Chapter 3 Securities Markets McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
3.1 How Firms Issue Securities
Primary vs. Secondary Market Security Sales New issue is created and sold Key factor: issuer receives the proceeds from the sale Public offerings: registered with the SEC and sale is made to the investing public Private offerings: not registered, and sold to only a limited number of investors, with restrictions on resale Secondary Existing owner sells to another party Issuing firm doesn’t receive proceeds and is not directly involved
Primary vs. Secondary Security Sales General Cash Offer or GCO is an underwritten offering 3rd market is trading of listed securities away from the exchange. It is largely an institutional market: to facilitate trades of larger blocks of securities 4th market: Investors trading directly with other investors; Originally developed for institutional trading Trading now on ECNs; technological developments leading to individual investors trading directly
Investment Banking Arrangements Underwritten vs. “Best Efforts” Underwritten: banker makes a firm commitment on proceeds to the issuing firm Best Efforts: banker(s) helps sell but makes no firm commitment Negotiated vs. Competitive Bid Negotiated: issuing firm negotiates terms with investment banker Competitive bid: issuer structures the offering and secures bids
Figure 3.1 Relationship Among a Firm Issuing Securities, the Underwriters and the Public
Shelf Registrations SEC Rule 415 Introduced in 1982 Security is preregistered and then may be offered at any time within the next two years. 24 hour notice, any part or all of the preregistered amount may be offered Introduced in 1982 Allows timing of the issues →
Private Placements Private placement: sale to a limited number of sophisticated investors not requiring the protection of registration Allowed under SEC Rule 144A Dominated by institutions Very active market for debt securities Not active for stock offerings
Initial Public Offerings IPO Process Underpricing Issuer and banker put on the “Road Show” Purpose: Book building and pricing Post initial sale returns average about 10% or more, “Winner’s curse” problem? Easier to market the issue, but costly to the issuing firm some data say 11% Good time to handout sheet on Google; Google Dutch auction, (Price is set at the highest level that will result in all shares sold), addresses the two big complaints of IPO process: 1. cutting out individual investor (winner's curse idea) 2. limiting underpricing
Figure 3.2 Average First Day Returns for European and Non-European IPOs
Figure 3.3 Long-term Relative Performance of Initial Public Offerings 1970-2006
3.2 How Securities are Traded
Functions of Financial Markets Overall purpose: facilitate low cost investment Bring together buyers and sellers at low cost Provide adequate liquidity by minimizing time and cost to trade and promoting price continuity. Set & update prices of financial assets Reduces information costs associated with investing Direct search: put an ad in the paper to find a buyer or seller Brokered: real estate
Types of Markets Direct Search Markets Brokered Markets Dealer Markets Buyers and sellers locate one another on their own Brokered Markets 3rd party assistance in location buyer or seller Dealer Markets 3rd party acts as intermediate buyer/seller Auction Markets Brokers & dealers trade in one location, trading is more or less continuous
Types of Orders Market order: execute immediately at the best price Instructions to the brokers on how to complete the order Market order: execute immediately at the best price Limit order: Order to buy or sell at a specified price or better On the exchange the limit order is placed in a limit order book kept by an exchange official or computer E.G.: Stock trading at $50, could place a buy limit at ______ or a sell limit order at ______. On NASDAQ, limit may have stayed with broker in old days, now goes to SuperMontage I believe $49.90 $50.25
Limit Order Book for Intel on Archipelago
Types of Orders Continued Stop loss order: Becomes a market sell order when the trigger price is encountered. E.G.: You own stock trading at $40. You could place a stop loss at ___. The stop loss would become a market order to sell if the price of the stock hits ___. Stop buy order: Becomes a market buy order when the trigger price is encountered. E.G.: You shorted stock trading at $40. You could place a stop buy at ___. The stop buy would become a market order to buy if the price of the stock hits ___. $38 $38 $42 $42
Types of Orders Continued Discretionary order: gives the broker the power to buy and sell for your account at the broker's discretion. Time dimension on orders (other than market orders): IOC: immediate or cancel Day: by default GTC: good until canceled (usually 60 days max)
3.3 U.S. Security Markets
U.S. Security Markets Overview Nasdaq Small stock OTC Pink sheets Organized Exchanges New York Stock Exchange American Stock Exchange Regionals Electronic Communication Networks (ECNs) National Market System
NASDAQ Dealer market is a market without centralized order flow Dealer Markets Dealer market is a market without centralized order flow NASDAQ: largest organized stock market for OTC trading; information system for individuals, brokers and dealers Securities: NASDAQ takes in data from more than 350,000 terminals from around the world and processes more than 5,000 transactions per second. With SuperMontage's new computer architecture, quotes and orders will go through single-computer architecture, adding even greater speed and efficiency to the market and allowing for easy expansion as volumes grow. stocks, most bonds and some derivatives
NASDAQ Nasdaq National Market: Types of securities? Nasdaq SmallCap Market Levels of subscribers to Nasdaq quotation system Level 1: inside quotes Level 2: receives all quotes but they can’t enter quotes Level 3: dealers can see and post quotes SuperMontage: Centralized limit order book for Nasdaq securities that allows automatic trade execution OTC Bulletin Board Pink Sheet Stocks www.pinksheets.com NASDAQ takes in data from more than 350,000 terminals from around the world and processes more than 5,000 transactions per second. With SuperMontage's new computer architecture, quotes and orders will go through single-computer architecture, adding even greater speed and efficiency to the market and allowing for easy expansion as volumes grow.
