Regional Data Snapshot

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Presentation transcript:

Regional Data Snapshot Industry Cluster Analysis SET Session 1 North Central IN RPC, Indiana

03 01 04 02 Overview Industry Cluster Analysis Industry and Occupation Table of Contents 03 01 Overview Industry Cluster Analysis 04 02 Industry and Occupation Occupations

North Central IN RPC, IN 01 overview

North Central IN RPC Overview The North Central IN RPC Region is comprised of 6 Indiana counties. State Highway 31 connects the region to Indianapolis in the south, and South Bend in the north. Cass Clinton Fulton Howard Miami Tipton section 01

Establishments Employment by industry 02 industry and occupation

Components of changes in Jobs Industry and occupation Components of changes in Jobs An establishment is a physical business location. Branches, standalones and headquarters are all considered types of establishments. Changes in Jobs (2009-2015) Gained by New Startups 25,078 Spinoffs 8,652 Expansion 16,393 In-migration 851 Lost by Closings -30,613 Contractions -15,098 Out-migration -1,101 Net change 4,162 Definition of Company Stages 0 1 3 4 Self-employed 2-9 employees 10-99 employees 100-499 500+ section 02 Source: YourEconomy.org

Number of Establishments by Company Stages Industry and occupation Establishments Number of Establishments by Company Stages 2009 2015 Stage Establishments Proportion Stage 0 1,393 16% 1,319 13% Stage 1 5,423 64% 6,837 69% Stage 2 1,559 18% 1,583 Stage 3 124 1% 113 Stage 4 17 0.2% Total 8,516 100% 9,869 Questions: What stage businesses have shaped the region’s economic growth in the last 6 years? Which ones are growing or declining the most? Which stage of establishments are likely to shape the region’s future economic growth? section 02 Source: Youreconomy.org database

Establishments Industry and occupation Questions What establishments are the most numerous based on company stages? What stages have experienced the largest growth? The greatest decline? What company stage employs the largest number of people? What stage captures the most sales? Which ones have experienced the greatest percentage loss over the 2009-2015 period? Number of Jobs by Company Stages Year 2009 2015 % Change Stage 0 1,393 1,346 -3% Stage 1 20,692 26,324 27% Stage 2 38,947 38,069 -2% Stage 3 22,153 19,393 -12% Stage 4 26983 29,198 8.2% Total 110,168 114,330 4% Sales ($Billion, 2015) by Company Stages Year 2009 2015 % Change Stage 0 0.27 0.2 -10% Stage 1 4.56 6.0 31% Stage 2 7.88 9.2 17% Stage 3 6.50 6.5 -1% Stage 4 13.32 12.9 -3.5% Total 32.54 34.73 7% section 02 Source: Youreconomy.org database

Top ten industry sector employment growth Industry and occupation Top ten industry sector employment growth NAICS Description 2009 Jobs 2014 Jobs Change Change (%) State Change (%) 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 3,735 4,576 841 23% 31 Manufacturing 20,032 24,336 4304 21% 15% 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 8,982 10,742 1760 20% 7% 51 Information 797 891 94 12% -4% 61 Educational Services 534 590 10% 9% 72 Accommodation and Food Services 7,015 7,668 653 8% 48 Transportation and Warehousing 2,732 2,947 215 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2,668 2,828 160 6% 4% 23 Construction 5,033 5,244 211 0% 44 Retail Trade 11,829 11,985 156 1% 3% Questions: What regional industry sectors have seen the greatest growth? Did they grow at the same rate as the state? What factors are causing the growth? section 02 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)

Top Nine industry sector employment decline Industry and occupation Top Nine industry sector employment decline NAICS Description 2009 Jobs 2014 Jobs Change Change (%) State Change (%) 22 Utilities 310 257 -53 -17% -8% 90 Government 17,904 15,569 -2335 -13% -3% 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 227 204 -23 -10% 30% 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 2,584 2,441 -143 -6% 5% 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1,125 1,075 -50 -4% 1% 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 6,793 6,621 -172 4% 52 Finance and Insurance 3,367 3,292 -75 -2% 11 Crop and Animal Production 4,882 4,807 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 217 216 -1 0% 16% Questions: How does the industry sector make-up of the region compare to the rest of the state? Which industry sectors are growing and declining the most in employment? section 02 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)

