Overview of FEMA’s Risk MAP Program & Taming the Terrain Beast

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Presentation transcript:

Overview of FEMA’s Risk MAP Program & Taming the Terrain Beast Arc Hydro River Workshop Gray Minton & Andy Bonner, AECOM Presentation will touch upon the new products and datasets being produced as part of each Risk MAP project, and then very briefly FEMA’s plans as they relate to the use and collection of new/updated topo December 2, 2010

Agenda FEMA’s Risk MAP Program Taming the Terrain Beast Q&A Watershed vs. Countywide New Risk MAP Datasets & Products FEMA’s Elevation Strategy Taming the Terrain Beast Challenges and Custom Solutions The Virtual Office Q&A Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

FEMA’s Risk MAP Program Will spend most time on the flood depth & analysis grids

Countywide Studies Jurisdictionally-based County 2 County 1 New/Updated Studies

Watershed Studies Not limited by corporate limits anymore County 2 New/Updated Studies

Flood Risk Products & Datasets Will spend most time on the flood depth & analysis grids

Program Product Comparisons Traditional Regulatory Products Non-Regulatory Products DFIRM Database Floodplain mapping pre-Risk MAP generated 3 main types of products that all familiar with the DFIRM process have come to know and understand DFIRM Database FIS Report DFIRMs Risk MAP does not seek to replace the FIRM flagship products (FIRM DB, FIS report, and the map itself) – those will still be produced for each study. However, we want to align our new datasets/products with an existing structure and follow the same general model. Traditional products are regulatory and subject to statutory due-process requirements Risk MAP products are non-regulatory and are not subject to statutory due-process requirements

Flood Risk Datasets Changes Since Last FIRM Flood Depth & Analysis Grids Flood Risk Assessment Data Areas of Mitigation Interest (Enhanced) Will spend most time on the flood depth & analysis grids

Flood Depth & Analysis Grids Summary Table of Grids () vs. Enhanced Grids () * Note that the delivery of water surface elevation grids is an enhancement Grid(s) Riverine Coastal Levee Depth: 10%, 4%, 2%, 0.2% Annual Chance   Depth: 1% (100-yr) Annual Chance Depth: Additional Flood Frequencies (e.g. 50%, 20%, 0.5%, 1%+, etc.) Percent Annual Chance of Flooding Percent Chance of Flooding over a 30-yr Period Water Surface Elevation*: 50%, 20%, 10%, 4%, 2%, 1%, 1%+, 0.5%, 0.2% Velocity Water Surface Elevation Change Depth: Annualized Top & Toe of Levee N/A We will be discussing in more detail the grids in bold – others will not be discussed due to time constraints

Flood Depth Grids Definition Purpose Digital dataset showing the flood depth at various location within the floodplain Purpose Communication of flood hazard in terms of depth (i.e. 4 feet of water means more to most people than a Base Flood Elevation of 734’) Key Input into Flood Risk Assessment tools (e.g. HAZUS, etc.) Source: USACE, Economic Guidance Memo #04-01, October 2003

Flood Depth Grid Development Terrain Developed and Cross-Sections Placed XS XS

Flood Depth Grid Development Hydraulic Models Created XS XS

Flood Depth Grid Development Water Surface Elevations (WSE) Calculated and WSE Grid Produced XS Make point that WSE grids will be developed as part of the process to produce depth grids, but will not be delivered unless specifically requested as an enhancement XS WSE

Flood Depth Grid Development Depth Grid Calculated as Difference between WSE and Ground XS XS Depth

Flood Depth & Analysis Grids Awareness when using at specific buildings/structures Finished Floor Elevation Pause to make sure people understand this graphic – when using this data in relation to specific buildings or structures, everyone needs to understand that the depths are based on the topographic data, which should reflect the natural ground. So awareness is needed when looking at a specific structure that the depth that would be reflected by the depth grade may not be the depth inside the home (unless the structure’s finished floor elevation is at grade). However, in this example, the foundation is still exposed to flood waters. This is an example of where having the water surface elevation grids comes in handy if depths at specific structures is desired.

