MEDSTAT Regional Workshop on Statistics of Informal Work   Paris, 10-12 July 2017 Data sources for producing statistics on the informal economy Household.

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Presentation transcript:

MEDSTAT Regional Workshop on Statistics of Informal Work   Paris, 10-12 July 2017 Data sources for producing statistics on the informal economy Household surveys ILO: Michael Frosch frosch@ilo.org

Different countries different solutions No one solution fits all Great degree of flexibility within the conceptual framework Needs to be adapted to national context Labour legislation Social protection system Needs to be integrated in the structure of the questionnaire ....but still ensure the international definitions and concepts

Household surveys with labour force modules: obvious candidates for informal employment LFS is usually the survey with the biggest sample size, it covers: All the active population All economic sectors and occupations All type of jobs (or economic activities) is very often conducted on quarterly bases To capture seasonality … ( very important for informal jobs) collects relevant labour market information on all the HH members Seasonal, casual and secondary jobs, as well as hours worked and payments etc.) Gives the possibility to conduct detailed and complex socioeconomic analysis of informality

The focus is typically on: Household surveys with labour force modules: obvious candidates for informal employment The focus is typically on: Informal employment Employees/Contributing family workers in informal employment Entrepreneurs in the informal sector Employment in informal sector Less suitable to collect information about economic units in the informal sector Type of production, value added (input to SNA)

Household surveys with labour force modules: sampling issues Informal employment/sector is generally concentrated In specific economic sectors In specific geographical areas The sample should include a sufficient number of households With informal sector entrepreneurs With members in informal employment, which allow good estimations of different type of informal activities

Four topics needs to be addressed in the questionnaire Household production of goods (exclusively/mainly) for own final use Informal sector Status in employment Informal employment

Four topics needs to be addressed in the questionnaire Household production of goods (exclusively/mainly) for own final use Informal sector Status in employment Informal employment

Own-use production Relevant in countries with a significant share of own-use production 13´th ICLS resolution; Households producing goods exclusively for own final use informal employment, the production unit is defined as a household 19´th ICLS resolution; Need to identify own use production work producing goods in order to complement informal employment

Example Bulgaria 13´th ICLS Market production Production exclusively for own final use Per definition in informal employment in ”household sector”

Based on Guyana 19´th ICLS Employed Own use production work with market production Production exclusively for own final use Per definition in informal work in ”household sector”

Four topics needs to be addressed in the questionnaire Household production of goods (exclusively/mainly) for own final use Informal sector Status in employment Informal employment

Informal sector For the purpose of informal employment it is sufficient to collect informal sector for: Employers Own-account workers Members of producers cooperatives But informal sector is an important analytical variable for employees and contributing family workers and for measuring e.g. employment in the informal sector But might be difficult to collect

Key questions to measure the informal sector Legal organization (institutional sector)/ ownership Government, NGO, public enterprise, privately owned enterprise Incorporated/Unincorporated Is the enterprise incorporated or not Bookkeeping Keeps complete accounts/does not keep complete accounts Registration of enterprise Under specific forms of national legislation (question needs to specify the registration type) Identifies unregistered enterprises

Q1. Institutional sector Q3. Incorporated/Unincorporated Model flow chart Marked production Yes No Q1. Institutional sector 6. Private household 2. Farm 3. Private business 1,4,5 Gov, NGO, IO etc 7,8. Other, DK Q3. Incorporated/Unincorporated 1. Incorporated 2. Unincorporated 3.Don’t know Q4. Bookkeeping Works in households 1,2,3. Completeaccounts 4. Does not keep accounts 5.Don’t know Q5. Registration =2 registered at national level =1 not registered at national level 3 Other Unclassifiable !!! Works in the informal sector Works in the formal sector

Unclassifiable Department of Statistics International Labour Office

Social security contribution Flow chart II Institutional sector Government, Corporations, NGO, IO etc Private household Farm or private business (unincorporated) Other, DK, NA, Not asked Bookkeeping Keeps accounts for reporting to the Government Does not keep accounts Other, DK, NA, Not asked Registration Registered at national level Not registered at national level Other, DK, NA, Not asked Households (producing exclusively for own final use) Status in employment Employees Other Social security contribution Yes No Place of work Other Non-fixed premises Q6. Size 6 or more, other 5 or less Formal sector Informal sector

Example based on Kosovo LFS Institutional sector Identifies incorporated enterprises Q1, and especially Q2 needs to be adapted to national context

Example Kosovo II Registration Quasi corporations Q3, and Q4 needs to be adapted to national context

Countries are using different criterias (South Africa) 4.5. Status in Employment 2. Employers; 3. own-account; 4. working unpaid in household business 1. Employees 4.13. Registered for VAT or income tax 4.10. Income tax deducted by employer 2. No 2. No 4.16. Size of establishment: fewer than 5 employees? 1. Yes Informal sector

Countries are using different criterias (II) Tanzania Type of ownership Size Ecuador Type of account Registration Moldova Institutional sector/type of ownership and so on.....