Industry cluster analysis 03 Industry cluster analysis North Central IN RPC, IN

List of Clusters Industry cluster analysis Advanced Materials Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology Energy (Fossil & Renewable) Forest & Wood Products Apparel & Textiles Glass & Ceramics Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor Industries Information Technology & Telecommunications Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences) Machinery Manufacturing Business & Financial Services Manufacturing Super-cluster Chemicals Mining Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing Primary Metal Manufacturing Printing & Publishing Defense & Security Transportation & Logistics Education & Knowledge Creation Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Electrical Equip, Appliance & Component Manufacturing section 03

Industry cluster analysis How to interpret cluster data results The graph’s four quadrants tell a different story for each cluster. Contains clusters that are more concentrated in the region but are declining (negative growth). These clusters typically fall into the lower quadrant as job losses cause a decline in concentration. Emerging Bottom right (weak but advancing) Stars Top right (strong and advancing) Mature Top left (strong but declining) Transforming Bottom left (weak and declining) Contains clusters that are more concentrated in the region and are growing. These clusters are strengths that help a region stand out from the competition. Small, high-growth clusters can be expected to become more dominant over time. Contains clusters that are under-represented in the region (low concentration) and are also losing jobs. Clusters in this region may indicate a gap in the workforce pipeline if local industries anticipate a future need. In general, clusters in this quadrant show a lack of competitiveness. Contains clusters that are under-represented in the region but are growing, often quickly. If growth trends continue, these clusters will eventually move into the top right quadrant. Clusters in this quadrant are considered emerging strengths for the region. section 03 Modified from: http://www.charlestonregionaldata.com/bubble-chart-explanation/

Level of Specialization Industry cluster analysis Mature Clusters Primary Metal Mfg. (3.99; 953) Agribusiness, Food Proc. & Tech. (3.31; 10,565) Advanced Materials (2.25; 7,072) Glass & Ceramics (1.66; 289) Mining (1.26; 409) Star Clusters Transportation Equipment Mfg. (12.02; 11,161) Manufacturing Supercluster (4.64; 16,649) Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. (2.7; 2,334) Electrical Equip., App. & Comp. Mfg. (2.06; 485) Machinery Mfg. (1.97; 1,359) Forest & Wood Products (1.09; 1,684) Level of Specialization Percent Growth in Specialization Transforming Clusters Chemicals & Chemical Based Products (0.61; 784) Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. (0.57; 357) IT & Telecommunications (0.52; 2,177) Printing & Publishing (0.45; 810) Arts, Enter, Rec. & Visitor Industries (0.41; 1,784) Business & Financial Services (0.4; 5,400) Defense & Security (0.35; 1,584) Apparel & Textiles (0.24; 190) Emerging Clusters Biomedical/Biotechnical (0.9; 7,450) Transportation & Logistics (0.87; 2,893) Energy (Fossil & Renewable) (0.76; 4,412) Education & Knowledge Creation (0.25; 614) section 03 NOTE: The first number after each cluster represents the number of total jobs (full and part time jobs by place of work) in that cluster in the region in 2014. The clusters are sorted in decreasing order by location quotient as shown in the bubble chart.

Bubble Chart: What to Look at First Quadrant Location Size of Location Quotient Percentage Change in Last 5 Years Number of Employees Bubble Chart: What to Look at First Start with clusters located in the STARS quadrant See if the MATURING clusters might have a good chance of growing again Determine if EMERGING clusters are likely to grow in strength Avoid clusters that are “TRANSFORMING” Focus on clusters with an LQ of 1.2 or higher Clusters with high LQs represent economic activities in which the region is competitive relative to the U.S. REMEMBER: Clusters only capture industries that have the likelihood of exporting goods and services. The horizontal line (the x-axis) shows the percentage growth or decline of a cluster over a five-year period. Make sure to examine the SIZE and DIRECTION of that change. Dramatic declines in a cluster with a an LQ of 1.2 or higher could be a difficult one to resurrect. The size of the bubble refers to the number of people employed in that cluster. It may be worthwhile to focus on clusters that are both competitive and that employ a good number of people.