Table 3.1 Partial Requirements for Listing on NASDAQ Markets
Organized Exchanges Auction markets are markets with centralized order flow Dealership function: can be competitive or assigned by the exchange (Specialists) Securities: Examples: stock, futures contracts, options, and to a lesser extent bonds NYSE, ASE, Regionals, CBOE, CME
Exchanges Auction Markets NYSE ASE and Regionals
Exchange Markets Members of the exchange: Commission broker: Purchase a seat on the exchange, gives the right to trade and a say in the governance of the exchange. Commission broker: Employee of a member firm, processes orders for the firm, earns a commission. Floor broker: Independent broker who works for various member firms as needed.
Exchange Participants Floor trader: Independent trader who buys and sells securities for his/her own account. Often called speculator or arbitrageur. Specialist: Exchange appointed firm in charge of running the market for a given stock(s). Acts as both a broker and a dealer charged with matching buy and sell orders from customers and/or filling customer's orders by adding to or selling their own inventory of stock.
Specialists a) Appointed by exchange to serve as "market maker" for one or more stocks. b) Specialist acts as a broker: Facilitating trades for certain types public orders (limit orders)
Specialists c) Specialist acts as a dealer: Charged with maintaining a "continuous, orderly market." Must at times trade against the market Can petition exchange to halt trading Incur inventory costs/risks of holding stock Specialists monitor and limit the bid-ask spread Specialists have been accused of earning "excessive" rates of return on their capital invested
Placing an order Place a market order to buy 1 round lot of AMD with your broker. Broker electronically submits the order to the floor of the NYSE. Commission broker takes/sends order to specialist post. May trade with another broker or with specialist. Trade improvement from trading with another broker: Limit Inside quotes: Bid $20.00, Ask $20.10 (too big a spread). Your buy market order will be executed at $20.10 against the book. A seller would execute at $20.00. If two brokers arrive at the same time both may get price improvement by negotiating a trade at $20.05.
Trade improvement from trading with another broker: You place a buy market order when limit inside quotes are Bid $20.00, Ask $20.10 Your buy market order will be executed at ______ against the book. A sell market order would execute at _______ against the book. In an auction market, if two brokers arrive at the same time both may get price improvement by negotiating a trade at _______. $20.10 $20.00 Trade improvement from trading with another broker: Limit Inside quotes: Bid $20.00, Ask $20.10 (too big a spread). Your buy market order will be executed at $20.10 against the book. A seller would execute at $20.00. If two brokers arrive at the same time both may get price improvement by negotiating a trade at $20.05. $20.05
Electronic Trading on the NYSE SuperDot Electronic order routing system allows brokers to electronically send orders directly to specialist. Useful for program trading 0 DirectPlus Fully automated trade execution system Execution time < ½ second Electronic order placement is growing, large orders still require human intervention. SuperDot average execution time is about 17 seconds.
Block Transactions and Block Houses Specialize in large block trades Trade for ≥ 10,000 shares Block trade is for 10,000 shares or more
Electronic Computer Networks (ECNs) ECNs allow institutional investors to post quotes and trade directly with each other. (4th Market) Public limit order book Automatic execution Advantages include Lower transactions costs (usually < 1¢ per share) Speed even on large trade sizes Anonymity ECNs The limit order book is available to all participants. Automatic execution of orders occurs without using a broker or dealer. Making the other markets nervous. Acquiring the ECNs. ECNs may potentially fragment the market. Probably eventually move to electronic trading in all markets. Ask students to read about NMS in book.
