How do we measure the health of our economy? Economic Indicators How do we measure the health of our economy?

3 Key Economic indicators

GDP Gross Domestic Product market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a year Final goods are purchased by the last user and will not be resold or used to produce anything else

NOT Counted in GDP Intermediate goods Used goods Resources of any kind Used goods Ex: Used cars, purchase of an older home, thrift store clothing, Craigslist, Ebay Illegal goods/services Ex: Drugs, theft etc. Purely financial transactions Ex: Investment in stocks or savings Transfer Payments Ex: Social Security, Food Stamps Barter Ex: Babysitting for yardwork

4 Components of GDP C: consumer spending Daily spending on goods and services I: business investment spending Machinery, factories, equipment etc.

G: government spending Spending by all levels of government - military, school, highways, supplies etc. NX: net export spending Purchases of U.S. goods and services by foreign buyers (exports) minus purchases of foreign goods and services by U.S. consumers (imports)

Example: In 2000, estimates in trillions of dollars GDP= C+I+G+NX Example: In 2000, estimates in trillions of dollars GPP = C + I + G + NX $10.04 = $6.81 + $1.87 + $1.75 + ($1.13-$1.52)

Unemployment Unemployment Rate Percentage of labor force who is not working Labor Force: everyone 16 – 65 who is working or actively looking for work 3 types of unemployment

People are out of work temporarily Frictional People are out of work temporarily Seasonal work Changing jobs Looking for 1st job This is acceptable unemployment

Unemployment because your job skills are no longer needed Structural Unemployment because your job skills are no longer needed Ex. Technology replaces workers so people are laid off People can go back to school and learn new skills

Cyclical People are unemployed due to fluctuations in the business cycle As the economy declines, people lose their jobs Worst kind of unemployment, can not easily fix. Economy must recover first.

CPI Consumer Price Index Index of all goods and services produced in a country Measured by a market “basket” of all goods and services that are commonly bought year after year by the typical urban household

Effects of Changing CPI Inflation Rising price levels purchasing power of the dollar falls Dollar buys less Deflation Falling price levels purchasing power of the dollar rises Dollar buys more

Hyperinflation: rapid inflation ex. Germany after WWII Stagflation: rising prices with falling GDP and rising unemployment

Relationship between GDP, Unemployment and CPI As GDP rises, unemployment rates fall and prices begin to rise As GDP falls, unemployment rises and prices begin to decline Unemployment GDP Prices Unemployment GDP Prices

4 Stages of the Business Cycle The 1st stage: when the economy has economic growth GDP is rising Expansion

Business Cycle Peak 2nd stage: GDP is at it’s maximum

Business Cycle Contraction 6 months or more of a contraction is called a recession If the recession is bad enough, it is a depression Contraction 3rd stage: GDP is falling

Business Cycle The bottom of the contraction where GDP stops falling Trough

Business Cycle – 4 stages Peak Contraction Expansion Trough

Aggregate Demand Aggregate means “total” Total demand for ALL FINAL goods and services in the economy from all people in the economy for all prices levels

Components Aggregate demand consists of: consumer spending (C) investment spending (I) government spending (G) net export spending (NX). If any component increases, GDP increases, AD curve shifts right. If any component decreases, GDP decreases, AD curve shifts left

THE CURVE High price level leads to lower quantity of aggregate demand P P stands for price levels in the economy AD is aggregate demand – total demand for all final goods and services in the economy Q is real GDP (output) of all final goods and services AD Q

Total production of ALL FINAL goods and services in the economy Aggregate Supply Total production of ALL FINAL goods and services in the economy from all producers in the economy for all prices levels