Poor and Moody The Credit Rating Agencies and the Subprime Mess.

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Presentation transcript:

Poor and Moody The Credit Rating Agencies and the Subprime Mess

The CRA: Mystical n The rating agencies are somewhat of a mystically anointed monopoly, not unlike our good friends Fannie and Freddie, but with even less accountability. (Baker 2005) Mark Carl Rom

The CRA: Omniscient n Everyone assumed the credit agencies knew what they were doing. (Mason 2008) Mark Carl Rom

The CRA: Powerful n You could almost say that we live again in a two-superpower world. There is the U.S. and there is Moody's. The U.S. can destroy a country by leveling it with bombs; Moody's can destroy a country by downgrading its bonds. (Friedman 1995)

US Mortgage Markets Mark Carl Rom

Two Main Questions n What was the role of the CRA in the subprime mess? n What should be done? Mark Carl Rom

Today n The basics n The mess n The mistakes n The reforms Mark Carl Rom

What do the CRA do? Mark Carl Rom

How do the CRA do it? Mark Carl Rom

The CRA and the Mortgage Markets Mark Carl Rom

The Mess Mark Carl Rom

The Mess Mark Carl Rom

The Mistakes, I $ Mark Carl Rom

Incentives Mark Carl Rom

The Mistakes, II ? Mark Carl Rom

Ignorance Mark Carl Rom

The Mistakes, III Mark Carl Rom

Stress Mark Carl Rom

Stress Mark Carl Rom

The Remedies n Incentives >Manage, not eliminate n Ignorance >Clarify, not prevent n Stress >Report…but moot Mark Carl Rom