Hospital Establishment

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Project Management Projects are unique, one-time operations designed to accomplish a specific set of objectives in a limited timeframe Project managers.
Advertisements

Chapter 13 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM
Operations Management Session 27: Project Management.
2 – 1 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall. Project Management 2.
1 Topics to cover in 2 nd part ( to p2). 2 Chapter 8 - Project Management Chapter Topics ( to p3)
© 2004 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J Operations Management Project Management Chapter 3 - Heizer.
pert and cpm ch 9 Learning objectives:
Gantt Chart Graph or bar chart with a bar for each project activity that shows passage of time Provides visual display of project schedule Slack amount.
1 Project Scheduling CP - Chapter 10 Lecture 3. 2 Project Management  How is it different?  Limited time frame  Narrow focus, specific objectives 
1 1 Slide © 2000 South-Western College Publishing/ITP Slides Prepared by JOHN LOUCKS.
1 1 Slide © 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning Slides by John Loucks St. Edward’s University.
Example: Frank’s Fine Floats
Project Development Scheduling and Probability of Completion.
Project Scheduling: Networks, Duration Estimation, and Critical Path
Project Management Project management is a systemized approach to: ◦ defining, ◦ organizing ◦ planning ◦ monitoring ◦ controlling projects.
1 1 Slide © 2008 Thomson South-Western. All Rights Reserved Slides by JOHN LOUCKS St. Edward’s University.
Chapter 10 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM
1 Slide © 2005 Thomson/South-Western Chapter 10 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM Project Scheduling with Known Activity Times Project Scheduling with Known.
Operations and Supply Chain Management, 8th Edition
To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition,  2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Project Management OPIM 310-Lecture.
© 2000 by Prentice-Hall Inc Russell/Taylor Oper Mgt 3/e Chapter 6 Project Management.
PROJECT MANAGEMENT Outline What is project mean? Examples of projects… Project Planning and Control Project Life Cycle Gantt Chart PERT/CPM.
8-1 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Project Management Chapter 8.
Copyright 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Beni Asllani University of Tennessee at Chattanooga Project Management Operations Management - 5 th Edition Chapter.
To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Planning.
© 2004 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J Network Planning Methods Example CPM : Saint Paul’s Hospital Network Planning Methods.
To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Fifth Edition © 1999 Addison Wesley Longman. All rights reserved. 時間管理補.
To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Sixth Edition © 2002 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 4.
Managing Project Processes Managing Project Processes.
To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Activity.
Network Planning Methods Example PERT & CPM
To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition,  2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 17 Project Management Part.
Project Management (專案管理)
1 1 Project Scheduling PERT/CPM Networks. 2 2 Originated by H.L.Gantt in 1918 GANTT CHART Advantages - Gantt charts are quite commonly used. They provide.
1 1 © 2003 Thomson  /South-Western Slide Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University.
1 1 Slide © 2005 Thomson/South-Western Chapter 10 Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM n Project Scheduling with Known Activity Times n Project Scheduling with.
8-1 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Project Management Chapter 8.
To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition,  2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 6 Project Management To Accompany.
Project Planning and Budgeting Recall the four stages Project Definition and Conceptualization Project Planning and Budgeting Project Execution and Control.
© 2005 Prentice Hall, Inc. Managing Projects Dr. Mohammad Hamsal.
(M) Chapter 12 MANGT 662 (A): Procurement, Logistics and Supply Chain Design Purchasing and Supply Chain Analysis (1/2)
To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Planning.
8-1 Example: Frank’s Fine Floats Frank’s Fine Floats is in the business of building elaborate parade floats. Frank and his crew have a new float to build.
Project Management – Part 1. Overview What is a project? Project management techniques Activity lists Network diagrams Critical path analysis Gant charts.
Unit 2 Time Management Prepared by: Prof. Seemaah Keddar.
17 Project Management Homework; 1b, 4b, 5b, Sup1, Sup2.
Beni Asllani University of Tennessee at Chattanooga
Scheduling Scheduling : is the process of converting a project action plan into an operating time table. Why scheduling ? To answer the following questions:
PERT CPM assumes duration of activity is known with certainty.
Project Management.
Project Management (專案管理)
Project Planning & Scheduling
Project Management (PERT/CPM) PREPARED BY CH. AVINASH
deterministic Fixed and known in advance, representing a
Project Planning & Scheduling
Developing a Project Plan
PROJECT MANAGEMENT WITH CPM/PERT.
Project Planning and Budgeting
Project Scheduling: networks, duration estimation, and critical path
PLANNING ENGINEERING AND PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Stevenson 17 Project Management.
Chapter 16 – Project Management
General Foundry Example of PERT/CPM
Slides Prepared by JOHN LOUCKS
Project Management CPM/PERT Professor Ahmadi.
Exercise – A small building.
AOA A style of project network diagram in which arrows
Planning and Managing Projects
Managing Risk Chapter 7.
Presentation transcript:

