Phase 1 – 2002 Fire Emissions Inventory

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Presentation transcript:

Phase 1 – 2002 Fire Emissions Inventory FEJF Meeting September 8 – 9, 2004 Worley, ID – Coeur D’Alene Casino Resort Hotel Dave Randall (303.988.2960 x221; drandall@airsci.com) Air Sciences Inc. (www.airsci.com) 1301 Washington Ave, Suite 200 Golden, CO 80401 Essential Documentation and PPT Presentation posted at: http://www.airsci.com/jscar/wrap2002/WRAP-2002-EI-Report_20040910.pdf

2002 Fire EI Phase 1 Work Phase1 Agricultural Burning EI Outreach to States and Tribes Natural / Anthropogenic Categorization of Fires (& re-delivery of Phase 1 EI files to WRAP / RMC) Rangeland burning methodology Essential Documentation (revised) FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Categorizing Fires – Natural & Anthropogenic (N – A) Need WRAP needs events in 2002 Phase 1 EI to be categorized N – A for next round of dispersion modeling runs Objectives Develop *data processing* method to assign events in 2002 Phase 1 EI (WF, Rx, & Ag burning) Process & QC data; deliver data files by 9/10. FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization Data Processing Method Each record will include a new field to flag each event as “Natural” or “Anthropogenic”. Use custom Source Classification Codes to accommodate each specific type of fire FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization SCC Table FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization Methodology Based on record attribution. Some fire types are simply classified N or A Wildfire – NATURAL WFU – NATURAL Ag Burn – ANTHROPOGENIC Tribal Agricultural Burning Ag burning events in EI located on Tribal Lands EI records lack indicators for “traditional, religious, or ceremonial” purpose Collection of activity data for 2002 Phase 2 EI will include attempts to acquire these indicators FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization Prescribed Fire Key on National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) fuel model to categorize Every event has an NFDRS fuel model Provided in *raw* event data Assigned to event based on GIS join of latitude / longitude and national GIS layer of NFDRS fuel models Assign “N” or “A” to NFDRS fuel models based on examination of fuel model text descriptions. “above normal” fuels  “A” All pile burns assigned “A” FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

N – A Categorization What’s Next? E-Review of ETT for fatal flaws & refinements. Implementation of N – A Categorization scheme for 2002 Phase 1 EI (delivery of files to WRAP on 9/10/2004). Additional refinements and / or alternative approaches may be developed by FEJF for Phase 2, 3, & 4 EI’s. FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Fire EI Phase 1 Work Phase1 Agricultural Burning EI Outreach to States and Tribes Natural / Anthropogenic Categorization of Fires (& re-delivery of Phase 1 EI files to WRAP / RMC) Rangeland burning methodology Essential Documentation (revised) FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Need Objectives Currently underrepresented in fire EI Objectives Develop data gathering method Develop emission estimation method Build EI for delivery with 2002 Phase 2 EI FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Status Have held preliminary talks on potential technical approaches with subject experts Have developed (internally) draft Strawman methodology for *top-down* collection of rangeland burning activity data Needs ETT review and refinement Activity data hierarchy is part of Strawman Actual rangeland burning data will be used if available. FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Sneak Preview at a Strawman Method Built by layering increasing levels of detailed activity information Top Down Layer 1 – Region-wide data sources Layer 2 – Sub-regional data sources Bottom Up Layer 3 – Summary burn activity data Layer 4 – Burn event-based activity databases FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Sneak Preview at a Strawman Method Layer 1 – Region-wide Data Sources Rangeland utilization / crop harvested data by county by crop (National Ag Statistics Service) % burned factors by crop (ETT / expert) Monthly Activity calendars by state by crop (ETT / expert) FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Sneak Preview at a Strawman Method Layer 2 – Sub-regional Data Sources Rangeland utilization by county by crop from individual States & Tribes % burned factors by crop from S & T Monthly Activity calendars by state by crop from S & T FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Sneak Preview at a Strawman Method Layer 3 – Summary Burn Activity Data Burned acres estimates by county by month by crop from states, Tribes, districts. Layer 4 – Burn Event-based Activity Databases Activity inventory of daily crop-specific burn events form permit / tracking database FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI Sneak Preview at a Strawman Method Emission calculations Acres burned Residue loading Crop-specific emission factor Allocation of monthly / county emissions into realistically sized fire events (similar to the FEJF’s 2018 spatial / temporal allocation methods). FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Rangeland Burning EI What’s Next? ETT (including rangeland burning subject experts) review & refinements of Strawman. Evolve Strawman into technical method & implement for activity data collection and EI development. Include rangeland EI in 2002 Phase 2 EI. FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Fire EI Phase 1 Work Phase1 Agricultural Burning EI Outreach to States and Tribes Natural / Anthropogenic Categorization of Fires (& re-delivery of Phase 1 EI files to WRAP / RMC) Rangeland burning methodology Essential Documentation (revised) FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Essential Documentation Initial draft posted June 15th (Portland FEJF meeting) Essential document revised to include: Ag Outreach to States & Tribes Rangeland EI methodology Natural / Anthropogenic categorization 9/10 PT files delivery Expect posting by 9/17/2004. FEJF Sept 8 - 9 2004, Worley ID WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I