SIDC Space Weather Briefing

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Presentation transcript:

SIDC Space Weather Briefing 17 March 2019 - 24 March 2019 Luciano Rodriguez & the SIDC forecaster team

Summary Report Solar activity from 2019-03-17 12:00 UT to 2019-03-24 12:00 UT Active regions NOAA ARs 2735 and 2736 Flaring 13 C-class flares (2736) CMEs 1 with an Earth directed component Proton Events None Solar wind and geomagnetic conditions from 2019-03-17 12:00 UT to 2019-03-24 12:00 UT Coronal Holes 1 small, positive polarity ICME Only a shock arrived SW Conditions Slow solar wind (V < 450 km/s) K-indices max K-index (Dourbes): 3.0 max Kp-index (NOAA): 3 All Quiet Alert: Off

Solar Activity

Solar active region - start of the week SDO/HMI White Light 2019-03-17 SDO/HMI Magnetogram 2019-03-17

Solar active region - middle of the week SDO/HMI White Light 2019-03-20 SDO/HMI Magnetogram 2019-03-20 2736 2735

Solar active region - end of the week SDO/HMI White Light 2019-03-24 SDO/HMI Magnetogram 2019-03-24 2736 2735

Solar active region & Coronal hole SDO/AIA 19.3 nm 2019-03-17 SDO/AIA 19.3 nm 2019-03-24 +, HSS arrived on March 19 -, HSS expected on March 26

Solar F10.7cm radio flux

Solar X-Ray and UV flux

Flaring activity Probabilities (%) and occurrences (#) of B/C/M/X-flares issued at 12:30 and over the next 24h: Issue date 2019-03-17 2019-03-18 2019-03-19 2019-03-20 2019-03-21 2019-03-22 2019-03-23 2019-03-24 Probability ---|01|01|01 ---|05|01|01 ---|10|01|01 ---|75|15|01 ---|70|15|01 ---|80|20|05 ---|50|05|01 ---|45|05|01 Observed 00|00|00|00 04|00|00|00 03|00|00|00 18|03|00|00 22|09|00|00 35|01|00|00 25|00|00|00 10|00|00|00

Coronal Mass Ejection SWAP

Coronal Mass Ejection COR2A LASCO - AIA

Solar proton flux

Solar Wind and Geomagnetic Activity

Solar wind parameters (DSCOVR data)

Solar wind parameters

Solar wind parameters & K-index (DSCOVR/Dourbes)

Geomagnetic activity (K-indexes)

Outlook

Outlook: Solar activity

Outlook: Solar wind

Outlook: Geomagnetic activity

SIDC Space Weather Briefing See you at our next briefing! Or visit us at www.sidc.be