Global Observational Network and Data Sharing

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) Dept. of.
Advertisements

DROUGHT MONITORING CENTRE - NAIROBI WHAT COULD BE DONE ON DROUGHT WITHIN ISDR PLATFORM?
Reducing Vulnerability to Drought through Mitigation and Preparedness Report to the Inter-Agency Task Force for Disaster Reduction Sixth Meeting Geneva,
NOAAs Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks By Dr. Gerry Bell Lead Seasonal Hurricane Forecaster Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/NWS Hurricanes: Science and.
Briefing to Premier & Cabinet 18 October Very Wet during 2010.
THE USE OF REMOTE SENSING DATA/INFORMATION AS PROXY OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE IN THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA Gilbert O Ouma IGAD Climate Applications and Prediction.
Climate Recap and Seasonal Outlook Dr. John Abatzoglou Assistant Prof, Department of Geography University of Idaho Many Thanks to Eric.
The Activities of Tokyo Climate Center Fumio WATANABE Tokyo Climate Center Climate Prediction Division, JMA.
Madden/Julian Oscillation: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Forecasts Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP February 20, 2006.
Hazardous Weather Ahead and Outlook for Winter Dave Reynolds -MTR Dan Keeton - STO Meteorologists in Charge weather.gov/SanFrancisco or /Sacramento.
Climate Recap and Outlook for Winter Eric Salathé JISAO Climate Impacts Group University of Washington.
UCSB Climate Research Meeting Dept. of Geography ICESS- UCSB October 16, 2009 Earth Space Research Group Climate Variations and Impacts: Monthly Discussion.
Climate and Food Security Thank you to the Yaqui Valley and Indonesian Food Security Teams at Stanford 1.Seasonal Climate Forecasts 2.Natural cycles of.
SIO 210: ENSO conclusion Dec. 2, 2004 Interannual variability (end of this lecture + next) –Tropical Pacific: El Nino/Southern Oscillation –Southern Ocean.
Role of Risk Identification for Development and Implementation of the ICPAC Regional Strategy L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC)
Climate Forecasting Unit Prediction of climate extreme events at seasonal and decadal time scale Aida Pintó Biescas.
CPC Forecasts: Current and Future Methods and Requirements Ed O’Lenic NOAA-NWS-Climate Prediction Center Camp Springs, Maryland ,
Asia Flood Network A Flood Mitigation and Preparedness Program in Asia A. Sezin Tokar, Ph.D. U.S. Agency for International Development Office of U.S. Foreign.
Collaboration Opportunities for the Application of Earth Observations from Space in Water Activities Ms. Mary Kicza Assistant Administrator NOAA Satellite.
Southern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crops Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 23 May 2011 For Real-time information:
CDC Cover. NOAA Lab roles in CCSP Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Research Elements Element 3. Atmospheric Composition Aeronomy.
SWFDP-Eastern Africa November 2011 NOAA/NCEP African Desk Product Surfing Presented by Hamza Kabelwa Prepared by Richard H. Grumm Contributions by Vadlamani.
The African Monsoon Recent Evolution and Current Status Include Week-1 and Week-2 Outlooks Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 10 January.
Reanalysis: When observations meet models
GIS Tools at Climate Prediction Center April 20, 2010 Brad Pugh, CPC.
Southern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crops Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 8 Mar 2011 For Real-time information:
Flash Flood Forecasting as an Element of Multi-Hazard Warning Systems Wolfgang E. Grabs Chief, Water Resources Division WMO.
The Physical Observing System: From Monitoring and Predicting Hazards to Long Term Changes Doug Wilson Co-Chairman, IOCARIBE-GOOS U.S. NOAA GEO CZCP Workshop.
Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crop Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 7 June 2010 For Real-time information:
WMO-JMA Public Forum Workshop of the World Conference on Disaster Reduction: Reducing Risks of Weather, Climate and Water Extremes through Advanced Detecting,
1 Arun Kumar Climate Prediction Center 27 October 2010 Ocean Observations and Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Arun Kumar Climate Prediction Center NCEP.
IGY and the Origins of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Research
Dr Mark Cresswell Statistical Forecasting [Part 2] 69EG6517 – Impacts & Models of Climate Change.
Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crop Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 2 May 2011 For Real-time information:
AMS 85 Dr. James R. Mahoney Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere | NOAA Assistant Administrator January 10, 2005 From Information.
El Niño Forecasting Stephen E. Zebiak International Research Institute for climate prediction The basis for predictability Early predictions New questions.
Meteorological & Hydrological data for water resources development.
By Mario Tiscareño López, Ph. D.* Josué Beltrán Cruz, LCA Rafael Trejo Vazquez, LCA by Mario Tiscareño López, Ph. D.* Josué Beltrán Cruz, LCA Rafael Trejo.
Madden/Julian Oscillation: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Forecasts Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP April 5, 2005.
Forecasting systems WMO Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme David Burridge.
Winter Outlook for the Pacific Northwest: Winter 06/07 14 November 2006 Kirby Cook. NOAA/National Weather Service Acknowledgement: Climate Prediction Center.
Comparison of Precipitation Products for 2014 Ethiopian Growing Season chg.geog.ucsb.edu Pete Peterson 1, Chris C Funk 2,1, Gregory.
Latin American and Caribbean Flood and Drought Monitor Colby Fisher, Nathaniel Chaney, Justin Sheffield, Eric F. Wood Princeton University … with support.
Mike McPhaden--El Niño & La Niña John Lyman--Global Warming Dick Feely--Ocean Acidification The Ocean’s Role in Climate Variability and Change NOAA/Pacific.
Climate Prediction Center Monitoring Products Dr. Gerald Bell Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/ NWS National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
NAME SWG th Annual NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop State College, Pennsylvania Oct. 28, 2005.
Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crop Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 22 February 2010 For Real-time information:
The 2004 Atlantic Hurricane Season and Beyond Chris Landsea NOAA/Hurricane Research Division Miami, Florida, USA January and February 2004 Southern Region.
Climate Outlook (MAY – SEPTEMBER 2017) JOSEPH BASCONCILLO
The Indian Monsoon and Climate Change
Break out group - Dominica
Daylength Local Mesoscale Winds Chinook Winds (Foehn) Loma, MT: January 15, 1972, the temperature rose from -54 to 49°F (-48 to 9°C), a 103°F (58°C)
Course Evaluation Now online You should have gotten an with link.
Course Evaluation Now online You should have gotten an with link.
Question 1 Given that the globe is warming, why does the DJF outlook favor below-average temperatures in the southeastern U. S.? Climate variability on.
West Africa Regional Work Plan Example
Course Evaluation Now online You should have gotten an with link.
An Overview of CPC Climate Service Activities
WMO Priorities Secretariat Plenary 2.0 Opening Plenary Joint Meeting
Causes of improvements to NWP (1979 – 2009)
2.3.1(iii) Impacts of El Nino
Impacts of El Nino Observations Mechanisms for remote impacts.
Status and Plan of Regional WIGOS Center (West Asia) in
WMO El Niño/La Niña Update
Understanding and forecasting seasonal-to-decadal climate variations
Instrumental Surface Temperature Record
Status of Existing Observing Networks
CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN EASTERN AFRICA; Its causes and relationship to ENSO By Z.K.K. Atheru AND C. Mutai Drought Monitoring Centre, Nairobi (DMCN) April.
Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP)
Ongoing and Planned Activities in Sub-seasonal Forecasting at the NCEP
Presentation transcript:

