California Housing Affordability Update

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Presentation transcript:

California Housing Affordability Update Traditional Housing Affordability Index Q4-2018

Housing Affordability Peaked at Q1 2012 California, 1984-2018 Annual Quarterly C.A.R.’s traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI) was replaced with the First-Time Buyer Housing Affordability Index (FTB-HAI) in 2006. Note this slide takes the average of the 3 months in each of the quarters. C.A.R. began producing its Housing Affordability Index (HAI) in 1984. At that time, fixed-rate mortgages were the prevailing form of financing a home purchase, while the calculations used to produce the HAI reflected a 20 percent down payment. The methodology also assumed a monthly payment for principal, interest, taxes and insurance that was no more than 30 percent of a household’s income. In the more than two decades since the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® first conceived the HAI, the mortgage finance landscape has changed dramatically. The range of mortgage products available to buyers as well as underwriting criteria has changed. C.A.R. developed the new index measuring affordability for first-time home buyers to better reflect the realities of today’s real estate market. SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Traditional Buyers SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Housing Affordability – Traditional Index California: 2006-2018 C.A.R.’s traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI) was replaced with the First-Time Buyer Housing Affordability Index (FTB-HAI) in 2006. Note this slide takes the average of the 3 months in each of the quarters. C.A.R. began producing its Housing Affordability Index (HAI) in 1984. At that time, fixed-rate mortgages were the prevailing form of financing a home purchase, while the calculations used to produce the HAI reflected a 20 percent down payment. The methodology also assumed a monthly payment for principal, interest, taxes and insurance that was no more than 30 percent of a household’s income. In the more than two decades since the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® first conceived the HAI, the mortgage finance landscape has changed dramatically. The range of mortgage products available to buyers as well as underwriting criteria has changed. C.A.R. developed the new index measuring affordability for first-time home buyers to better reflect the realities of today’s real estate market. SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Traditional Buyers SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Affordability Peak vs. Current HAI Peak vs. Current SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Minimum Annual Income Required During Affordability Peak vs. Current SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Minimum Annual Income Required – Current vs. Last Year SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Monthly PITI During Affordability Peak vs. Current SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Monthly PITI – Current vs. Last Year SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Housing Affordability In CA: By County 2018-Q4: % able to purchase median-priced home SERIES: Housing Affordability Index of Traditional Buyers SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®