Hospital Establishment Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. B Select site and do site survey. C Select equipment. D Prepare final construction plans and layout. E Bring utilities to the site. F Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. H Construct the hospital. I Develop an information system. J Install the equipment. K Train nurses and support staff. The first step is to create the list of activities and the required predecessors. 10

Hospital Establishment Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 11

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B C Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B C D Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B C D E Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment AON Network Start A B C D E F Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment AON Network Start A B C D E F G Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment AON Network Start A B C D E F G H Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment AON Network Start A B C D E F G H I Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B C D E F G H I J Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Start A B C D E F G H I J K Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Back AON Network Finish Start A B C D E F G H I J K Figure 8.4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 24

Hospital Establishment Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 11

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network A Start 1 2 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network A B Start 1 2 4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network A B C D Start 1 2 3 5 4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network F A B C D H E G I Start 1 8 2 3 7 6 5 4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment AOA Network F A B C D H E G J I Start 1 8 2 3 7 6 5 4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network F A B C D H E G J I Dummy Start 1 8 2 3 7 6 5 4 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 31

Hospital Establishment Back AOA Network F A B C D H E G K J I Finish 9 Dummy Start 1 8 2 3 7 6 5 4 Figure 8.5 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 32

Hospital Establishment Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 We start with the completed project as shown in Figure 4.4. 39

Hospital Establishment Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson We can then trace all the possible paths through the project. This sequence is not shown in the text but can be a useful learning tool for students. 39

Hospital Establishment Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 39

Hospital Establishment Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 39

Hospital Establishment Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 39

Hospital Establishment 專案完成時間 Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson 39

Hospital Establishment Path Expected Time (wks) A-F-K 28 A-I-K 33 A-C-G-J-K 67 B-D-H-J-K 69 B-E-J-K 43 Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson The path with the longest time, B-D-H-J-K, is the critical path. 39

Hospital Establishment Path Expected Time (wks) A-F-K 28 A-I-K 33 A-C-G-J-K 67 B-D-H-J-K 69 B-E-J-K 43 Completion Time Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson This slide advances automatically. 39

Hospital Establishment 專案完成時間 Finish Start K 6 I 15 F 10 C D E 24 G 35 H 40 J 4 A 12 B 9 Immediate Activity Description Predecessor(s) Responsibility A Select administrative and medical staff. — Johnson B Select site and do site survey. — Taylor C Select equipment. A Adams D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Taylor E Bring utilities to the site. B Burton F Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Adams H Construct the hospital. D Taylor I Develop an information system. A Simmons J Install the equipment. E,G,H Adams K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson This slide advances automatically. 39

Hospital Establishment 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 0 9 Finish Start Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 48

Hospital Establishment 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 9 33 0 9 9 19 Finish Start Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 50

Hospital Establishment Finish Figure 8.7 Earliest start time Earliest finish time A 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 63 69 22 57 59 63 19 59 9 33 0 9 9 19 Critical path Start In this way ES and EF times can be completed for the entire network. Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 54

Hospital Establishment 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 63 69 22 57 59 63 19 59 9 33 0 9 9 19 Latest start time finish Start Finish Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 57

Hospital Establishment 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 63 69 22 57 59 63 19 59 9 33 0 9 9 19 48 63 53 63 Start Finish Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 58

