Common Cents Investment Group Monday January 27 th Market Cycles & Investment Ratings.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Sector Analysis What does it mean for us? Crow River Investment Club Education for May, By Lynn Ostrem
Advertisements

SEPTEMBER 10, 2008 ROBERT RUBIN Credit Spreads Earn Income from Options with Limited Risk.
New frontier s e r v i c e s BALANCE SHEET. 2 new frontier s e r v i c e s TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.WHAT IS A BALANCE SHEET? 2.WHAT IS THE USE OF A BS? 3.WHAT.
Investing. Agenda Start time: _____ Break time: _____ (10 minutes) End time: _____ Please set phones to silent ring and answer outside of the room.
Saving and Investing Tools Carl Johnson Financial Literacy Jenks High School.
Chapter 10-Section 3 Strategies for Saving and Investing.
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.
How the Stock Market Affects Our Everyday Life Can I Own Stock??? Anyone can own stock Approximately 50% of the US Population own stock. –This stock.
Economy/Market Analysis
Investment Strategy II Economics 98 / 198 DeCal Fall 2007 Lecture 7.
Common Stocks: Analysis and Strategy
Selecting Stocks Personal Finance. How hard is it to pick a stock? “ Everyone has the brain power to follow the stock market. If you made it through fifth-grade.
Next page The Stock Market: –What Does It Do and How Has it Performed? 5 C H A P T E R SUPPLEMENT.
MARKET EFFICIENCY - THREE FORMS
Stock Market Basics. What are Stocks? Stock is ownership in a publicly traded company. Stock is a claim on the company’s assets and earnings. The more.
Introduction to Stock Market. Common Vocabulary Common Vocabulary Stock Exchange – Place where publicly held companies are bought and sold Nasdaq – an.
Common Cents Investment Group Welcome!. Mission Statement “Common Cents Investment Group is an organization open to all students who are interested in.
Investment Strategy II Economics 98 / 198 DeCal Spring 2008 Lecture 7.
Chapter 17 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The Visual Clue.
How The Market Works! Ms. Zucchero. Pseudo Stock Market Account Summary Terms: Available Cash – Amount of cash in your account available for trading Withheld.
Standard 3: Understand Economic Systems EQ 3.03 Explain the Stock Market.
Rule of 72  Divide the number 72 by your investment’s expected rate of return.  Since the crash of the stock market, it has shown a return of 10%. 
Stocks, Bonds, and Futures Why Buy Stock? Gain a Profit Limit the Risk on their investment Become a part of a corporation Profit Potential Capital gain-
PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook Copyright © 2005 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 15 Understanding Securities and Investments.
 Private Corporations – shares of stock are NOT openly traded in stock markets  Public Corporations – sells shares openly where anyone can buy them.
 Stock: A share of ownership in a corp.  Shareholder: Partial business owner  Limited Liability- Can only lose up to what you invested!!  2 types of.
SOURCES OF FUNDS: 1- retained earnings used from the company to the shareholders as dividends or for reinvestment 2- Borrowing, this tool has tax advantages.
The Implications of a 75-Year Cycle Top 1/24/08 Dow just broke its 75- year up trend line (see chart to right).
Causes of stock price Fluctuations. How do you grow your money Cash into a savings account Cash into a savings account Mutual funds - An investment vehicle.
Chapter 12 Part 2. INDUSTRY A group of companies producing similar products or services Example: Soda 
ETF Trading Strategy Bigfoot, Whiddon Wealth Management, LLC and LPL Financial are separate unaffiliated entities. Whiddon Wealth Management, LLC 2410.
What is a Stock Market?. Where do you go to buy CDs, jeans and books? –Just like a market for CDs, jeans and books, there is a market for stocks People.
G1 © Family Economics & Financial Education – Revised November 2004 – Investing Unit – Language of the Stock Market Funded by a grant from Take.
G1 STOCKS Essential Questions 1.In what ways does the stock market impact the personal wealth of an individual and a business? 2.Why diversify within.
Financial Markets Investing: Chapter 11.
Saving and Investing Where Should You Put Your Money?
Standard 3: Understand Economic Systems EQ 3.03 Explain the Stock Market.
Chapter 16 Jones, Investments: Analysis and Management
CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Technical Analysis CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Technical Analysis Cleary / Jones Investments: Analysis and Management.
AAII Silicon Valley Meeting Saturday November 13, 2010 Presented by: Tom Kopas Since 2000 a “Lost Decade” For Investors… Are you Prepared.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Conference Call February 5, The Economy Federal funds rate remained at 5.25% GDP grew at 3.5% in Q406 – versus 2.0% in the 3rd quarter – 4.4% increase.
FINANCE. Finance Over the next two weeks we are going to be diving into finance – Business Finance Money management, budgeting, payroll, income, banking.
The Stock Market 3.1 STOCK MARKET BASICS. Objectives.
S TOCKS Chapter 9 Study Guide Answers. Common Stock Vs. Preferred Stock.
THE STOCK MARKET. THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM The financial system is a network of institutions which connect investors with borrowers. Institutions in the financial.
Research and Evaluation 4.1 INVESTMENT PRINCIPLES.
Bell Ringer If you could own stock in any company, which one would it be? Why?
Stock Market Valuation Valuing Individual Companies.
PROFESSIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT 1. Basic Categories Private Management: Clients each have a separate account {popular with institutions} Investor 1 Investor.
Fundamental Analysis Submitted To: Rutvi sarang Submitted By: Kushal Bhagat.
Principles of Investment in Domestic and Global Financial Markets.
For Internal Use Only / Not for Distribution to the Public Not FDIC Insured | May Lose Value | No Bank Guarantee.
Investment Unit Consumer Economics. Unit Overview I. Investment Strategies II. Investment Vehicles III. Establishing a Portfolio.
Presented by: David Cox, CFA, CMT, FCSI, FMA, BMath Portfolio Manager October 26th, 2011 Cutten Club, Guelph, ON How To Stop Losing Money: In Bear Markets.
Chapter 15: Financial Markets Opener. Copyright © Pearson Education, Inc.Slide 2 Chapter 11, Opener Guiding Questions Section 3: The Stock Market –How.
STOCK CATEGORIES CHAPTER 9. STOCK CATEGORIES Income stocks Stocks with histories of paying consistent dividends. They are bought for the current income.
Ratio Analysis…. Types of ratios…  Performance Ratios: Return on capital employed. (Income Statement and Balance Sheet) Gross profit margin (Income Statement)
STRIKING A BALANCE How balanced funds may help investors to stay the course toward achieving their long-term goals Name Title Firm The views expressed.
Buying, selling, trends, and rules. What is a stock? Why are stocks used by companies? Why do people buy stocks? What determines a stock’s price and value?
Risk and Reward Investment options.
(Insert Company Name Here)
Investing: Taking Risks With Your Savings
Week Notes.
Financial Markets Chapter 11
Tuesday, March 21, 2017 Objective: Students will be able to assess ways to be a wise investor in the stock market and in other personal investment options.
(Insert Company Name Here)
(Insert Company Name Here)
(Insert Company Name Here)
Mr. Stasa – Willoughby-Eastlake City Schools
Presentation transcript:

