Management Discussion & Analysis HY 2008

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Presentation transcript:

Management Discussion & Analysis HY 2008

Highlights Net profit of $ 11.4 m for the half year (HY 2007: $ 18.6 m) Improved reinsurance technical profits of $ 6.4 m for the period (HY 2007: $ 3.9 m) Underwriting profit of $ 3.7 m for the period (HY 2007: $ 7.0 m) Book value per share at $ 1.37 per share (Year- end 2007: $ 1.40 per share) after dividend distribution for 2007 of $ 0.075 per share Earnings per share at $ 0.05 per share (HY 2007: $ 0.09 per share)

Highlights

Gross Premium – by business line HY 2008: $ 184.0m HY 2007: $ 132.5m Steep increase in Life premiums was mainly on account of the Scottish Re portfolio acquired in mid - 2007 Non-life premium grew by 14% mainly in engineering and property classes

Non-life Gross Premium – by region 2008 2007 Proportion of Non- life premiums from Far-east increased to 12% from 9% in HY 2007 – Far-east premiums recorded significant growth of 53% growing to $ 17.4 m (HY 2007: 11.4 m) Proportion of premiums from the MENA region fell to 50% (HY 2007: 54%) although premiums increased by 6% to $73.2 (HY 2007: $ 69.1m)

Technical Results Technical Profit - $m Earned Premiums - $m 6.4 HY 2008 123.2 HY 2008 3.9 HY 2007 76.9 HY 2007 Earned premiums were higher mainly from the Life portfolio which contributed $ 36.7 m (HY 2007: $ 3.5 m) Improved technical profits (earned premiums less claims and acquisition costs) Non life recorded technical profit of $ 4.6 m (HY 2007: $ 3.4 m) Life portfolio reported technical profit of $ 1.8 m (HY 2007: $ 0.5 m)

Combined ratio Claims loss ratio impacted by Prudent reserving on the enlarged life portfolio of 89.6% (HY 2007: 81.6%) Non-life portfolio recorded a lower loss ratio of 69.7% (HY 2007: 71.1%) Included effect of major losses relating to Pakistan riots in December 2007; $ 1.7 m Pollution claim on sunk vessel Erica relating to Dec 1999; $ 1.1 m Acquisition cost ratio benefited from the negligible costs relating to the significant earned premiums from the Life portfolio Operating cost ratio was lower mainly due to the higher earned premiums

Investment Income Investment earnings impacted by Impact contained by Global investment volatility, particularly the sharp fall in equity markets in January/February, mainly in US equities Impact contained by Strict application of stop loss policies Higher asset allocation to cash & short term maturities Other income mainly comprises exchange gains on Kuwaiti Dinar deposits

Operating Costs Higher costs in Parent mainly due to Increase in staff numbers and corresponding costs, including staff absorbed on acquisition of Scottish Re Life portfolio Higher business promotion costs; sponsorship of GAIF conference in Bahrain Increase in costs in Takaful Re mainly due to increase in staff numbers, rent and travel costs Gulf Warranties employed additional staff in line with plans to manage the service contract with NCB, Saudi Arabia

Subsidiaries Takaful Re Gulf Warranties ARIMA Gross contributions from Participants grew to $ 17.8 m (HY 2007: $ 9.0 m) Fees for managing Islamic Reinsurance operations $ 2.9 m (HY 2007: $ 1.4 m) Investment earnings declined to $ 2.7 m (HY 2007 income: $ 5.1 m) mainly due to losses on US equities Net profit (Group basis); $ 1.6 m (HY 2007: net profit $ 2.6 m) Gulf Warranties Revenue earned from administration of extended warranty insurance and related services, $ 3.4 (HY 2007: $ 2.8 m) Net profit $ 0.1m (HY 2007 net profit: $ 0.4 m) ARIMA Income from software sales & related services, $ 0.8 m (HY 2007: $ 0.3m)

Investments Jun 2008: $ 715.2m $ 3.5 m Dec 2007: $ 711.7m Cash Debt Securities Equities Others High allocation in cash & short term on account of the very volatile market conditions Increase in equity holdings represent tactical allocations made, after markets bottomed out, to benefit from potential growth

Technical Reserves $ 545.6 m $ 459.1 m Jun 2008 Dec 2007 Technical provisions increased by $ 86.5 m - mainly due to increase in provision for unearned premium in line with seasonal trends and increase in premium income Increase in unreported losses – mainly mathematical reserves relating to the Life business

Shareholders Equity Shareholders equity decreased by $ 9 m mainly due to Dividends for 2007; $ 15.9 m Directors’ remuneration; $ 1.0 m Changes on remeasurement of available for sale assets, US$ 2.6 m The decrease was partly offset by net profit for the period of $ 11.4 m

Arig Share Price/Book value (June 2008); 0.65 Price/earnings (annualised); 8.2 times

Outlook Strong growth in non-cyclical Life and medical portfolios, expected to reduce acquisition costs Improve performance traditional treaty & facultative business expected to perform better Positive growth dynamics in the portfolio Conservative underwriting approach with focus on profitable writing Impact of global volatility on investment earnings to be contained through Proactive but cautious investment strategies directed to capture opportunities as they arise Despite the challenging conditions Arig expects to consolidate its business model and improve underwriting returns