S E C O N D Q U A R T E R Financial results

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Presentation transcript:

S E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 0 3 Financial results J U L Y   1 6,  2 0 0 3 S E C O N D  Q U A R T E R  2 0 0 3 Financial results

Highlights: 2Q03 Reported income up 78% from year-ago, 31% from 1Q; ROE of 17% LOB results IB: Strong trading, improving credit, market share gains CFS: Record results driven by mortgage JPMP: Narrower loss on MTM gains Expenses include addition to litigation reserve and real estate charges Strong liquidity and capital positions MIS changes implemented 1

Earnings per share $ per share 2

Operating results ROE 1H03 15% $ billions ¹Actual ROE for all periods, not over/under. ROE 1H03 15% 3

Fixed Income Capital Mkts Investment Bank $ millions Revenue of $4.3bn (5% vs 1Q03) Fixed Income Capital Mkts Treasury Credit Portfolio Equity Cap Mkts IB Fees 9% growth 11% decline 23% growth 28% decline 3% growth ¹Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under. Continued strength in trading with controlled risk Improvement in credit quality High legal & vacant real estate charges 4

Investment Bank league table summary U.S. Equity & Equity-Related #6 #3 U.S. Investment Grade Bonds #2 Global Syndicated Loans #1 Global Announced M&A #5 #3 Source: Thomson Financial 5

Chase Financial Services $ millions Home Finance Cardmember Services Auto Regional Banking Middle Mkt Revenue of $4.0bn (8% vs 1Q03) 16% growth 3% growth 12% growth 4% growth 2% decline ¹Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under. Record volumes, revenues and profits in Home Finance, with strong risk management revenues Deposit growth but continuing spread compression Stable credit costs in Card and overall 6

JPMorgan Partners Private Equity Losses ($mm) Book Value ($bn) ¹Does not reflect agreement to sell current book value of $350mm. Gains on direct investments reflect MTM as well as increase in cash realized gains Continue to reduce exposure 7

T&SS and IM&PB earnings ($ in millions) Treasury and Securities Services ROE 25% 19% 18% Investment Mgmt & Private Banking ROE 6% 3% 5% ROTE1 21% 12% 21% ¹Return on tangible equity Growth in Treasury Services and Institutional Trust offset by weakness in Investor Services Increase in revenues and pretax margin over 1Q03 Improved 3-year performance of core equity and fixed income 8

Operating expense Higher incentive compensation on higher revenues $ billions Higher incentive compensation on higher revenues Increased litigation reserve for expected Enron regulatory settlement and high vacant real estate charges 9

Risk migration trends Total Criticized Exposure¹ ($bn) Nonperforming Assets ($bn) All Other Telecom Merchant Energy Emerging Markets Cable ¹ Criticized: JPMorgan Chase’s internal risk assessment, which generally represents a risk profile similar to that of a rating CCC+/Caa1 or lower, as defined by independent rating agencies, such as Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s. Includes all Enron-related credit exposures, inclusive of $108mm subject to litigation with a credit-worthy entity. 10

Credit costs trend $ millions 11

Capital and assets Payout ratio 40% ($ in billions) Tier 1 Capital Ratio Payout ratio 40% Growth in nominal and risk weighted assets VIE consolidation in 3Q - - potential changes in structures; no immediate regulatory impact Assets $759 $755 $803 RWA $456 $456 $483 ¹ Estimated 12

Summary Strength in trading and mortgage -- will moderate Improving risk profile Commercial credit Expected regulatory settlement of Enron Private equity exposure Strong franchise -- benefiting from positive operating leverage and market share gains 13

This presentation contains statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase's management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties could cause our results to differ materially from those set forth in such forward looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties are described in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2003 and in the 2002 Annual Report on Form 10-K, each filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the Securities and Exchange Commission's internet site (http://www.sec.gov), to which reference is hereby made. 14