 150. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Maryland Over the 30-year period of high school graduate projections in Maryland the total number of graduates is projected to grow by 54%. Maryland is expected to have 69,238 graduates by 2022. The number of White graduates in Maryland will decline by 17% by 2022, but the other groups in the graph will experience significant growth, especially Hispanic graduates (1363%) and Asians (250%). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Jersey Between 1991-92 and 2021-22 the total number of high school graduates in New Jersey is projected to increase 35%, from 82,757 to 111,908. Other than graduates of non-public schools (whose number drops by 25% over the 30-year period in the graph), all groups of graduates shown will have more members in 2022 than in 1991. Native American graduates will increase the most – 382%, to 255 – followed by Hispanics (322%), Asians (230%), and Blacks (34%). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New York The number of high school graduates in New York is expected to have peaked in 2008 at 190,317, before declining. By 2022 there will be only 1% more graduates than there were in 1992, down 17% compared to 2008. Native American graduates will show the greatest growth over the 30-year period of the graph – 137% – followed by Asians (125%) and Hispanics (95%). The numbers of White and Black graduates will decline, by 19% and 6%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Pennsylvania In the year 2008 there are expected to be 149,402 high school graduates in Pennsylvania, 23% more than in 1991-92. Between 2008 and 2022, however, there will be a steady decline, leaving the overall 1992-2022 change at 13%. There will be more than 10 times as many Hispanic graduates in 2022 as in 1992, and 260% more Asians. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Midwest

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Midwest The number of high school graduates in the Midwest region is projected to grow slightly between 1992-93 and 2021-22. The 750,730 graduates in 2022 will be 14.5% higher than in 1992. Most of the growth in the region will occur among Hispanic and Asian graduates. Hispanic graduates will increase by 479% by 2022, and Asians by 230%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Illinois The number of high school graduates in Illinois is projected to have peaked in 2007-08 at 144,566. The 129,129 graduates in 2021-22 represent a 10% increase over 1992, but an 11% decline from the 2008 high. Hispanic, Native American and Asian graduates will experience the largest growth over the 30-year period shown in the graph. These groups are projected to increase by 282%, 178% (to 523), and 156%, respectively. Illinois is the only Midwestern state projected to experience a decline in the number of Black high school graduates through 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Indiana The number of high school graduates in Indiana changed very little between 1991 and 2005, after which it will experience a fair amount of growth. The 75,837 graduates projected for 2022 represent a 27% increase over 1992. Hispanics and Asians show dramatic growth over this 30-year period. The number of Hispanic graduates increases more than ten-fold, while Asian graduates increase by 317%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Iowa Between 1991-92 and 1998-99 Iowa experienced a 10% growth in the number of high school graduates. Little change is projected through 2012-13, but the number will increase gradually through 2021-22. The 39,554 graduates in 2022 will represent a 27% increase over 1992, and 10% over 2013. The number of Hispanic graduates will increase 1159% over the 30-year period shown; Black graduates will increase by 421% , and Asian graduates by 156%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Kansas The number of high school graduates in Kansas peaked in 2002-03. It is projected to decline through 2015 to a point only 4% higher than in 1992, but will then recover and level off through 2022. The number of graduates in that year will be 10% higher than in 1992. White graduates are the only group that is projected to show an overall decline over the 30-year period. The number of Hispanic graduates in Kansas is projected to be 417% larger in 2022 than in 1992; Native Americans will increase by 228% (to 542). Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Michigan The number of high school graduates in Michigan is estimated to have peaked in 2007-08, at 118,208, 23% more than in 1991-92, and 17% more than in 2021-22. While the numbers of both White and Black graduates are projected to decline after 2008, the numbers of Asian and Hispanic graduates will continue to increase. Compared to 1992, 2022 will see 405% more Asian and 245% more Hispanic graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Minnesota As with several other states in the Midwest region, the number of high school graduates in Minnesota is projected to increase through the early years of the 21st century, decline until the mid-teens, then rise again, thanks primarily to growth among non-White graduates. Minnesota shows 49,366 graduates in 1991-92, 65,246 in 2007-08 (an increase of 31%), 58,154 in 2013-14 (a decline of 10%), and 65,246 in 2021-22 (an increase of 12% over 2014 and 32% over 1992). Minnesota is expected to experience larger growth in the number of Black high school graduates (1138%) than any other Midwestern state. By 2022 there will also be 640% more Hispanic graduates and 231% more Asians. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Missouri The number of high school graduates in Missouri is projected to grow 40% between 1992 and 2022, more than in any other state in the Midwest, although most of the change will have occurred by 2010. Hispanic, Asian, and Native American graduates increase steadily over the graph’s 30-year period, by 1536%, 412%, and 412% (to 481), respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Nebraska Between 1992 and 1999 the total number of high school graduates in Nebraska increase by 21%, and has changed very little through 2007-08. By 2013 the number is expected to decline by 9%, but will gain an additional 15% through 2022. The overall 30-year increase of 26%, however, includes a steady decline in the number of White graduates (20% fewer in 2022 than in 1999), balanced by a steady increase (602%) in Hispanics. The numbers of Black and Asian graduates increase by 294% and 188%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: North Dakota North Dakota is one of two states in the Midwest region expected to have fewer high school graduates in 2022 than in the first year measured (1991-92). The number of graduates grew 22% between 1992 and 2000, but by 2022 that total will have fallen 19% since 1992, or 29% since the 2000 high. By 2022 the Black high school graduate population will have increased 343%, Hispanics by 165%, and Asians by 50%, but all of these groups will still have fewer than 250 members. North Dakota is projected to experience the largest 30-year decrease in White graduates (27%) of all the Midwestern states. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Ohio The total number of high school graduates in Ohio changes very little between 1992-93 and 2021-2022, ranging from 115,906 in 1991-92 to a projected 117,361 in 2021-22, an increase of only 1%. A gradual trend downward is projected, however, beginning in 2010. All four groups of non-White graduates in Ohio are projected to show some growth over the 25-year period of the graph. The largest increases are expected among Hispanic (503%) and Asian (243%) students. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: South Dakota After peaking in 1999-2000 at 9,754, South Dakota’s high school graduate population experienced a downward trend projected to last till 2016, after which it will begin to rise again. The 9,128 graduates in 2022 will be 16% more than in 1992, though 6% less than in 2000. By 2022 non-White public graduates will form 12% of South Dakota’s total. In that year the number of Hispanic graduates will surpass the number of Native American graduates, having increased 1056% since 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: West Virginia West Virginia is one of only two Midwest states projected to experience an overall decrease in the number of high school graduates between 1991-92 and 2021-22. The sharpest decline (14%) occurred between 1999 and 2002. The following 20 years will see a very gradual decline of 3%, resulting in an overall loss of 16%. Non-White students represented only 7% of West Virginia’s high school graduates in 1992. By the end of the 30-year period in the graph, they will comprise 11% of public graduates, 10% of the total. Hispanic graduates will experience the greatest increase (1865%), but they will still number only 707 in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Wisconsin The number of high school graduates in Wisconsin is estimated to have reached its highest point at 70,240 in 2007-08, having increased 32% since 1992. The number is projected to decline gradually through 2014-15, and then begin to grow again. The 68,921 projected graduates in 2022 represents an increase of 30% over 1992. While all five subgroups of public high school graduates will be larger in 2022 than in 1992, Hispanics and Asians will show the most growth, 851% and 246%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: New England

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New England The number of high school graduates in New England will have reached its peak in 2007-08, at 171,072. The 2022 total of 146,854 represents a loss of 14% compared to 2008, but will still be 8% higher than in 1992. Hispanics will be the fastest-growing group of high school graduates over the 30-year period of the graph, increasing in number by 294% compared to 1992. The number of Asian graduates will increase by 181%. Hispanics constituted the largest non-White group of public graduates by the year 2006-07. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Connecticut The number of high school graduates in Connecticut will have peaked in 2007-08 at 43,468, and drop off gradually thereafter. The 2022 total of 39,065 will be 20% higher than in 1992, but 10% lower than in 2008. Between 1992 and 2022 the fastest-growing group of non-White graduates in Connecticut will be Native Americans, whose number will increase 744% (to 431) over the 30-year period of the graph. Asians will increase by 305%, and Hispanics by 256%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Maine According to projections, the number of high school graduates in Maine will have reached its peak in 2007-08, at 17,339. The 2022 total of 16,661 will be 10% higher than in 1992, but 4% lower than in 2008. All non-White subgroups in Maine will increase in number over the 30-year period of the graph. Black graduates will experience the highest growth (1047%), followed by Hispanics (533%) and Asians (173%). These three groups, however, will comprise only 11% of Maine’s total high school graduate population in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Massachusetts Massachusetts is the only New England state projected to experience an overall 1992-2022 decline in the number of high school graduates. The 2022 total of 59,411 represents a loss of 4% compared to 1992, and 18% compared to the high point in 2007-08. The number of Hispanic and Asian graduates will increase 270% and 101%, respectively, over the 30-year period. Hispanics have constituted the largest non-White group of public graduates since 2006. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Hampshire New Hampshire’s high school graduate population is projected to have risen 42% between 1992 and 2008. It will fall somewhat over the next 10 years, but will rise again through the end of the projection period. In 2021-22 New Hampshire is expected to have 15,554 graduates, 30% more than in 1992, the largest 30-year increase of any New England state. The fastest-growing subgroup of New Hampshire graduates will be Asians. Their number will increase 768% between 1992 and 2022, with Hispanics close behind at 761%. Hispanics also constitute the largest non-White group of public graduates, beginning in 2001-02. The number of Blacks will rise by 603%, but these three groups together will still only constitute 16% of New Hampshire’s high school graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Rhode Island By 2021-22 Rhode Island is projected to have only 3% more high school graduates than in 1991-92, though this small change includes a 38% increase through 2007-08, followed by a 25% decrease. Whites are the only group of Rhode Island graduates that will experience an overall decline (35%) between 1992 and 2022. The number of Hispanics will increase the most (400%), followed by Native Americans (144%, to 63) and Blacks (80%). Compared to 1992 there will also be 45% more graduates from non-public schools. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1994-2012: Vermont According to the projections, Vermont’s high school graduate population peaked earlier (2001-02) and will experience more fluctuation than other states in the region. In 2022 Vermont is projected to have 6,671 graduates – 20% more than in 1992, but 21% fewer than in 2002. In 1992 there were 21 Black high school graduates in Vermont. The projected Black total of 279 in 2022 represents a 1203% increase, the largest growth in this group in the US. Similarly, the number of Hispanics is expected to increase 1088%, from 27 to 318. Vermont is also expected to experience the largest decline in its Native American graduates, from 27 to 10, a drop of 62%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: South

Number of Public High School Graduates, 1993-2022: South The number of high school graduates in the South region is projected to increase steadily through 2021-22. The number of graduates projected for that year (815,047) would be 58.5% higher than in 1992-93. While all of the subgroups shown on the graph experience some growth over the 29-year period, the number of Hispanic graduates increases the most, to more than 12 times their 1993 population. The number of Asian graduates more than quadruples in size, although they still comprise only 5% of the total in the South. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Alabama The number of high school graduates in Alabama experienced uneven change through 2001-02. That is expected to be followed by a gradual increase over the next 20 years.. The projected 2022 total of 48,159 will be 24% higher than in 1991-92. Decreases among White (14%) and Black graduates (12%) over the 30-year period will be offset by a 6196% increase among Hispanics. The number of Asian graduates will also increase by 558%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Florida By 2021-22, the number of high school graduates in Florida is projected to be more than double its 1991-92 total. Florida leads the South in projected growth over this period. While all subgroups of Florida graduates are projected to increase in number over the 30-year period of the graph, Hispanics, Asians and Native Americans will increase 521%, 338% and 262%, respectively. Florida is also expected to experience the largest increase (69%) in the South in the number of Black graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1993-2022: Georgia Like Florida, Georgia is expected to see steady growth between 1992-93 and 2021-22 in the number of high school graduates. The 111,097 graduates projected for 2021-22 will be 75% greater than the 62,392 in 1993. By far the largest component of Georgia’s growth will be Hispanic graduates, whose number will increase 45-fold, 109% in the last five years of the projection alone. Asians will increase by 733%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Kentucky The number of high school graduates in Kentucky is expected to change very gradually through 2013-14, after which explosive growth among Hispanic graduates, in particular, will produce a steeper increase through 2022. The 49,968 total in that year will be 28% higher than in 1991-92, and 18% higher than in 2014. In 1992 there were 93 Hispanic graduates in Kentucky; in 2022 there are projected to be 6,953 an increase of 7376%. There will also be a 400% increase among Asian graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Louisiana Louisiana is the only state in the South region projected to suffer an overall decrease in the number of high school graduates between 1991-92 and 2021-22. The 31,190 graduates in 2022 will be 22% fewer than the 1992 total, and 34% fewer than the 2000 high point. What growth there is in Louisiana will occur primarily among Native Americans (379%, to 368) and Hispanics (141%). These two groups together will still constitute only 5% of Louisiana’s high school graduate population, however. The Black graduate population is expected to lose half its number between 1992 and 2022 (the largest decrease in this group in the US), and 61% of its 2002 size. Louisiana is also expected to be the only state in the US to have fewer (by 8%) Asian graduates in 2022 than in 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Mississippi Mississippi will experience only single-digit growth (5%) between 1991-92 and 2021-22. The number of graduates will see its nadir in 2015 at 25,525, but increase 6% through 2022. The greater than 35-fold growth in the number of Hispanic graduates over the period will bring their total to 1807 by 2022; the number of Asians will increase 153%. Blacks will constitute 40% of the high school graduate population in 1992, and 41% 30 years later. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: North Carolina North Carolina is second only to Florida in the expected growth in the number of high school graduates between 1991-92 and 2021-22, increasing 84% to 117,652. All of the subgroups shown in the graph will experience an increase over the 230year period of the projections. However, as with most of the states in the Southern region, the number of Hispanic graduates will grow the most: by 2022 there will be more than 76 times the number of Hispanics that there were in 1992. Asian graduates will increase by 446%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: South Carolina The number of high school graduates in South Carolina is projected to grow at a more uneven rate than that of North Carolina to the north or Georgia to the south, but like its neighbors will experience a sharper increase after about 2014. In 2022 31% more students will graduate than in 1992. The numbers of Asian and Native American graduates in South Carolina will both more than triple over the 30 years shown in the graph, but the Hispanics will increase 6334%, from 143 at the beginning of the period to 9,204 at the end. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Tennessee The number of high school graduates in Tennessee is projected to experience a moderate 32% increase between 1991-92 and 2021-22, ending at 65,842. As with other states in the region, most of the increase will occur after 2013-14. By 2022 the number of Hispanic graduates in Tennessee eis xpected to be almost 100 times greater than in 1992, the largest increase in Hispanic graduates in the country. By 2022 Hispanics will represent about 20% of the total graduate population. The number of Asian graduates will increase by 336%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992 to 2022: Virginia The number of high school graduates in Virginia increased gradually between 1991-92 and 2007-08. It is projected to remain fairly stable for the next six years, then increase through the end of the projection period. In 2022 there are expected to be 63% more graduates overall than in 1991. While all subgroups represented in the graph will experience growth over these 30 years, Hispanics will increase the most, by 1467%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: Southwest

