COMPETITION REGULATION AS A TOOL TO CONTAIN FOOD PRICE INFLATION IN SOUTH ASIA.

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COMPETITION REGULATION AS A TOOL TO CONTAIN FOOD PRICE INFLATION IN SOUTH ASIA

Introduction Objective Literature Review Competition Characteristics of Agro-Food Sector Examples of Anti-competitive Practices Summary, Conclusion & Recommendations Contents 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka2

The South Asian countries are dominated by agro-based (food and food processing ) industries. Enormous significance for economic development. Food market structure is an important determinant of food prices. Distortions in terms of its competitiveness leads to a market failure and hence price instability. Competition Policy and Law – a tool to alleviate market failure. Introduction 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka3

The aim of this paper is: The aim of this paper is: To discuss the role of competition regulation in containing food price rise in South Asia. To discuss the role of competition regulation in containing food price rise in South Asia. We have considered five major South Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. To address the objective we need to concentrate on the following issues: Food market structure and conduct. Causes and consequences of food inflation. Competitive characteristics of agro-food sector in South Asia. 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka4 Objective

Food Commodity Price Spikes since 2004 World Market Scenario Source: FAO Statistics 5/31/20125IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka

The Trajectory of Food Inflation in South Asia Growth of Consumer Food Price Index in Major South Asian Countries Source: FAO Statistics. Growth Rates* (in %) Bangladesh India Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka * Significant at 5 % level of significance. 5/31/20126IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka

General Inflation and Food Inflation in Major South Asian Economies (y-o-y change in percent) Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Reserve Bank of India & Office of Economic Advisor, Nepal Rastra Bank, State Bank of Pakistan &Central Bank of Sri Lanka 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka7

Food Market Structure Food Market Structure : o Coexistence of organised and unorganised structure. o Imperfectly competitive structure. o Traders/ intermediaries dominance, more market power. o Increasing integration influences competitiveness and market structure through linkages. Literature Review 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka8

Food Price Inflation Food Price Inflation: o Causes of Food Price Inflation in South Asia Structural & Cyclical Demand and Supply Policy Failure o Consequences of Food Price Inflation Food insecurity has been intensified in South Asian region. Larger decrease in real income. Increase in poverty 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka9 Literature Review

Market distortions in the food market lead to anti-competitive Practices. Increase the price differential between farm gate and the retail level in South Asian countries. The typical market distortions include: o barriers to entry in domestic trading services, o barriers to intracountry commodity movements, o state intervention in the market, o inadequate marketing and transport infrastructure. South Asian countries suffer from all problems at different degree. Competitive Characteristics in Agro-Food Sector 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka10

Bangladesh Bangladesh : collusion of the middlemen or intermediaries of the sector Price differences between farm-gate and retail varies from 60 to 150 percent. Source: The Daily Star, 2 February 2012, Gloomy Winter for Farmers. Pakistan: Collusion Pakistan: Collusion among ghee and oil manufacturers and their association to fix their prices at a higher level. Source: Enquiry Reports, Competition Commission Pakistan. Available at: Examples of Anti-competitive Practices (Collusion) 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka11

India : cartels India : Existence of cartels in onion trade across Maharashtra, Punjab and Haryana. The farm gate price of onion varies between Rs per kilo Retail prices are hovering over Rs Mark-up:Rs.5-6 for storage and transport. Source: KG Narendranath, Sandip Das : CCI to investigate onion cartel, Indian Express, New Delhi, Fri Jan Pakistan: cartel Pakistan: Vertically integrated poultry industry made a cartel in all markets of day old chicks, poultry feed,broiler chicken, eggs and grandparent stock. Source: Enquiry Reports, Competition Commission Pakistan. Available at: Bangladesh: Entry barrier Sugar Industry Bangladesh: Entry barrier by large conglomerates in Sugar Industry. Source: Ellis, Karen et al (2010): Assessing the Economic Impact of Competition, Overseas Development Institute, UK Examples of Anti-competitive Practices (Cartelisation & Entry Barriers) 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka12

Competition policy: affect structure and conduct of firms. Competition law: prevent anti-competitive business practices or market failure and unnecessary government intervention. Food sector: mostly unorganised, limited scope of competition regulation so far. Growing participation of private sector in food market chain. In the present structure, competition regulation can potentially play a vital role to check anti-competitive market behaviour and hence price distortions. 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka13 Summary, Conclusion & Recommendations

The food inflation issue in South Asia is a structural one. structural transformation. Need for structural transformation. watchful competition and regulation system watchful competition and regulation system under an effective competition law-policy framework. government intervention Necessary government intervention. strong governance Addressing food inflation requires a strong governance of the food production and policy system. Summary, Conclusion & Recommendations 5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka14

5/31/2012IPS, Colombo, Sri Lanka15