Hospital Establishment 12 K 6 C 10 G 35 J 4 H 40 B 9 D E 24 0 12 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 63 69 22 57 59 63 19 59 9 33 0 9 9 19 48 63 2 14 53 63 14 24 24 59 35 59 Figure 8.8 Earliest start time Earliest finish time Latest start time Latest finish time Critical path Finish Start Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 61

Hospital Establishment Gantt Charts Figure 4.8 is a screen shot from Project showing a Gantt chart for Example 4.3. This slide advances automatically. Figure 8.9(a) 61

Hospital Establishment Gantt Charts Figure 4.8 is a screen shot from Project showing a Gantt chart for Example 4.3. Figure 8.9(b) 61

Hospital Establishment Node Duration ES LS Slack A 12 0 2 2 B 9 0 0 0 C 10 12 14 2 D 10 9 9 0 E 24 9 35 26 F 10 12 53 41 G 35 22 24 2 H 40 19 19 0 I 15 12 48 36 J 4 59 59 0 K 6 63 63 0 C 10 G 35 E 24 I 15 F 12 27 12 22 22 57 9 33 48 63 53 63 14 24 24 59 35 59 B 9 0 9 D 9 19 H 40 19 59 J 4 59 63 K 6 63 69 Finish The critical path will be the path with zero slack. Critical Path 69

Hospital Establishment Probabilistic Time Estimates A F I C G Finish D E H B J K Start Activity B Most Optimistic Likely Pessimistic (a) (m) (b) 7 8 15 te = = 9 weeks 7 + 4(8) + 15 6 2 = = 1.78 ( ) 15 - 7 2 77

Hospital Establishment Optimistic Likely Pessimistic Expected Variance Activity (a) (m) (b) Time (te ) (2 ) Time Estimates (wk) Activity Statistics A 11 12 13 12 0.11 B 7 8 15 9 1.78 C 5 10 15 10 2.78 D 8 9 16 10 1.78 E 14 25 30 24 7.11 F 6 9 18 10 4.00 G 25 36 41 35 7.11 H 35 40 45 40 2.78 I 10 13 28 15 9.00 J 1 2 15 4 5.44 K 5 6 7 6 0.11 This table shows all the expected task times and variances for use in the probabilistic calculations. 79

Hospital Establishment Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days TE = 69 days 2 =  (variances of activities) z = T – TE 2 This slide advances automatically. 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 z = 72 – 69 11.89 83

Hospital Establishment Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days TE = 69 days 2 =  (variances of activities) z = T – TE 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 z = = 0.87 72 – 69 11.89 From Appendix 2 Pz = .8078  .81 85

Hospital Establishment 2 =  (variances of activities) z = T – TE 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 z = = 0.87 72 – 69 11.89 Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days TE = 69 days From Appendix 2 Pz = .8078  .81 Normal distribution: Mean = 69 weeks;  = 3.45 weeks Probability of meeting the schedule is 0.8078 Length of critical path Probability of exceeding 72 weeks is 0.1922 Here Figure 18.9 is overlaid to illustrate the current analysis. 69 72 Project duration (weeks) 86

成本估算(cost estimating) 成本(Cost) – P.2 inputs 投入 WBS 資源需求 資源單位成本 活動期程預估值 出版品估算 歷史性資料 預算科子目表 已辨識之風險 tools & techniques 工具及技術 類比估算法 參數模型法 由下而上之估算法 電腦化工具 其他成本估算法 outputs 產出 成本預估值 支援細節 成本管理計畫

由下而上之估算法(Bottom-up estimating) 成本(cost)-P.2 此方法涉及個別工作的逐個估計,然後累加得到專案成本的總計。 由下至上估算法的成本和精度取決於單個工作的大小:工作劃分小,則成本增加,精確性也增加。 專案管理團隊必須在精確性和成本之間做權衡。 …待續

由下而上之估算法(Bottom-up estimating) 成本(cost)-P.2 …待續

由下而上之估算法(Bottom-up estimating) 成本(cost)-P.2