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Southwest The number of high school graduates in the Southwest region is projected to increase steadily through 2021-22. The number of graduates projected for 2022 (447,916) will be 82% higher than in 1991-92. By the end of the period shown on the graph the numbers of all non-White public high school graduates are projected to be more than double their starting point. Asian graduates will increase 394%, Hispanics 226%, Native Americans 126% and Blacks 112%. By 2016 Hispanic graduates will outnumber White graduates. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Arkansas The number of high school graduates in Arkansas is projected to increase very gradually from 1991-1992 through 2009, and more sharply thereafter. By 2022 there will be 45% more graduates than in 1992. By the end of the 30-year period shown on the graph Hispanics will represent the largest group of non-White graduates in the state, increasing from 121 to 8786 over the period, or by 7161%, by far the largest growth in this group of the four Southwest states. The number of Asian graduates is also projected to increase dramatically, by 1062%, and Native Americans will increase by 651%, to 428. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: New Mexico The number of high school graduates in New Mexico peaked in 2000-2001 at 19,677, and is projected to show very little overall change after that. By 2022 there will be 19,627 graduates, 22% more than in 1992. Beginning in 2001, Hispanics constitute the largest group of high school graduates in the state (54% in 2022), and by 2022 New Mexico will be the state with the largest percentage of Hispanic graduates. This group is projected to increase 72% over the 30-year period of the graph. Asians actually show the largest increase (180%), however there are still expected to be only 479 Asian graduates by 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Oklahoma After growing rapidly through 1999-2000, the number of high school graduates in Oklahoma is projected to decline slowly through 2014 before rising again. The 42,405 graduates in 2022 represent an increase of 26% over 1992. Native Americans represent the largest non-White group of high school graduates in Oklahoma (11% in 1992 and 21% in 2022), and Oklahoma is the state with the largest percentage of Native Americans. This group is projected to show an increase of 146% over the 30 years shown; Hispanics show the largest growth, however: 932%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Texas The number of high school graduates in Texas is projected to grow steadily through 2021-22. That year’s total of 347,315 will represent an increase of 104% over 1991-92. Hispanic graduates represent the largest non-White group in Texas (47% of all graduates in 2022), and are expected to surpass the number of White graduates in 2011. This group is projected to grow by 263% between 1992 and 2022, but Asian and Native American graduates will increase even more, by 398% and 382%, respectively. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity 1988-2022, 2003. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE/The College Board

Trends in Number of High School Graduates: West

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: West The total number of high school graduates in the West region ranges from 506,532 in 1993-94 to a projected 810,571 in 2021-22, 60% higher than in 1993-94. After about 2008, the number of White graduates is expected to decline, while the number of Hispanic students is expected to increase dramatically: 256% over the 28-year period shown in the graph. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Alaska The total number of high school graduates in Alaska will range from 5,620 in 1991-92 to a projected high of 8,222 in 2007-08 after which the number of graduates is expected to experience an erratic decline. In 2021-2022 the number of graduates is projected to be 19% higher than in 1991-92. While Alaskan Natives represent the largest non-White group throughout the 30-year period, the number of Asian graduates is projected to show the largest percentage growth (245%) between 1992 and 2022, and by 2005 surpassed the numbers of Black and Hispanic graduates combined. In 2022 the number of Alaskan Native graduates will represent 21% of the total. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Arizona The total number of public high school graduates in Arizona ranges from 32,235 in 1991-92 to a projected high of 114,587 in 2022. This represents an increase of 245%. Over the 30-year period shown in the graph, the number of Asian graduates is expected to increase most dramatically, by 844%. Hispanic graduates represent the largest non-White group over the entire period shown, and by 2021-22 will form the largest group of Arizona’s graduates (45%). Their numbers are projected to increase 689% over the 30-year period. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: California The total number of high school graduates in California is projected to increase from 267,960 in 1991-92 to a high of 412,190 in 2007-09. In 2021-22 there will be 391,538 graduates, 46% more than in 1991-92. Hispanic students will represent the largest racial/ethnic group of graduates. Over the period covered by the graph their number will have increased by 178%, while California’s Asian population almost doubles during that time. The number of White graduates is projected to decline by 27%, however. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Colorado The total number of high school graduates in Colorado will increase fairly steadily, from 32,420 in 1991-92 to a projected 59,262 in 2021-22, 84% higher than in 1991-92. The most dramatic growth over the 30-year period shown in the graph will occur among the numbers of Hispanic and Asian graduates; these populations will increase by 361% and 238%, respectively. By 2021-22 Hispanics will represent more than 32% of all high school graduates in Colorado. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Hawaii Between 1991-92 and 2021-22 the number of high school graduates in Hawaii is projected to fluctuate quite a bit. Graduates totaled 11,520 in 1992, will peak at 14,262 in 2008-09, and will number 13,348 in 2022. Throughout the 30-year period of the graph, the vast majority of Hawaii’s high school graduates will be Asian: 59% in 1992 and 54% in 2022. Hawaii also has a relatively large percentage of graduates of non-public schools: about 20% of the total in 2022. However, Hawaii is the only state projected to have fewer (by 3%) Hispanic high school graduates in 2022 than in 1992. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: Idaho The total number of high school graduates in Idaho is projected to grow fairly steadily, from a low of 13,622 in 1993-94 to a high of 23,095 in 2022, an overall increase of 70%. While non-White public school graduates will still represent only 23% of Idaho’s total high school graduates in 2021-22, the number of Hispanic graduates is projected to have increased 500% by then (to 3,112). The number of Black graduates will experience even great growth (662%) over the 28-year period, but this group will still constitute only 1% of the total in 2022. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Montana Montana’s high school graduate population reached its peak in 1999-2000, at 11,572. In 2021-22 the total number of graduates is projected to be 10,287, only 10% higher than in 1991-92, and 10% less than in 2000. Native American graduates are the largest minority group in Montana. This group will be 76% larger in 2022. However, Hispanic graduates will experience the greatest growth over the 30-year period: 305%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Nevada Nevada continues to show more growth in high school graduates than any other state. The total number of graduates is projected to quadruple in number, from 9,189 in 1991-92 to 37,595 in 2021-22. Over the 30-year period shown in the graph, the number of Hispanic students is expected to increase most dramatically, by 2128%. Asian graduates will increase by 1352% (the largest increase in this group in the US), Blacks by 410%, and Native Americans by 129%. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Oregon The total number of high school graduates in Oregon ranges from a low of 26,805 in 1991-92 to a projected 36,523 in 2021-22, an increase of 36%. Most of the growth among Oregon’s high school graduates is expected to be among Hispanic and Asian students. Hispanic graduates will increase by 1152%, and Asians by 267%. The number of White graduates peaked in 2003 (at a level 19% higher than in 1991-92). By 2022 there will be 27% fewer White graduates in Oregon than in 2003. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Utah The total number of high school graduates in Utah is expected to grow from 25,371 in 1991-92 to 44,483 in 2021-22, for an increase of 75%. Non-White public school graduates represented only about 8% of Utah’s total in 1992, but will be 26% of the total in 2021-22. Of those, Hispanics will form the largest group: the number of Hispanic graduates will increase 925% over the 30-year period. The growth in the number of Black graduates will be almost as high (808%), but this group will still only represent 2% of Utah’s total. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only.. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1994-2022: Washington Between 1992 and 2007 Washington experienced a 47% increase in the number of high school graduates, with little overall change projected through 2022. The total number of graduates in 2022 is expected to be 44% higher than in 1992. While the number of White public school graduates in Washington is expected to have peaked in 2006-07, the number of graduates in other racial/ethnic groups and from non-public schools will continue to increase. The change will be greatest for Hispanic and Asian graduates, increasing 346% and 113%, respectively, over their 1992 lows. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE

Number of High School Graduates, 1992-2022: Wyoming Wyoming is the only state in the West region to show a decrease in the number of high school graduates through 2021-22. The 5,505 graduates projected for 2022 would represent a 6% decrease compared to 1991-92, and a 15% decline from Wyoming’s peak in 2000. The projected increase over the last three years of the graph may signal a longer period of growth. The decrease in Wyoming’s public high school graduates is expected to come from White students. The Hispanic and Black groups are both expected to double in size over the 30-year period. Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992 to 2022, 2008. Racial/ethnic breakdowns are available for public graduates only. Source: WICHE