Percent Chance of Flooding Grids Definition Digital datasets showing the percent chance of flooding at various locations within the mapped floodplain Purpose Communication that the likelihood of flooding for someone living within the mapped floodplain may actually be higher than a “1% annual chance”, and that the flood hazard (and by extension, risk) varies within the mapped floodplain

10% Depth (10-Year) 1.5 ft 0.0 ft 0.0 ft 1% Annual Chance Floodplain Boundary 1.5 ft 0.0 ft 0.0 ft Red line is the mapped 1% annual chance floodplain boundary Depth of flooding is an important factor in determining the consequences of flooding, and thus assists in better estimating one’s flood risk Point A is not only within the 100-yr floodplain, but also the 10-year floodplain

4% Depth (25-Year) 2.8 ft 0.0 ft 0.0 ft

2% Depth (50-Year) 3.8 ft 0.0 ft 0.0 ft

1% Depth (100-Year) 4.7 ft 0.0 ft 0.1 ft Point B falls just within the 1% annual chance floodplain. These depth grids help illustrate the fact that, although often referred to as the “1% annual chance floodplain”, the likelihood of flooding for lower-lying areas within the FEMA-defined floodplain is actually greater than a 1% annual chance of occurrence

0.2% Depth (500-Year) 8.9 ft 1.7 ft 4.3 ft Depth grid uses/benefits: Mapping – better delineation of AO zones for shallow flooding areas (1, 2, 3ft) Overlay against building footprints, critical facilities, or other site-specific structure (superfund sites, above/below ground storage containers) information to estimate potential risk Incorporation into Risk Assessment tools, such as HAZUS BCA screening and project planning Encourage Flood Insurance purchase outside of 100 year flood boundary

Percent Annual Chance of Flooding 10% + 1% 0.4% From the results of the multi-frequency analyses, the percent annual chance of flooding can be estimated, which can be used for multiple purposes.

Percent Chance of Flooding over a 30-yr Period 96% + 11% 26% For insurance or communication purposes, we can even use this information to communicate percent chance of flooding during a 30-yr period of time A grid dataset created to show the estimated likelihood of flooding at least once within a 30-year period for all locations within the extent of the 0.2% annual chance floodplain

Elevation Data Acquisition

Risk MAP Elevation Data Strategy Program plan is to spend $20M annually Reuse existing LiDAR where available Stratify requirements by risk and terrain Only the very flattest areas will require very high accuracy Most of the need will be medium or low accuracy LiDAR (relative to typical LiDAR standards) Very lowest risk areas might use existing data Cost share for overall collection and initial processing Cost share separately for targeted post-processing of floodplain areas

Taming the Terrain Beast LiDAR is great, but… More points = more data to store More points = more data to process Point spacing keeps getting closer and no end is in sight Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

Internal lessons learned: Custom tool development: We developed the core of our existing terrain solution around 1997 for a countywide non-LiDAR study. Since then, the tool has evolved to handle LiDAR studies ranging in size from a small watershed to an entire state (or larger if needed). Virtual office: Our staff is dispersed over many states, and need access to the same data at the same time. We have been using CITRIX for all data access and processing. Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

The Virtual Office: The cloud before the cloud was cool? Citrix Application Servers create a “Virtual Office” environment that allows for 24/7 access to production data from anywhere in the world. Coupled with Geodatabase = Powerful Production Data, Storage, Processing & Licensing Centralization Basically, an internal cloud CITRIX Application Servers ArcSDE Server Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

Custom Tool Development WISE Terrain Analyst: Was not originally planned; was developed out of necessity due to magnitude of project topographic data Extremely scalable Multi-user access to data through one access point Rapid access to all data regardless of study size Custom additions for versioning, data prioritization, hydrocorrection, etc. Foundation for all tools Rod – first module to move to ArcObjects. Drawing XS across NC – seconds. Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

WISE currently stores complete TIN and DEMs from LIDAR for the entire state of North Carolina in one seamless project (50,000 square miles, billions of points) Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

Ideas to take away for Arc Hydro River: Talk to agencies who warehouse data early, take advantage of existing efforts, and incorporate standardized hooks into future data models for easier retrieval Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

Ideas to take away for Arc Hydro River: Design needs to be scalable Users expect rapid access to data and fast calculations, so pre-process/cache any data that may be needed more than once Design tools for both simple and advanced users Stock up on storage space!! Arc Hydro River Workshop September 21, 2018

Andy Bonner Gray Minton Q&A? Andy Bonner Gray Minton