Market Consolidation Trends NYSE: Merged with Archipelago ECN in 2006 Merged with Euronext in 2007 Acquired the ASE in 2008 Entering Indian and Japanese stock markets NASDAQ Acquired Instinet/Island in 2005 Acquired Boston Stock Exchange in 2007 Jointly acquired Swedish exchange OMX NASDAQ acquired OMX with Borse Dubai.
Market Consolidation Trends Euronext Formed from merger of Paris, Brussels, Lisbon and Amsterdam exchanges Acquired the Liffe in London Merged with NYSE in 2007 CME acquired CBOT in 2007
3.4 Market Structures in Other Countries
Market Structures in Other Countries Moving to automated electronic trading Specialist system is largely unique to U.S. Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) No trading floor, all electronic trading Three sections for different size firms Two major indexes: Nikkei 225 and TOPIX On the TSE the “First Section” is for large companies, the second for midsized and the “Mothers” section is for emerging and high growth stocks. The Nikkei is a price weighted average of the 225 top tier Japanese firms and the TOPIX is a value weighted index of the First Section.
Market Capitalization of Major Exchanges
Dollar Volume of Trading in Major World Markets, 2004 generally much lower public holdings of equities overseas, equities held by other corporations, governments and financial institutions
3.5 Trading Costs Commission: fee paid to broker for making the transaction Spread: cost of trading with dealer Bid: price dealer will buy from you Ask: price dealer will sell to you Spread: ask - bid Combination: on some trades both are paid
Characteristics of well-functioning markets a) Low cost transfer of funds (competition among market makers and brokers). b) Adequate trading activity to ensure purchases and sales occur in timely fashion without affecting price. (Trading volume) Operational or internal efficiency a) Perhaps Nasdaq style system has an edge here b) NYSE and Nasdaq are both deep and active c) Perhaps slight edge to NYSE? w/ more analyst coverage and institutional interest (excluding techs) c) Informational: Are price changes predictable so that you can earn more than you should for the risk level you are taking Allocational: Are prices accurately reflecting the prospects of firm/issuer cash flows? Behavioralism attacks the allocational efficiency more than informational efficiency so the distinction is important. Operational or internal efficiency
Characteristics of well-functioning markets c) Prices speedily reflect public information Informational efficiency Informational: Are price changes predictable so that you can earn more than you should for the risk level you are taking? Allocational efficiency Allocational: Are prices accurately reflecting the prospects of firm/issuer’s cash flows?
Comparing the NYSE and NASDAQ Which is better in terms of the characteristics, the NYSE or NASDAQ? Effective spreads for Nasdaq and NYSE: 2004 Nasdaq Median NYSE Median Effective spread in $ $0.038 $0.031 Effective spread / Price Order fill rate on limits 0.27% 0.19% 72.3% 83.4% Adjusted for liquidity differences with matched samples. Differences are statistically significant at the 1% level Source: NYSE, NYSE Execution Quality, 2003-2004 $1.5 million This translates to a cost savings of about __________ per stock per year that trades on the NYSE as opposed to Nasdaq
3.6 Margin Trading
Buying on Margin 1-IMR = ________________________ Defined: borrowing money to purchase stock. Initial Margin Requirement IMR (minimum set by Federal Reserve under Regulation T), currently 50% for stocks The IMR is the minimum % initial investor equity. 1-IMR = ________________________ maximum % amount investor can borrow
Buying on Margin From whom do you borrow? What is a hypothecation agreement? Do you pay interest on the loan? Equity = Maintenance margin requirement (MMR): minimum amount equity can be before additional funds must be put into the account Exchanges mandate minimum _____. Position Value - Borrowing + Additional Cash Brokerage rules are generally more restrictive than exchange minimum requirements and typically include fixed dollar minimums. 25%
Margin Call Margin call: notification from broker you must put up additional funds or have your position liquidated. At what price does the investor receive a margin call? While the position is open the investor's equity = Market Value - Amount borrowed Thus a declining stock price reduces the investor's equity.
