Asset Management in the EU: Which way forward

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Asset Management in the EU: Which way forward Asset Management in the EU: Which way forward? Asset Managers and Systemic Risk Carsten Detken Head, Financial Stability Surveillance Directorate General Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability European Central Bank CEPS / ECMI – 10 March 2016 Views presented are my own and might not reflect those of the ECB or the Eurosystem

A growing sector in the euro area … Sectoral and geographical breakdown of non-bank assets Growth in bank and non-bank financial assets since 2010 up to Q3 ’15 (index of notional stocks) MMF 4% FVC 7% Non-MMF investment funds Non-MMF investment funds 38% Residual 51% Shadow banks Residual FVCs Investment funds Banks MMFs FVCs

Balance sheet of non-bank financial sector Supports real economic activity in and outside the euro area... Balance sheet of non-bank financial sector (narrow shadow bank definition) Credit provision to the euro area non-financial sector by euro area shadow banks (narrow definition) Debt Equity Other Loans Financial Sector Non-Fin Sector Non-EA Mar-10 Dec-15 Government debt securities NFC debt securities Loans EUR 2.3 trillion of credit given to the euro area non-financial sector (equivalent to 15% of bank credit) … of which EUR 1.3 trillion in credit to non-financial corporates and households alone Credit to the non-financial sector is only 18% of the balance sheet, due to large holding of: Equities Securities of the EA financial sector Non-euro area assets

… but also presents risks to financial stability Growing prevalence of callable equity … which is not a stable source of funding Low measures of leverage are misleading due to synthetic leverage and riskier equity Funds promise daily liquidity … but buffers of liquid assets have fallen Large footprint of systemically important institutions linked to banks Strengthening of contagion channels to the wider financial system and real economy