The 2008 Farm Bill Chad Hart Center for Agricultural and Rural Development Iowa State University E-mail: chart@iastate.edu October 1, 2007 ISU Farm Management.

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Presentation transcript:

The 2008 Farm Bill Chad Hart Center for Agricultural and Rural Development Iowa State University E-mail: chart@iastate.edu October 1, 2007 ISU Farm Management Field Specialist In-Service Program Ames, Iowa

Progress Since Last Time The House has passed its version (7/27/2007) The Senate Agriculture Committee has not marked up its version yet Leaders are still pushing to pass the farm bill this year

House Target Price Changes Crop Unit Current LR Change Wheat $/bu. 3.92 0.23 Barley 2.24 0.49 Oats 1.44 0.06 Cotton $/lb. 0.724 -0.024 Soybeans 5.80 0.30 Minor Oilseeds 0.101 0.014

House Loan Rate Changes Crop Unit Current LR Change Wheat $/bu. 2.74 0.19 Malt Barley 1.85 0.65 Feed Barley 0.05 Oats 1.33 0.13 Minor Oilseeds $/lb. 0.093 0.014

Revenue Counter-Cyclical Option Gives producers a one-time option to choose between revenue- or price-based counter-cyclical payments Actual revenue = National average yield *Max(Season-average Price, Loan Rate) Target revenue determined by Congress

House Per Acre Target Revenues Crop TR Wheat 149.92 Cotton 496.93 Corn 344.12 Rice 548.06 Sorghum 131.28 Soybeans 231.87 Barley 153.30 Minor Oilseeds 129.18 Oats 92.10 Peanuts 683.83

House National Payment Yields Crop PY Wheat 36.1 bu. Cotton 634 lb. Corn 114.4 bu. Rice 5128 lb. Sorghum 58.2 bu. Soybeans 34.1 bu. Barley 48.6 bu. Minor Oilseeds 1167.6 lb. Oats 49.8 bu. Peanuts 1.496 tons

National Payment Rate (Target revenue per acre – Actual revenue per acre)/National payment yield Puts payment on a per yield unit basis Payments to producers are equal to National payment rate * Current CCP payment acres * Current CCP payment yield

Marketing Loan Adjustments Separate loan rates for: Long vs. short grain rice Feed vs. malt barley Equalized county loan rates between corn and sorghum Changed definition of adjusted world price for cotton

Payment Limitations Eliminates the 3-entity rule Direct attribution AGI cap of $1 million (3-year average) If AGI > $500K, 2/3 of income from agriculture Direct payment cap = $60K Counter-cyclical payment cap = $65K Marketing loan payment cap eliminated

Other Provisions in Commodity Title No payments under $25 Extends MILC and sugar programs Mandates use of surplus sugar for ethanol Surplus = Imports – U.S. food demand Pilot program in Indiana: allowing tomatoes on base acreage (payment base temporary reduced)

Conservation Title Expand EQIP ($1.9 billion over 5 years) Prohibit additional CSP signups until 2012 Change CSP structure (no more tiers) Extend CRP, WHIP, and WRP Payment limits: $60K under any program, $125K total (exceptions: WRP, FRPP, and GRP)

Energy Title Renews Biobased products program Extends loan guarantees for biorefineries, along with many of the energy programs in the current farm bill Research money for alternative feedstocks Feasibility study of ethanol pipeline Creation of Biomass Inventory Report and Biomass Energy Reserve

Miscellaneous Title Drop crop insurance administrative and operating expense rate to a max of 21.6% Raise fee for catastrophic coverage to $200 per crop per county Target loss ratio moved from 1.075 to 1 COOL by 2008 for red meats only

Historical and Projected Spending Commodity Conservation Food Stamps ($ billion) 2002-07 72.9 18.3 178.2 2008-13 42.4 26.5 225.8

Projections for the House Title Change, 2008-12 ($ million) Commodity -865 Research 265 Conservation 2,895 Forestry 70 Trade 97 Energy 2,429 Nutrition 4,205 Hort. and Organic 548 Credit -378 Misc. -3,533 Rural Dev. 114 Total 5,847

Speculation on Senate Action May try for markup session this week Several competing packages Harkin Conrad/Chambliss Lugar Durbin/Brown

Speculation on Senate Action

Senate Issues Harkin: More funding for conservation, nutrition, and energy Conrad/Chambliss: Maintain current stable of programs, add disaster program Lugar: Move to farm saving accounts Durbin/Brown: Revenue counter-cyclical program

More Issues Payment limits Outside funding COOL Short-term extension of current farm bill

Timing Senate has scheduled week break in early October Tight schedule on Senate floor for October and November Could leave little time for House-Senate conference to pass a farm bill this year Harkin will chair conference committee