Margin Call If the Equity / Market Value MMR a margin call occurs. (Market Value - Borrowed) / Market Value MMR ; solve for Market Value A margin call will occur when: Market Value = Borrowed / (1 – MMR) DNH last line
Margin Trading Margin Trading: Initial Conditions X Corp Stock price = $70 50% Initial Margin 40% Maintenance Margin 1000 Shares Purchased Initial Position Stock $70,000 Borrowed Equity $35,000
Margin Trading Stock price falls to $60 per share (1000 shares) (MMR = 40%) Stock price falls to $60 per share (1000 shares) Margin% = Margin Trading: Margin Call How far can the stock price fall before a margin call? (MMR = 40%) Market Value = Borrowed / (1 – MMR) Market Value = $35,000 / (1 – 0.40) = New Position Stock $60,000 Borrowed $35,000 Equity $25,000 $25,000 / $60,000 = 41.67% $58,333
Margin Trading With 1000 shares, the stock price at which we receive a margin call is $58,333 / 1000 = $58.33 New Position Stock $60,000 Borrowed $35,000 Equity $23,333 %Margin = $23,333 / $58,333 = 40% How much cash must you put up? To restore the IMR you will need equity = have equity = so owe ½ x $58,333 = $29,167 $23,333 $ 5,834
Margin Trading Why do people purchase on margin? APRs (365 day year) Suppose you buy at $70 per share (borrow at a 7% APR interest cost if use margin, use full amt. margin) APRs (365 day year) Do institutions generally purchase on margin? Buy at $70 Sell at $72 in 90 days Sell at $68 in 90 days No Margin 11.59% -11.59% Margin 16.17% -30.17% Leverage Factor 1.4x 2.6x 7% rate will be at a markup over the "Call Money Rate," which is currently at 7%, Sep 07, see Money Rates, WSJ Online
3.7 Short Sales
Short Sales How is it done? Mechanics Borrow stock from a broker/dealer, must post margin Broker sells stock and deposits proceeds and margin in a margin account (you are not allowed to withdraw the sale proceeds until you ‘cover’) Covering or closing out the position: Buy the stock and broker returns the stock title to the party from which it was borrowed Street name? May want to talk about 'naked short selling,‘ although this will show up in a later slide. In a naked short a trader sells shares that have not yet been borrowed. This is problematic and probably should be prohibited.
The Long & Short of “Round Trips” A “Round Trip” is a purchase and a sale Long position Buy first and then sell later Bullish Short position Sell first and then buy later Bearish Not in notes
Short Sales Required initial margin: usually 50% but more for low priced stocks Liable for any cash flows: Dividend on stock Zero tick, uptick rule Zero tick, uptick rule was eliminated by the SEC in July 2007 Zero tick, uptick rule was eliminated by the SEC in July 2007 although I think it may be restored. This rule originated in the 1930s after the crash.
Short Sales Short sale maintenance margin requirements (equity) Price MMR < $ 2.50 $2.50 $2.50 - $ 5.00 100% market value $5.00 - $16.75 $5.00 > $16.75 30% market value
Short Sales Example: You sell short 100 shares of stock priced at $60 per share. The proceeds of $6000 must be pledged to broker. You must also pledge 50% margin. You put up ______. Now you have ______ invested in margin account. Short Sale Equity = Total Margin Account - Market Value $3000 $9000
Short Sales Maintenance margin for short sale of a stock with price > $16.75 is 30% of market value or ________________________________. So you have _______in excess margin. (This may be withdrawn at your pleasure but assume that it is not.) At what stock price do you get a margin call? 30% x $6,000 = $1,800 $1,200
Short Sales When: Equity (0.30 * Market Value) Equity = When: Market Value = Total Margin Account / (1 + MMR) Market Value = $9,000 / (1 + 0.30) = $6,923 Price at which get a margin call: $6,923 / 100 shares = $69.23 Total Margin Account – Market Value We sold short 100 shares of stock so margin call occurs at a stock price of $6,923 / 100 = $69.23.
Short Sales If this occurs: Equity = Equity as % market value = You get a margin call & You may have to restore the 50% initial margin. If so you must deposit an additional ($6,923 / 2) - $2,077 = $1,384.5 $9,000 - $6,923 = $2,077 $2,077 / $6,923 = 30%
Short Sales Naked short sales Should any or all short sales be prohibited? Should the zero tick/uptick rule be utilized?
