Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change

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Presentation transcript:

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change

Maximum Potential Intensity: pmin (Figure obtained from Emanuel (1986), © 1986 American Meteorological Society.)

Maximum Potential Intensity: vmax (Figure obtained from Emanuel (1986), © 1986 American Meteorological Society.)

Maximum Potential Intensity Climatology (Figure obtained from Emanuel (1986), © 1986 American Meteorological Society.)

Maximum Potential Intensity Example (Figure obtained from http://www.wxmaps.org/.)

Upwelling by Tropical Cyclones (Figure obtained from Hart et al. (2007). © 2007, American Meteorological Society.)

Tropical Cyclone Upwelling and Cooling SST cooling time after TC passage Reduced moist static energy (cooling and especially drying) The low MSE anomalies are in part forced by the lower SSTs (and thus reduced sensible and latent heat fluxes from ocean to air), but also by meridional advection of low MSE air from poleward regions as forced by, purportedly, TC-induced Rossby waves over a long period of time. (Figure obtained from Schenkel and Hart (2015). © 2015, American Meteorological Society.)

Oceanic Eddies: Hurricane Katrina (2005) (Figure obtained from http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/cyclone/data/.)

Oceanic Eddies: Katrina and Rita (2005) (Figure obtained from http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/cyclone/data/.)

Mutual Vortex Rotation in Shear Example (Figure obtained from Jones (2004). © 2004, American Meteorological Society.)

Vertical Circulation Development Vertical advection of potential temperature Isentropic ascent through potential temperature anomalies (Figure obtained from Jones (1995). © 1995, Wiley Interscience.)

Vertical Circulation Development t = 24 h w at z = 5 km Θ’ at z = 5 km t = 48 h (Figure obtained from Jones (1995). © 1995, Wiley Interscience.)

Inner Core Vortex Tilt Reduction PV (contoured) Divergent flow (vectors) Chart is near tropopause in westerly shear (Figure obtained from Jones (1995). © 1995, Wiley Interscience.)

Ventilation Pathways (Figure obtained from Tang and Emanuel (2010). © 2010, American Meteorological Society.)

Ventilation’s Effect on the Carnot Cycle (Figure obtained from Tang and Emanuel (2010). © 2010, American Meteorological Society.)

Ventilation’s Effect on Outflow Temperature (Figure obtained from Tang and Emanuel (2010). © 2010, American Meteorological Society.)

Ventilation’s Effect on Intensity (Figure obtained from Tang and Emanuel (2010). © 2010, American Meteorological Society.)

Ventilation and Intensity Sensitivity to SST (Figure obtained from Tang and Emanuel (2010). © 2010, American Meteorological Society.)

Vertical Wind Shear and TC Intensity (Figure obtained from Riemer and Montgomery (2011). © 2011, M. Riemer and M. T. Montgomery.)

Low-Level Ventilation Mid-Level Ventilation Ventilation Pathways Low-Level Ventilation Mid-Level Ventilation No shear 15 m s-1 shear 20 m s-1 shear (different shading represents different trajectory release times used to comprise these trajectories) (Figure obtained from Riemer and Laliberté (2015). © 2015, American Meteorological Society.)

Vertical Wind Shear vs. Location of Dry Air (Figure obtained from Riemer and Montgomery (2011). © 2011, M. Riemer and M. T. Montgomery.)

Favorable Trough Interaction Left: PV (PVU; shaded and contoured), winds (m s-1; vectors) at 200 hPa Right: winds (m s-1; shaded above 30 m s-1), divergent wind (m s-1; vectors), and velocity potential (contoured) at 200 hPa t-12 h t t+12 h (Figure obtained from Hanley et al. (2001). © 2001, American Meteorological Society.)

Favorable Distant Trough Interaction Left: PV (PVU; shaded and contoured), winds (m s-1; vectors) at 200 hPa Right: winds (m s-1; shaded above 30 m s-1), divergent wind (m s-1; vectors), and velocity potential (contoured) at 200 hPa t-12 h t t+12 h (Figure obtained from Hanley et al. (2001). © 2001, American Meteorological Society.)

Unfavorable Distant Trough Interaction Left: PV (PVU; shaded and contoured), winds (m s-1; vectors) at 200 hPa Right: winds (m s-1; shaded above 30 m s-1), divergent wind (m s-1; vectors), and velocity potential (contoured) at 200 hPa t-12 h t t+12 h (Figure obtained from Hanley et al. (2001). © 2001, American Meteorological Society.)

Shear versus Trough Interaction intensity change metric Increased shear  weaker cyclone (Figure obtained from Peirano et al. (2016). © 2016, American Geophysical Union.)