THE INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE

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Presentation transcript:

THE INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE

Scope of incumbency advantage Reelection rate in House: ~90%. Reelection rate in Senate: ~91%. (In 2012) (2010=85%, 84%) Relatively few seats are seriously contested and some are not contested at all! Charges of a "Permanent Congress."

Scope of incumbency advantage (con’t) This was true even though approval of Congress was only 15%. People say they hate Congress but they like their Congressman/woman Over the past 4 decades: 90% (or more) House members reelected

Advantages of incumbency Franking privilege. Staffers. Patronage. Name recognition. Casework. Money, esp. from PACs.

Gerrymandering: A special incumbency advantage for House members To understand gerrymandering, you first need to understand reapportionment: the redistribution of the 435 seats in the House on the basis of changes in state populations. Number of Rep's per state is determined by population. Census conducted every 10 years. (Controversy over sampling in 2000 census) Census will show population changes in states — > these changes must be reflected in state representation in House if a state gains significantly in population, it will probably gain some seats if a state loses population or does not gain as much as other states, it will probably lose some seats.

Gerrymandering (con’t) If a state has a change in the number of seats, its district boundaries must change. This is known as redistricting, and is carried out by the party in power of the state legislature. A form of redistricting is called gerrymandering: redrawing boundaries to favor the party in power of the state legislature. Origin of the term: from 19th century Mass, governor Elbridge Gerry, who drew district lines himself. Some of his districts had such strange shapes that they looked like salamanders, prompting one wag to instead refer to them as "gerrymanders."

Gerrymandering (con’t) The party in power can get a majority of seats in the House by: "packing:" drawing the district lines in such a way as to concentrate the opposing party in a few districts, thus preserving a majority of seats for itself. "cracking:" drawing the district lines in such a way as to disperse the opposing party throughout the state and thus dilute that party's strength in order to preserve a majority of seats for the majority party.

Gerrymandering (con’t) Effects of gerrymandering: The party in power STAYS in power. "Safe" seats are created for incumbents, leading to further difficulties for challengers. Strangely-shaped districts. "Majority-minority" districts created by racial gerrymandering prompted by the Justice Department during the Bush administration.

Gerrymandering (con’t) Redistricting requirements: Districts must be as near equal in population as possible. Baker v. Carr, 1962: "one man, one vote" principle applied to state legislative districts to correct overrepresentation of rural areas. Wesberryv. Sanders, 1964: applied same principle to House districts. District lines must be contiguous. Racial gerrymandering is prohibited (Shaw v. Reno, 1993). Race may not be the primary factor in drawing district lines (Miller v. Johnson, 1995).