Four topics needs to be addressed in the questionnaire Household production of goods (exclusively/mainly) for own final use Informal sector Status in employment Informal employment

ICSE-93 ICSE-93 is a key to define informal employment Own-account workers, employers and MPC are defined on the basis of the characteristics of the production unit Contributing family workers and employees are defined on the basis of the characteristics of the job ILO Department of Statistics

Status in employment

Four topics needs to be addressed in the questionnaire Household production of goods (exclusively/mainly) for own final use Informal sector Status in employment Informal employment

Use status in employment as a starting point If status in employment is Employer or Own-account worker and the economic unit is within the informal sector Informal employment Contributing family worker Informal employment

Operationalization of informal employees Following the ILO Definition there are 5 potential criteria to distinguish formal from informal employees: Tax deduction from the salary Other benefits (maternity/paternity leave etc.) Affiliation to social protection scheme Entitlement to paid sick leave Entitlement to annual leave The 17th ICLS, allows countries to use different criteria depending on national circumstances

Informal employees Data availability Overview of questions in Labour Force Surveys that could be used to measure informal employees   Africa Americas Arab States Asia and the pacific Eastern Europe Western Europe OECD All taxes are paid? 10 3 2 1 16 social contributions are paid? 19 13 8 5 56 paid annual vacation? 14 4 55 paid sick leave? 12 11 39 paid maternity leave? 7 6 21 No relevant question 9 15 24 65 Total available questionnaires 35 29 32 23 22 148

Guyana LFS Needs to be adapted to national context, and exemplify the question with one relevant example

Informal employees Three different approaches to derive formality vs Strict approach All criteria of formality have to apply to be classified as formal employee Produces potentially less formal employees Weak approach At least one of the criteria of formality has to apply to be classified as formal employee Produces potentially more formal employees Moderate approach One criteria of formality have to apply or two of the criteria to be classified as formal employee Produces typically an in between situation vs vs

Strict formality approach Status in employment Employees, Contributing family workers Own account workers Employers Job-related employer contributions to social security No, DK, NA yes Benefit from paid annual leave No, DK, NA yes Benefit from paid sick leave No, DK, NA yes Formal employment Informal employment

Weak formality approach Status in employment Employees, Contributing family workers Own account workers Employers Job-related employer contributions to social security yes No, DK, NA Benefit from paid annual leave yes No, DK, NA Benefit from paid sick leave yes No, DK, NA Informal employment Formal employment

Moderate approach Informal employment Status in employment Contributing family workers Own account workers Employers Job-related employer contributions to social security yes No DK, NA Benefit from paid annual leave No, DK, NA yes Benefit from paid sick leave No, DK, NA yes Formal employment Informal employment

Different outputs Strict formality approach Weak formality approach   Formal employees Informal employees Moldova 87.5 12.7 90.5 9.7 Costa Rica 65 35 81 19 México 45.7 54.3 66.4 33.6 Malawi 14 86 27 73 Cambodia 2.7 97.3 20.5 79.5 Difference between weak and strict (OR/AND) Moldova 3 Costa Rica 16 México 20.7 Malawi 13 Cambodia 17.8

Practical recommendation on the use of these approaches If a country do have a well-established social security system that is attached to the job then contribution to social security is the main criterion and the moderate approach should be viewed as an international definition trying to achieve simplicity For countries were this is not the case (e.g. due to non-existing social security system or a universal system) then the 2 other criteria's can be used instead. Countries should always collect the three key questions (criteria's) for all the employees assess how the three key criteria are correlated chose the approach taking the national context into account In the moderate approach the information regarding paid sick leave and paid annual leave still would be very relevant to contextualize informality.

Essential step: test it!!

Important because To ensure that respondents really understand the questions and are willing and able to answer them in a valid way To ensure that we measure what we want to measure To detect problems errors early in the process –Cost effective Increases the quality

Thank you