International Financial Markets

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Presentation transcript:

International Financial Markets 3 Chapter International Financial Markets

Chapter Objectives To describe the background and corporate use of the following international financial markets: Foreign exchange market, Eurocurrency market, Eurocredit market, Eurobond market.

Foreign Exchange Market The foreign exchange market allows currencies to be exchanged in order to facilitate international trade or financial transactions. The system for establishing exchange rates has evolved over time. From 1876 to 1913, each currency was convertible into gold at a specified rate, as dictated by the gold standard.

Foreign Exchange Market This was followed by a period of instability, as World War I began and the Great Depression followed. The 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement called for fixed currency exchange rates. By 1971, the U.S. dollar appeared to be overvalued. The Smithsonian Agreement devalued the U.S. dollar and widened the boundaries for exchange rate fluctuations from ±1% to ±2%.

Foreign Exchange Market Even then, governments still had difficulties maintaining exchange rates within the stated boundaries. In 1973, the official boundaries for the more widely traded currencies were eliminated and the floating exchange rate system came into effect.

Bretton Woods System: 1945-1972 German mark British pound French franc Par Value Par Value Par Value U.S. dollar Pegged at $35/oz. Gold

Bretton Woods

Stability until 1971 USD/NOK 1945-1988

Current Exchange Rate Arrangements Free Float The largest number of countries, about 48, allow market forces to determine their currency’s value. Managed Float About 25 countries combine government intervention with market forces to set exchange rates. Pegged to another currency (currency board) Such as the U.S. dollar or euro No national currency Some countries do not bother printing their own, they just use the U.S. dollar. For example, Ecuador, Panama, and El Salvador have dollarised.

Currency Boards For a currency board to be successful, it must have credibility in its promise to maintain the exchange rate. It has to intervene to defend its position against the pressures exerted by economic conditions, as well as by speculators who are betting that the board will not be able to support the specified exchange rate.

Hong Kong October 2007

Foreign Exchange Transactions There is no specific building or location where traders exchange currencies. Trading also occurs around the clock. The market for immediate exchange is known as the spot market. The forward market enables an MNC to lock in the exchange rate at which it will buy or sell a certain quantity of currency on a specified future date.

Measuring Foreign Exchange Market Activity: Average Electronic Conversations Per Hour Greenwich Mean Time Tokyo opens Asia closing 10 AM In Tokyo Afternoon in America London 6 pm In NY Americas open Europe opening Lunch Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, “The Foreign Exchange Market in the United States,” 2001, www.ny.frb.org.

Global Foreign Exchange Market Turnover (daily averages in April, billions of US dollars) Source: Bank for International Settlements, “Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in April 2001,” October 2001, www.bis.org.

Geographic Distribution of Foreign Exchange Market Turnover (daily averages in April, billions of US dollars)

Currency Distribution of Global Foreign Exchange Market Turnover (percentage shares of average daily turnover in April)

Foreign Exchange Transactions Hundreds of banks facilitate foreign exchange transactions, though the top 20 handle about 50% of the transactions. At any point in time, arbitrage ensures that exchange rates are similar across banks. Trading between banks occurs in the interbank market. Within this market, foreign exchange brokerage firms sometimes act as middlemen.

Foreign Exchange Transactions Banks provide foreign exchange services for a fee: the bank’s bid (buy) quote for a foreign currency will be less than its ask (sell) quote. This is the bid/ask spread. bid/ask % spread = ask rate – bid rate ask rate Example: Suppose bid price for £ = $1.52, ask price = $1.60. bid/ask % spread = (1.60–1.52)/1.60 = 5%

Foreign Exchange Rates and Quotations Foreign exchange quotes are at times described as either direct or indirect. In this pair of definitions, the home or base country of the currencies being discussed is critical. A direct quote is a home currency price of a unit of foreign currency. An indirect quote is a foreign currency price of a unit of home currency. The form of the quote depends on what the speaker regard as “home.”

Foreign Exchange Rates and Quotations For example, the exchange rate between US dollars and the Swiss franc is normally stated: SF 1.6000/$ (European terms) However, this rate can also be stated as: $0.6250/SF (American terms) Excluding two important exceptions, most interbank quotations around the world are stated in European terms.

Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations A cross exchange rate reflects the amount of one foreign currency per unit of another foreign currency. Value of 1 unit of currency A in units of currency B = value of currency A in $ value of currency B in $

Currency Futures and Options Market A currency futures contract specifies a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. Unlike forward contracts however, futures contracts are sold on exchanges. Currency options contracts give the right to buy or sell a specific currency at a specific price within a specific period of time. They are sold on exchanges too.

Eurocurrency Market $ U.S. dollar deposits placed in banks in Europe and other continents are called Eurodollars. In the 1960s and 70s, the Eurodollar market, or what is now referred to as the Eurocurrency market, grew to accommodate increasing international business and to bypass stricter U.S. regulations on banks in the U.S.

Eurocurrency Market $ The Eurocurrency market in Asia is sometimes referred to separately as the Asian dollar market. The primary function of banks in the Asian dollar market is to channel funds from depositors to borrowers. Another function is interbank lending and borrowing.

Eurocredit Market LOANS Loans of one year or longer are extended by Eurobanks to MNCs or government agencies in the Eurocredit market. These loans are known as Eurocredit loans. Floating rates are commonly used, since the banks’ asset and liability maturities may not match - Eurobanks accept short-term deposits but sometimes provide longer term loans.

Eurobond Market There are two types of international bonds. Bonds denominated in the currency of the country where they are placed but issued by borrowers foreign to the country are called foreign bonds or parallel bonds. Bonds that are sold in countries other than the country represented by the currency denominating them are called Eurobonds.

Eurobond Market BONDS Eurobonds are underwritten by a multi-national syndicate of investment banks and simultaneously placed in many countries through second-stage, and in many cases, third-stage, underwriters. Eurobonds are usually issued in bearer form, pay annual coupons, may be convertible, may have variable rates, and typically have few protective covenants.

Impact of Global Financial Markets on an MNC’s Value E (CFj,t ) = expected cash flows in currency j to be received by the U.S. parent at the end of period t E (ERj,t ) = expected exchange rate at which currency j can be converted to dollars at the end of period t k = weighted average cost of capital of the parent Cost of parent’s funds borrowed in global markets Cost of borrowing funds in global markets Improved global image from issuing stock in global markets Cost of parent’s equity in global markets