The Electoral College Political Science Module Developed by PQE

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Presentation transcript:

The Electoral College Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

True or False? The candidate with the most votes is elected president. Answer: Not necessarily just ask Al Gore and Hillary Clinton. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

The 2000 Election The Popular Vote: Al Gore 50,996,039 George W. Bush 50,456,141 The Electoral Vote: George W. Bush 271 Al Gore 267 Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

The 2016 Election The Popular Vote: Hillary Clinton 64,429,062 Donald J. Trump 62,352,375 The Electoral Vote: Donald J. Trump 290 Hillary Clinton 232 Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Historical Background The framers of the Constitution disagreed on how to elect a president Should it be one selected by Congress or a direct popular election? The electoral college was a compromise Combining features of both approaches. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

The Electoral College and Federalism The electoral college also reflects the federal nature of the Constitution Ensures that the states have a role in selecting the president. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

State Electoral Votes Each state is entitled to as many electoral votes as the sum of its representation U.S. House of Representatives U.S. House of Senate Michigan: 14 House members plus 2 senators = 16 electoral votes Total: 435 House members 100 senators 3 electors for the District of Columbia 538 electoral votes Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Who are the Electors? Individuals selected in each state to officially cast that state’s electoral votes. Michigan selects 16 electors to cast the state’s 16 electoral votes. Framers anticipated that electors would be state leaders who would exercise good judgment. Today, party leaders select electors who are typically long-time party activists. Electors almost always vote for their party’s candidates. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Delegate Votes Divided Each state determines the manner of selection All but two states use a winner-take-all delegates statewide election system Nebraska Maine Everyone else If Candidate A gets the most votes in a state, Candidate A gets the all of the delegates. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Voters and Electors Therefore, An Michigander who votes for Donald Trump is really voting for a elector pledged to cast the state’s electoral votes for Trump. Remember: In 2000, Bush won all of Florida’s 25 electoral votes because the final official vote tally showed him ahead of Gore by about 600 votes. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

The Real Election In December of election year- The electors gather in their respective state capitols to cast ballots for president and vice president. In January- Congress comes into session They open the ballots received from each state They announce the official outcome. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

What if no one receives a majority? To win, a candidate needs a majority of the Electoral vote At least 270 electoral votes to be exact If no candidate has a majority The House of Representatives selects the president from among the three presidential candidates with the most electoral votes. If this happens, each state has one vote. It’s only happened only once in 1824 Congress chose John Quincy Adams over Andrew Jackson and Henry Clay. The Senate then selects the vice president from the top two vice-presidential candidates. 12/7/2018

Popular Vote v. the Electoral Vote In a close race, the popular vote winner may not win the electoral college. One candidate may win states by lopsided margins while the other wins states by narrow margins. Electoral vote winners who lost the popular vote: Rutherford B. Hayes over Samuel Tilden in 1876 Benjamin Harrison over Grover Cleveland in 1888 Bush over Gore in 2000 Donald J. Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016 Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Criticisms of the Electoral College The popular vote winner may lose the presidency. Electors may vote for persons other than their party’s presidential and vice presidential candidates. If no candidate receives a majority, Congress will pick the president and vice president. This can be an advantage for the political party with a Congressional majority Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Proposals for Reform Eliminate electors but still count electoral votes. Choose the president by direct popular election. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Review Question If North Carolina has 13 U.S. representatives, how many electoral votes does the state have? Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Answer They would receive 13 representatives Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Review Question Who are electors? Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Answer They are individuals selected in each state to officially cast that state’s electoral votes. Electors are typically long-time party activists who are selected by their state party organization as a reward for their loyalty to the party. In most states, electors are officially pledged to support their party’s presidential and vice presidential candidates. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Review Question Does it matter whether a candidate carries a state by a few votes or a lot of votes? Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Answer No. A candidate receives all of a state’s electoral votes whether the candidate carries the state by one vote or a million votes. In every state except Nebraska and Maine, the race is winner take all. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Review Question What is the small state bias? Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018

Answer The electoral college has a small state bias because every state gets at least three electoral votes regardless of its population. As a result, small states such as Alaska, Wyoming, and South Dakota enjoy a greater percentage of electoral votes than they would merit based strictly on population. Political Science Module Developed by PQE 12/7/2018