Common Cents Investment Group Monday January 27 th Market Cycles & Investment Ratings

Agenda Macro Update – Weiyi Market Updates Market Cycles – Max Investment Ratings – Lindsey

Market Update

Market Cycles Max Layman Disclaimer: past performance does not indicate future success

Market Trend Movement in a certain direction over time Secular – Long time frames Primary – Medium time frames Secondary – Short time frames Identified with technical analysis of charts

Secular Trend Lasts 5-25 years Consists of a series of primary trends Example: Secular Bull Market Larger primary bull markets Smaller primary bear markets

Primary Trend Lasts 1 year or more Broad support from entire market Time frame typically talked about in media (i.e. CNBC) 2013 was a bull market +30% SPY

Secondary Trend Lasts few weeks to few months Market correction Markets down 4% in last week

Secondary Trend Cycle

Sector Rotation Money moving from one industry to another

Full Recession Bad time to be unemployed Interest rates falling Profitable Industries Cyclicals & Transports (near the beginning) Technology Industrials (near the end)

Early Recovery Rising Expectations Interest rates bottomed out Profitable industries Industrials (near beginning) Basic Materials Energy (near end)

Late Recovery Expectations decline Interest rates rise rapidly Profitable industries Energy (near beginning) Staples Services (near the end)

Early Recession Bad for overall economy, low expectations Interest rates peaked Profitable industries Services (near the beginning) Utilities Cyclicals & Transports (near the end)

Kandi Technologies [KNDI] Electric Vehicle (EV) technology Renting cars Cheaper than a taxi Return to garages Similar to Car2Go Car vending machine

Kandi Technologies

Investment Ratings Lindsey Kathmann

Warnings of Investment Ratings Quantity is no guarantee of quality! Analysts opinion is not the end all be all. 2 Warnings: Analysts' ratings do not have clear, standardized meanings. Potential conflicts of interest that you, as an investor, should be aware of in assessing the usefulness to you.

Understanding the Language Different terms mean different things to different analysts

Understanding Analyst Loyalty Some analysts can be unaffiliated but most are affiliated with financial institutions Mutual Fund/Hedge Fund Provide financial advice for intuitional clients whose investment decisions are usually much different than ordinary investors. If the fund has a large holding in a particular stock, they do not want a Sell rating, so an analysts may put a Hold rating on it. This can cause inflation. Analyst Compensation Compensation can pressure analysts to report positive research Ownership Interest in the Company Analysts may hold stock in the company and do not want to see the rating go down.

Key Tips Never rely on a rating alone. Look at the entire report-not just the one word. The report will include risk factors you can use to help you make a decision. Analysts differ in quality. Not every analyst is the best. You can look up different analysts records online. Is it right for YOU? Your individual financial need is what matters most. Make sure you view each rating in terms of your unique financial situation. Bank of America (BAC) Bought:$10.56 Sold: $13.87 Gain: ~31% over 2 yrs.

SODA STREAM Stock Analysis

Questions???