Industry cluster bubble chart Industry and occupation Industry cluster bubble chart Mature Star Transforming Emerging Note: Label includes cluster name, LQ in 2014, and Employment in 2014 section 02 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors).

The Manufacturing Super-Cluster Please note that this is not a cluster that a SET region should select. Rather, focus on the manufacturing sub-clusters that are important to that super-cluster. Manufacturing Super-Cluster Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing Electric Equipment, Appliances & Component Manufacturing Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Primary Metal Manufacturing Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

Manufacturing sub-cluster bubble chart Industry and occupation Manufacturing sub-cluster bubble chart Mature Star Transforming Emerging Note: Label includes cluster name, LQ in 2014, and Employment in 2014. section 02 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors).

For your region Industry and occupation Mature Industries Five industry clusters in the North Central IN RPC Region are in the Matured stage: Primary Metal Mfg.; Agribusiness, Food Processing & Tech.; Advanced Materials; Glass & Ceramics; and Mining. These industries are relatively concentrated, but its growth is trending downward. It is worth noting, however, that the North Central IN RPC Region may find it worthwhile to invest in efforts to shore up the concentration of these industries. Transforming Industries Transforming clusters capture the mix of industries that are experiencing relative decline and limited export capability. In the Region, Chemicals; Computer & Electronic Prod. Mfg.; IT & Telecom.; Printing & Publishing; Arts, Ent., Rec. & Visitor Industries; Business & Financial Services; Defense & Security; and Apparel & Textiles. Eight industry clusters are all Transforming clusters. Any amount of growth in these industries would require relatively large investments. Star Industries Star industry clusters are highly concentrated, exporting and still experiencing growth in the region. Five Star industry clusters in the North Central IN RPC Region are Transportation Equip. Mfg.; Fabricated Metal Product Mfg.; Electrical Equip., App. & Comp. Mfg.; Machinery Mfg.; and Forest & Wood Products. These clusters indicate that they have a little more jobs concentration in the region compared to the U.S. Emerging Industries Industry clusters that may be poised for future growth are classified as “Emerging.” There are four Emerging clusters in total in the North Central IN RPC Region: Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences); Transportation & Logistics; Energy; and Education & Knowledge Creation. section 03 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors).

Top occupations STEM occupations 04 occupations

Top five occupations in 2014 Industry and occupation Top five occupations in 2014 Questions: What are the education and skill requirements for these occupations? Do the emerging and star clusters align with the top occupations? What type salaries do these occupations typically provide? section 04 Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)

Science, Technology, Engineering & Math Industry and occupation Science, Technology, Engineering & Math 2,611 3,294 26.2% Change 2014 2009 Job change in STEM occupations North Central RPC, IN Rest of Indiana 108,837 7.8% 100,949 Questions: How do STEM jobs compare to the state? What has been the trend of STEM jobs over time? How important are STEM jobs to the region’s Star and Emerging clusters? section 04 *Note: STEM and STEM-related occupation definitions from ESA, BLS (2010), etc. Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)

Report Contributors This report was prepared by the Purdue Center for Regional Development, in partnership with the Southern Rural Development Center and USDA Rural Development, in support of the Stronger Economies Together program. Report Authors Bo Beaulieu, PhD Indraneel Kumar, PhD Andrey Zhalnin, PhD Data Analysis Ayoung Kim Indraneel Kumar, PhD Andrey Zhalnin, PhD Report Design Tyler Wright This report was supported, in part, by grant from the USDA Rural Development through the auspices of the Southern Rural Development Center. It was produced in support of the Stronger Economies Together (SET) program.

September 2016 For more information, please contact: Dr. Bo Beaulieu, PCRD Director: ljb@purdue.edu Or 765-494-7273 The Purdue Center for Regional Development (PCRD) seeks to pioneer new ideas and strategies that contribute to regional collaboration, innovation and prosperity. September 2016