Global Observational Network and Data Sharing Wassila Mamadou Thiaw Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction National Weather Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Importance of Data A strong Observational Network required to: Assimilate data into numerical models that produce forecasts Develop reliable historical data that can support high quality reanalysis datasets Develop tools to monitor and assess the current state of the climate system in the context of present day or past climate Climate Data Management Systems Essential to improve data access and to use the information adequately Observing system, Source WMO

NOAA Data Modeling and Prediction Monitoring Provide access to real time weather and climate information to support decision making in various socio-economic sectors Modeling and Prediction Global Data Assimilation System NCEP Global Forecasts System NCEP Climate Forecast System Monitoring Station and gridded Precipitation and Temperature Sea Surface Temperature NCEP Reanalysis

NOAA Use of Observations Assess the current state of the climate Basic state Variations associated with ENSO, MJO, other modes of variability Predictions of weather and climate events Floods Drought Heat waves Calibration and verification of Forecasts Model errors Forecast skills

El Niño and Global Weather Patterns

MJO Influence on African rainfall and low level winds during MAM, ARC2 and CDAS (1983-2010) Ph1 Ph5 Ph2 Ph6 X Convection and low level westerly wind anomaly associated with phases 2 to 4 of the MJO Suppression occurs during phases 6 to 8 of the MJO Ph3 Ph7 X Ph4 Ph8

Regional Hazards Outlooks for Food Security Integrating weather, climate, and land information to inform humanitarian response planning. Regional hazards outlooks are combined with food security indicators to assess impacts of weather and climate on crops and pastures and to map countries that require food assistance. Africa

Data Impact on Production Stations Reporting into the GTS (1983-2018) in Percent

Data Impact on Production Stations Reporting at least 80% of the time (1983-2018)

Data Impact on Production Stations Reporting less than 20% of the time (1983-2018)

Data Impact on Production Rainfall Reporting and Analysis at a Station X Erroneous Gauge measurement Transmission Rainfall Evolution based on blended Gauge – Satellite

Tropical Cyclone Sagar Strongest TC to make landfall in Djibouti-Somalia in recorded history Dropped a year worth of rainfall about 200 mm Caused flash floods Thousands displaced Damages estimated at over US$30 million

Tropical Cyclone Sagar – Land falling Djibouty-Somalia, 18 – 19 May 2018

TC Sagar Satellite and Rainfall Analysis GPI AMSU RFE Gauge+Sat SSMI

Summary Data is the backbone of climate services and early warning systems Governments and policy makers need to understand the importance of data and the Met community needs to strongly advocate for the sustainability of the observational network and the preservation of the data Need to work to improve the dissemination of the data and encourage data exchange and the creation of databases that will support collaborative multidisciplinary research and development This data must be made to good use to support services through product development and research that feeds into improving services