3.8 Regulation of Securities Markets
Market Regulation Securities Acts of 1933 Securities Acts of 1934 Requires full disclosure of information by issuers of new securities Securities Acts of 1934 Established the SEC and require periodic disclosure of relevant financial information for firms with publicly traded securities Gives authority to regulate exchanges and OTC trading/traders to the SEC CFTC retains authority over commodity futures and Federal Reserve sets margin requirements
Market Regulation Securities Investor Protection Act of 1970 Protects investors from losses if a brokerage firm fails (up to $500,000 per customer). Self Regulation Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Formed in 2007 by consolidating regulatory arms of the NASD and the NYSE. Examines securities firms, promulgates trading practice rules and administers a dispute resolution forum for investors and firms.
Insider Trading Illegal, but what is it? Definition of insiders can be ambiguous SEC’s Official Summary of Securities Transactions and Holdings
Response to Scandals Increased regulation Sarbanes-Oxley Additional regulation will occur as a result of the financial crisis
Response to the Financial Crisis Too soon to know the details of what will happen Likely have reform of the SEC Reform of the ratings agencies approval process and funding model. Some type of ‘systemic’ regulator Continued government involvement in the markets
Selected Problems
Chapter 3: Problem 1 Explicit and Implicit costs. Explicit: Underwriter’s Fee $70,000 Implicit: Underpricing ($53 -$50) x 100,000 = $300,000 Total Costs = $370,000 No. The underwriters did not directly profit from the underpricing of the securities. 71
Chapter 3: Problem 2 If the price keeps going up your losses are unlimited. The stop-buy order at $128 limits your max loss to about $8 per share. 72
Chapter 3: Problem 3 a. The stock is purchased for: 300 $40 = $12,000 The amount borrowed is $4,000. Therefore, the investor put up equity, or margin, of $8,000. 73
Chapter 3: Problem 3 b. If the share price falls to $30, then the value of the stock falls to $30 x $300 = $9,000. By the end of the year, the amount of the loan owed to the broker grows to: $4,000 1.08 = $4,320 Therefore, the remaining equity in the investor’s account is: $9,000 $4,320 = $4,680 The percentage margin is now: __________________________ Therefore the investor will not receive a margin call. $4,680 / $9,000 = 0.52 = 52% 74
Chapter 3: Problem 3 c. The rate of return on the investment over the year is: (Ending equity in the account Initial equity) / Initial equity HPR = ($4,680 $8,000) / $8,000 = 0.415 = 41.5% Beginning Equity = $8,000 End Equity = $4,680 75
Chapter 3: Problem 4 Many exchanges and the ECNs have pretty much eliminated market-making specialists. Here the computer finds the best prices to make the trades. 76
Chapter 3: Problem 5 $50.25 $51.50 a. The buy order will be filled at the best limit-sell order, $50.25 b. The next market buy order would be filled at the next best price, $51.50 c. You should probably increase your position. There is plenty of buying demand at prices just below $50, so downside risk is limited. The limit sell orders are less concentrated. 77
Chapter 3: Problem 6 You buy $10,000/$50= 200 shares Shares go up 10% $50$55 $55 X 200=$6000 You pay interest .08 X $5000 = $400 Rate of return = 6000 – 400 – 5000 = 12% 5000 b. The margin call will occur when Market Value = Amount Borrowed / (1 - MMR) Market Value = Stock price = $5,000 / (1 – 0.30) = $7,142.86 $7,142.86 / 200 shares = $35.71 78
Chapter 3: Problem 7 a. 55.50 55.25 The trade will not be executed because the bid price is lower than the price specified in the limit sell order. The trade will not be executed because the ask price is greater than the price specified in the limit buy order. 79
Chapter 3: Problem 8 a. In an exchange market, there can be price improvement in the two market orders. Brokers for each of the market orders (i.e., the buy and the sell orders) can agree to execute a trade inside the quoted spread. For example, they can trade at $55.37, thus improving the price for both customers by either $0.12 or $0.13 relative to the quoted bid and asked prices. For example, they can trade at $55.37, thus improving the price for both customers by $0.12 or $0.13 relative to the quoted bid and asked prices. The buyer gets the stock for $0.13 less than the quoted asked price, The seller receives $0.12 more for the stock than the quoted bid price. 80
Chapter 3: Problem 8 b. Whereas the limit order to buy at $55.37 would not be executed in a dealer market (since the asked price is $55.50), it could be executed in an exchange market. A broker for another customer with a market sell order would view the limit buy order as the best bid price; the two brokers could agree to the trade and bring it to the specialist, who would then execute the trade. 81
Chapter 3: Problem 9 (Round Trip) 82
Chapter 3: Problem 10 Cannot tell from the information given. The broker will attempt to sell after the first transaction at $55 or less. 83